NCAAF Picks – Week 4

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    NCAAF Picks – Week 4
    THURSDAY, 9/23
    Marshall +7 -108 (Heritage)


    YTD: 17-24-1, -9.91
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388189

    #2
    bad start just noticed this

    what is wrong?
    Comment
    • unde0087
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-27-08
      • 28871

      #3
      LT, what do you got for that total in Marshall game? I mean I get that it is CFB but that total seems why high.
      Comment
      • LT Profits
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 10-27-06
        • 90963

        #4
        Originally posted by jjgold
        bad start just noticed this

        what is wrong?
        Setting up another huge comeback
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Originally posted by unde0087
          LT, what do you got for that total in Marshall game? I mean I get that it is CFB but that total seems why high.
          My model agrees with you as I only get 54.9

          I just don't like to see line movement running away from my number. This opened 57 and has gone up.
          Comment
          • unde0087
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-27-08
            • 28871

            #6
            Originally posted by LT Profits
            My model agrees with you as I only get 54.9

            I just don't like to see line movement running away from my number. This opened 57 and has gone up.
            Ya, it is going north but it makes no sense at all. I see this game in the 40s but I hate betting unders in CFB these days. Probably just leave it alone. Thanks pal.
            Comment
            • Foxx
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-25-11
              • 5825

              #7
              Originally posted by LT Profits
              Setting up another huge comeback
              The further you fall, the higher you bounce. Go gettem.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                2 NCAAF Picks Friday

                FRIDAY, 9/24
                Wake Forest +3.5 -108 (Heritage)
                UNLV +30.5 -104 (Heritage)


                YTD: 18-24-1, -8.91
                Comment
                • stackz125
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-03-16
                  • 6190

                  #9
                  You think Wake is worth sprinkling?
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by stackz125
                    You think Wake is worth sprinkling?
                    I assume you mean ML, I did not do it because I still get VA -2.02, I was more interested in getting the +3.5 as I would pass at +3.
                    Comment
                    • dirtycash66
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-13-12
                      • 2958

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      I assume you mean ML, I did not do it because I still get VA -2.02, I was more interested in getting the +3.5 as I would pass at +3.
                      The total is set at 70 I'm not sure +3.5 is even going to matter. lol
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by dirtycash66
                        The total is set at 70 I'm not sure +3.5 is even going to matter. lol
                        But -2.02 is always -2.02

                        So key number aside, need 3.5 to have over 1-point variance.
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          7 NCAAF Picks Saturday

                          SATURDAY, 9/25
                          Wisconsin -6 -108 (Heritage)
                          Ohio +14 -108 (Heritage)
                          Mississippi State +2 -108 (Heritage)
                          Texas Tech +9 -108 (Heritage)
                          Massachusetts / Coastal Carolina UNDER 67.5 -113 (Bookmaker)
                          Kansas State +5.5 -108 (Heritage)
                          California +7.5 -113 (Heritage)


                          YTD: 20-24-1, -6.91
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            2 Last NCAAF Pick Additions

                            9 Plays

                            SATURDAY, 9/25
                            Wisconsin -6 -108 (Heritage)
                            Ohio +14 -108 (Heritage)
                            Mississippi State +2 -108 (Heritage)
                            Texas Tech +9 -108 (Heritage)
                            Massachusetts / Coastal Carolina UNDER 67.5 -113 (Bookmaker)
                            Arkansas +4.5 -108 (Heritage)
                            Kansas State +5.5 -108 (Heritage)
                            California +7.5 -113 (Heritage)
                            Colorado +14 -108 (Heritage)
                            Comment
                            • pavyracer
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-12-07
                              • 82486

                              #15
                              LT about to start 0-5. Wisconsin is the only one that can bail him out.
                              Comment
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