Fastballs NCAAF season thread

[fastball00]

I will be posting one or two NCAAF selections per week in this thread. A clear and decisive record will be enclosed during the season. In addition I will generally release individual selections twelve hours prior to a given event – thereby ensuring viewers of this thread are able to land a comparable line. Only ATS and totals wagers will be valid, (no exotics).

[spongerat]

good luck, any background or credentials? you sound as if you have some sort of rigid set of guidelines to prove something

[stats13]

wow great thread

[fastball00]

good luck, any background or credentials? you sound as if you have some sort of rigid set of guidelines to prove something

Spongerat -

I simply wanted to create a thread where I would be able to keep track of my record during the season, (other than a spread sheet which can be altered). I have nothing to prove other than ensuring a profitable season for myself - if others decide they can benefit from my selections - then wonderful.

Interesting stats courtesy of ps. When has an underdog won outright in the past 12 NCAAF seasons.


Favorite of --- # of GMS --- Lost Outright --- %
31+ pts ----------- 382 ------- 5 --------- 1.3%
24.5-31 ----------- 617 --------- 24 --------- 3.9%
17.5-24 ----------- 1013 ----------- 71 ---------- 7.0%
14.5-17 ----------- 650 ------------- 88 ----------- 13.5%
10.5-14 ------------ 1146 ----------- 242 ----------- 21.1%
7.5-10 ------------ 1056 ---------- 279 ------------ 26.4%
3.5-7 ------------ 1930 ------------- 658 ------------ 34.1%
3 or less ----------- 1269 ------------ 621 --------------- 48.9%

[spongerat]

uh whats that

[pags11]

GL fastball...

[fastball00]

Week 1

There are multitudes of possible plays that look good, than again we are not here for mediocrity rather dominance or profitability.

Week one generalities: Stay clear of wagering on teams that have high expectations placed on them either by themselves or the national spotlight. Moreover, if these team(s) have previously been unproven and are favored by double digits (home or away).

Also stay clear of wagering on teams that are starting a new QB with zero NCAAF snaps or are starting 3 or more new OL. In other words, experience is paramount in the first week of wagering.

Plays:

Minnesota -7 2 units

Illinois 1st half -3 (-115) 2 units

Colorado -10 4 units