Week 9 Tues Oct 22 - Friday Oct 25 Games
5-0 FADE the Dog
Geo Sou @ Old Dom-2
System says wrong team favored, 5 Experts agree picking Geo Sou to win S/U.
5-0 Play ON the Fav
Syr @ Pitt-6
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O/U Games
Play the OVER.
There's one game that qualified, Liberty-25 (46') @ Kenn St. Not so sure this game will go over. Kenn St is 1-5 O/U and Liberty is 2-2 O/U. There's a formula/stat (points per game adjusted for strength of opposition) I've been playing around with and Vegas makes it very hard for us to win. Their numbers are right on the button. The O/U is 46' and using the stats, the total is 47.3 points. Choose your poison, I don't feel very confident in this pick to go OVER the total.
There's two other games that both team have the negative SRS, but the team favored is at home, not on the road. Utep @ La Tech-6 with a total of 50. Using the stats, the total is 50.3ponts. O/U for UTEP is 3-4 and LaTech 3-3.
And the other game, MTST @ Jax St-21 with a total of 63'. Using the stats, the total is 63.5 points. MTST is 4-3 O/U and Jax ST is 1-5 O/U.
I'll leave the contest consensus here for reference.
Game/All Players/Team Experts
Utep/LaTech 60%/71%
Liberty/KennSt 72%/53%
MTST/Jax St 58%/70%
Of the three games, gun to my head, I'd bet on the Utep/LaTech game to go OVER.
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Still working on Saturday Games.
EDIT: Consensus is for the O/U.GL2A
5-0 FADE the Dog
Geo Sou @ Old Dom-2
System says wrong team favored, 5 Experts agree picking Geo Sou to win S/U.
5-0 Play ON the Fav
Syr @ Pitt-6
=========
O/U Games
Play the OVER.
There's one game that qualified, Liberty-25 (46') @ Kenn St. Not so sure this game will go over. Kenn St is 1-5 O/U and Liberty is 2-2 O/U. There's a formula/stat (points per game adjusted for strength of opposition) I've been playing around with and Vegas makes it very hard for us to win. Their numbers are right on the button. The O/U is 46' and using the stats, the total is 47.3 points. Choose your poison, I don't feel very confident in this pick to go OVER the total.
There's two other games that both team have the negative SRS, but the team favored is at home, not on the road. Utep @ La Tech-6 with a total of 50. Using the stats, the total is 50.3ponts. O/U for UTEP is 3-4 and LaTech 3-3.
And the other game, MTST @ Jax St-21 with a total of 63'. Using the stats, the total is 63.5 points. MTST is 4-3 O/U and Jax ST is 1-5 O/U.
I'll leave the contest consensus here for reference.
Game/All Players/Team Experts
Utep/LaTech 60%/71%
Liberty/KennSt 72%/53%
MTST/Jax St 58%/70%
Of the three games, gun to my head, I'd bet on the Utep/LaTech game to go OVER.
============
Still working on Saturday Games.
EDIT: Consensus is for the O/U.GL2A