The line for temple vs miami OH moved from -14 to -17.5. that means it moved past a critical number (17). People must really believe temple will pound miami OH, who should be in a down week after their first win of the season vs. toledo last week.
-
-
yeah if you didnt hop on, you missed out. it was at 13.5 sunday night when i got itComment -
I looked into this game after noticing the big line movement.
MiO loses TB/WR Bratton, WR Harris, SS Gafford(co-capt, #3 in tackles and stops with 64), SDT Channels for the short rest game. They are all vital contributors to MiO.
TU W in '08 28-10(+7) with a 28-10 FD adv. and '07 24-17(+6').
MiO kills themselves with TO's with losing 27(16 INT) and only gaining 9. They won LW vs a very bad Def team in Tole breaking a 13g losing streak while winning the TO battle 2-1.
Temple has a +5 TO edge with 14 gives to 19 takes with 11 INTs(MiO's achilles).
TU's not a powerhouse on OFF, but you need to run to hang with them. MiO's #117 in rushing with 6Rtds and 73ryd/g.
TU's only scored >27pts twice, 40 vs Tole and 37 vs Buff while basically avg around 25 the rest.
MiO's D has allowed 40 TDs TY and the only other 2 opps allowing that many were Tol(44) and EMich(41).
TU's biggest W TY was by 16 @ Tol(40-24)(+1), @ EM(24-12)(-6') and vs Army 27-13(-10'). L3 times TU was a DDF, they are 1-2 ATS, 3-0 SU.
If MiO hangs onto the ball, they can keep it within the 17, but their injs are coming at a bad time. Will TU have a Navy hangover coming from behind to win late in the game? That was a big W for them and they do have a 1 game lead in the MAC East over Ohio and KentSt who they still have to play. This is not a good spot for TU.
GLComment -
A very good analysis from a solid capper, not me. Thought I wanna share so I copied this from another site:
"Miami of Ohio
Statistical overview:
Temple outgained Navy last week both in the air and on the ground and that's the first time this season they were able to do that against a division 1-A opponent. When a team outrushes Navy, it means that both offensive and defensive line took a major beating, as it takes tons of rushing attempts and a very focused rushing defense to accomplish something like that. And that's exactly what happened this past Saturday. Temple rushed 34 times for 274 yards and Navy rushed 62 times for 227 yards. It is going to be hard for both Temple lines to play only 5 days later and to be at 100% after such a battle in trenches. Temple defense will now face a completely different type of offense against Miami of Ohio. The Redhawks have a good passing Qb who is also mobile and can burn your defense both ways. This team is much more competitive since Dysert took over from Raudabaugh. They covered 4 of last 5, won their first game last week, and their Qb passed for over 300 yards in two straight games with 4 touchdowns and no interceptions. What is even more important for them, is that they are now consistently winning the ToP battle with Dysert, and their defense is not as tired as it was with Raudabaugh as Qb who just couldn't move the chains and keep the defense of the field.
Scheduling overview:
Playing on short rest after playing Navy is the last thing you want if you are Temple. This was a very emotional game for them, as they hadn't won against Navy in a long time and they wanted to win this game real bad. The short week will not be long enough to prepare and re-focus here. They are having a great season and the win over Navy was the pinnacle of their season. Very dangerous game comming up.
Situational overview:
The Navy game was the last non conference game on Temple's schedule. With that win and the conference win over Toledo the previous week, they claimed sole possession of the top spot in the MAC East. Their next two games are against two worst MAC East teams, Miami of Ohio (1-4 conference, 1-8 overall) and Akron (0-4 conference, 1-7 overall), before facing the main competitors for the MAC East title, Kent State and Ohio, both 4-1 in the conference. So, this is a soft spot on their schedule and history teach us that those soft scheduling spots can be the most dangerous ones for teams that are in control of their own destiny. Not sure about the upset possibility, but a game decided by 7-10 points is very possible."Comment -
So does anyone still like the TEM play at -17.5 Do you wait till gametime and hope it goes up even more and hop on MIA(OH)? Any feel on the OVR/UNDR anyone?Comment -
I like Temple but teased them to -10Comment -
i'm gonna wait til tomorrow and hope the spread jumps.. if i could get miami +20ish @ -110 i'd take it, otherwise i'm staying away from it.. should be interesting regardlessComment -
I never thought I'd see the day where Temple would be a 17 point favorite in a football game"You Can't Outfox a Fox" -Dapper Capper
Comment -
temple -17.5, never thought i would see the dayComment
