Rockfish 2022 CFB picks thread

[gojetsgomoxies]

a few i like tonight, and they are official picks

WV... Daniel was awesome at USC and UGA. some injury bad luck... former #1 (or close to it) HS QB recruit... Pickett was a big part of Pitt's success (although i do like the HC)


Ball... mostly anti-TN hype... haven't check Ball except regress from a good recent season


Penn State... Purdue has lost their mega-NFL talent for 2 years in a row.....like Purdue coach and QB... but PSU is supposed to be from a different planet than Purdue

NMS... Minn more running team (although will showcase Heisman candidate TB)......... NMS was decent last week losing to Nevada. tons of transfers. the backup QB played really well late. turnover ratio was 5-0 for Nevada. NMS defense was pretty good

i grade at the close.

[gojetsgomoxies]

i will add Illini on saturday............ all are picks unless noted as LEANS

[gojetsgomoxies]

2-2 ... And I think I deserved worse

Temple... Duke shouldn't be giving too many points to all but the very worst FBS teams

Like WM and Colorado but not picks

[A Quant]

Are you saying you are grading your picks based on the closing number?

Don't you make these plays yourself?

[gojetsgomoxies]

i make the picks myself.... but i don't debate whether the line was 6.5 or 7...... i just say i like Illiniois and i will grade based on the closing number

i am thinking maybe the confusion is i should have said "closing line"..

too much debate/accusations around here about people cherry-picking lines or lines that never existed or only existed for seconds.

i do play real money but then the lines i get would vary..

i'm trying to do this more like being a tout posting picks....... the "using closing line" means my picks are purely handicapping. and i usually make the picks late enough that the price has settled down and is fairly stable

[gojetsgomoxies]

0-2 friday.. 2-4 ytd

Utah State
nD
Cincy
Arizona
Western Kentucky
Umass

Would have done Michigan and buffalo if I'd posted earler. Not part of record

Couldn't pull trigger on boise

[gojetsgomoxies]

My explanation earlier was too complicated

I handicap games but Don`t line shop or time my picks as to spread at that time.... This is terms of posting on this forum not IRL

If I pick boise, I grade the pick on boise spread at game time

I hate touts saying they are 63% winner but they are using some early line that was there for 10 minutes. A few years ago, you could have got 46 on Army Navy total that closed at 36..But the 46 is irrelevent

[gojetsgomoxies]

Oregon Memphis
Utah Utes
Kentucky

Wanted to research Ucla bowling green more but too late

Washington Kent state is interesting...Huskies will be completely different this year (big UNDER team last year.. Horrible run offense and defense).. Kent State big OVER team....looks like market may have over adjusted for changes at "UW"

[gojetsgomoxies]

4-5 ats.. WK to come

6-9 ATS overall

[gojetsgomoxies]

Got the WK win ATS 7-9... Might have made 1 mistake too

[gojetsgomoxies]

6-10 ATS...Utah was a L