Hello forum,
Here are my plays for this week:
Navy +14
Navy is fresh off of a bye week and Paul Johnson will have them prepared here. They actually defend the pass pretty well and Notre Dame's been having trouble running the football of late. Even with the back-up QB playing, I still think Navy can move the ball effectively here. Expect a few wrinkles here from Johnson on offense as well.
Miami FL +6.5
About once a year I get to take the Hurricanes as dogs and they usually do pretty well for me (had them 2 years ago at UVA and last year at Va. Tech). This one is for the ACC Coastal Division lead and I expect both teams to play some intense defense. Points will be a premium in this contest and I'm gonna take the Hurricanes here even though everyone is down on them.
Georgia +14.5
Georgia's another team that's down, but not out. Think back, when was the last time a Mark Richt coached football team was getting two TD's in a game? This guy plays his games close to the vest (and unfortunately for most he does this as the fav a lot). In this case, his conservative style should help lead to a cover. Georgia's got to try to get the ground game going to put Stafford in third and short and their D needs to play more like it did at the beginning of the year than it has lately.
Tulane -4
Tulane quitely flys under the radar as a team that can really move the football. Army comes into this game beat-up and not being able to get out of it's own way. Look for Tulane to capatilize on Army's turnovers and weak pass defense. QB Ricard and RB Forte should have a big day. Key for Tulane will be converting in the red zone. If they can do this, I expect a cover.
La. Tech +10
This one should be a WAC shootout as La. Tech has finally recovered from their brutal early season schedule. SJSU has benefited from a rather soft early season schedule and was exposed a little last week vs. Nevada. One of the key players in this one will be La. Tech RB Daniel Porter who comes into the game averaging 6.9 ypc. QB Zac Champion has also seemed to have found his rythym. QB Tafralis and RB Davis will definitely present a challenge in this one, but SJSU is usually a good home dog and hasn't done well as a favorite (see Utah St. earlier in the year). Talent level seems about equal to me, so I'm taking the points in this one.
Nevada -17 (20% at -19)
I'll be the first one to say that I've been impressed with the fight NMSU has displayed this year. However, this is a very tough spot for them coming to Reno after having to play Boise and Hawaii in their previous two weeks. QB Rowe will start for Nevada and I expect him to lead the offense on a lot of scoring drives and RB Robert Hubbard is fresh off of a 230 yard rushing performance vs. SJSU. Nevada's defense has really been outstanding this year and I expect them to force several turnovers in this one (which is the weakness of the NMSU offense).
New Mexico +7.5
New Mexico comes into this game after having won two straight, while CSU appears to be headed in the opposite direction. Rocky Long and Sony Lubick have met many times, and I expect this one to be a bit of a chess match that should be settled late into the fourth quarter. New Mexico Donovan Porterie has emerged as the leader of the offense and New Mexico has generated some good drives with him at the helm. CSU's problem continues to be that they have no running game. Every week I watch these guys I see QB Hanie running for his life. I expect more of the same this week, although CSU will put up a fight with them being at home. Going with UNM and the points here.
GLTA
pags11
Here are my plays for this week:
Navy +14
Navy is fresh off of a bye week and Paul Johnson will have them prepared here. They actually defend the pass pretty well and Notre Dame's been having trouble running the football of late. Even with the back-up QB playing, I still think Navy can move the ball effectively here. Expect a few wrinkles here from Johnson on offense as well.
Miami FL +6.5
About once a year I get to take the Hurricanes as dogs and they usually do pretty well for me (had them 2 years ago at UVA and last year at Va. Tech). This one is for the ACC Coastal Division lead and I expect both teams to play some intense defense. Points will be a premium in this contest and I'm gonna take the Hurricanes here even though everyone is down on them.
Georgia +14.5
Georgia's another team that's down, but not out. Think back, when was the last time a Mark Richt coached football team was getting two TD's in a game? This guy plays his games close to the vest (and unfortunately for most he does this as the fav a lot). In this case, his conservative style should help lead to a cover. Georgia's got to try to get the ground game going to put Stafford in third and short and their D needs to play more like it did at the beginning of the year than it has lately.
Tulane -4
Tulane quitely flys under the radar as a team that can really move the football. Army comes into this game beat-up and not being able to get out of it's own way. Look for Tulane to capatilize on Army's turnovers and weak pass defense. QB Ricard and RB Forte should have a big day. Key for Tulane will be converting in the red zone. If they can do this, I expect a cover.
La. Tech +10
This one should be a WAC shootout as La. Tech has finally recovered from their brutal early season schedule. SJSU has benefited from a rather soft early season schedule and was exposed a little last week vs. Nevada. One of the key players in this one will be La. Tech RB Daniel Porter who comes into the game averaging 6.9 ypc. QB Zac Champion has also seemed to have found his rythym. QB Tafralis and RB Davis will definitely present a challenge in this one, but SJSU is usually a good home dog and hasn't done well as a favorite (see Utah St. earlier in the year). Talent level seems about equal to me, so I'm taking the points in this one.
Nevada -17 (20% at -19)
I'll be the first one to say that I've been impressed with the fight NMSU has displayed this year. However, this is a very tough spot for them coming to Reno after having to play Boise and Hawaii in their previous two weeks. QB Rowe will start for Nevada and I expect him to lead the offense on a lot of scoring drives and RB Robert Hubbard is fresh off of a 230 yard rushing performance vs. SJSU. Nevada's defense has really been outstanding this year and I expect them to force several turnovers in this one (which is the weakness of the NMSU offense).
New Mexico +7.5
New Mexico comes into this game after having won two straight, while CSU appears to be headed in the opposite direction. Rocky Long and Sony Lubick have met many times, and I expect this one to be a bit of a chess match that should be settled late into the fourth quarter. New Mexico Donovan Porterie has emerged as the leader of the offense and New Mexico has generated some good drives with him at the helm. CSU's problem continues to be that they have no running game. Every week I watch these guys I see QB Hanie running for his life. I expect more of the same this week, although CSU will put up a fight with them being at home. Going with UNM and the points here.
GLTA
pags11
I wish I would have been on your side in NU/Texas game last week... oh well, I guess we all have to disagree at some point huh? 
