CFB 2013 (and some NFL)

[BiffTFinancial]

wow, got screwed on the asu over... 1 point

Almost played 2nd half under bc game was so far out of hand but then thought 53pts at half this would be easy cover. Yeah, was that wrong! Fuk ASU for packing it in at half up 41pts.

and ASU ran the ball down to the Colorado two yard-line before kneeling it out at the end. ugh.

[BiffTFinancial]

CFB Week Seven final card
3* Missouri/Georgia over 64 - WINNER
3* Wisconsin TT over 33' - WINNER
2* Texas TT under 23 - LOSER
2* Ohio U -18' (-107) - LOSER
2* Florida/LSU over 49 (-103) - LOSER
2* Teaser: BYU (-1') + Mississippi State (-5') (+100) - LOSER
2* Ole Miss TT over 36 - WINNER
2* Colorado/Arizona State over 68 (-105) - LOSER

3-5 -2.5u

CFB YTD: 33-34 -4.78u

damn my eyes on the late adds again. double bah.

[BiffTFinancial]

some thoughts for NFL:

Saints, Ravens, Skins, Browns, Bengals all look like potential teaser material

team total leans (guesses as to numbers as 5D hasn't opened TTs yet)
Bengals over 24
Chiefs under 26
Saints over 24
Jets under 21

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* Teaser: Ravens +8'/Texans -2' (-105)

tailing Banks's teaser

NFL Week Six updated card
2* Teaser: Ravens +8'/Texans -2' (-105)
1* Giants/Bears 1H under 24 (-115) - LOSER

[Bs1194]

I like it. Lets make some $$ today

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* Chiefs team total under 24 (+100)

NFL Week Six updated card
2* Teaser: Ravens +8'/Texans -2' (-105)
2* Chiefs TT under 24 (+100)
1* Giants/Bears 1H under 24 (-115) - LOSER

[BiffTFinancial]

I like it. Lets make some $$ today

let's get it.

leaned under on ULM/Texas State game yesterday and meant to ask your thoughts, totally slipped my mind. wish i had.

[BiffTFinancial]

Can't tell if today's NFL card is heavy on teaser material or if i'm simply light on confidence.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* Packers/Ravens over 49 (-105)

Pack, Ravens collectively 13-4 over in non-conf games last 3 years.

NFL Week Six updated card
2* Teaser: Ravens +8'/Texans -2' (-105)
2* Chiefs TT under 24 (+100)
2* Packers/Ravens over 49 (-105)
1* Giants/Bears 1H under 24 (-115) - LOSER

[Bs1194]

let's get it.

leaned under on ULM/Texas State game yesterday and meant to ask your thoughts, totally slipped my mind. wish i had.

I went with the under, but my heart outweighed my wallet and I went with t state -6.5. There were supposed to be storms rain really helps our odds, ie the blowout vs Wyoming this year. Oh well

[BiffTFinancial]

Double-checked: In non-conference games, Packers and Ravens are collectively 7-2 over since beginning of 2012 season, 13-4 over since beginning of 2011.

[BiffTFinancial]

I went with the under, but my heart outweighed my wallet and I went with t state -6.5. There were supposed to be storms rain really helps our odds, ie the blowout vs Wyoming this year. Oh well

Gotcha. Sorry to hear that. I didn't watch that game but it would have had to have been a frustrating one to watch as a fan backing your team (lose as home fave at very end, 15-156 penalties, 2 INTs). Ouch.

[BigBoi]

I got Broncos over 40. Even Osweiler might score today.

[BiffTFinancial]

adding

2* Eagles/Bucs under 45 (-105)

NFL Week Six updated card
2* Teaser: Ravens +8'/Texans -2' (-105)
2* Chiefs TT under 24 (+100)
2* Packers/Ravens over 49 (-105)
2* Eagles/Bucs under 45 (-105)
1* Giants/Bears 1H under 24 (-115) - LOSER

Like teaser with Stillers/Bucks but too much juice to get Stillers across the 7.

Likely passing on 4 pm games. Lean Skins/over tonight. BOL to all today.

[BiffTFinancial]

I got Broncos over 40. Even Osweiler might score today.

passing on that game (also Lions/Browns (Weeden), Panthers/Vikes (Peterson situation)) because i can't figure it out. BOL on Broncos TT over, no argument from me on that one for sure. hope you have it by mid-3Q.

[SilverTongueFox]

It was a disastrous weekend for me. Definitely took it on the chin. Time to rebound as we are due for big weekend.

At home or on the road this A&M defense is awful. Can't believe Auburn is catching +13.5/14 pts. I'm not sure I can wait as that number probably doesn't last. I will look at Auburn TT later in the week. Another Georgia over probably in order. Like LSU/SC teaser.

[BiffTFinancial]

NFL Week Six final card
2* Teaser: Ravens +8'/Texans -2' (-105) - LOSER
2* Chiefs TT under 24 (+100) - PUSH
2* Packers/Ravens over 49 (-105) - LOSER
2* Eagles/Bucs under 45 (-105) - LOSER
1* Giants/Bears 1H under 24 (-115) - LOSER

0-4-1 -7.25u

Just brutal. After the Chiefs got 10 points in the final minutes off of two Pryor INTs, I decided to pack it in for a couple of days. Clearly not my weekend.

NFL YTD: 14-16-2 -5.79u

[BiffTFinancial]

It was a disastrous weekend for me. Definitely took it on the chin. Time to rebound as we are due for big weekend.

At home or on the road this A&M defense is awful. Can't believe Auburn is catching +13.5/14 pts. I'm not sure I can wait as that number probably doesn't last. I will look at Auburn TT later in the week. Another Georgia over probably in order. Like LSU/SC teaser.

Disastrous indeed. Check your pms.

Haven't looked at much yet, but agree, Auburn jumped out at me initially given how crappy TAMU's defense is. Will start capping CFB tonight.

[Bs1194]

Anything about tonight game? ULL is 0-3 ATS on the road/ WKU 3-0 ATS at home this season.

[BiffTFinancial]

Anything about tonight game? ULL is 0-3 ATS on the road/ WKU 3-0 ATS at home this season.

passed on tonight, sorry didn't check back in. i leaned ULL/over on that game so good thing that I didn't!

[BiffTFinancial]

CFB Week Eight discussion

leans
UGA/Vandy over 61 [only total for which i ran model but initially have 75+; opened at 62 then dropped; weather?]
Vols +7 [our pal Jeff Grant posted a couple of solid trends on this one] though can't argue with STF LSU/S Carolina teaser
Auburn +13/game over 72/TT over (29'?)
USC +3
Noles -3/Clemson TT under (31?)
Wisconsin will rip Illinois' off

[BiffTFinancial]

liking both Wisky -12' and Illinois TT under a lot. thinking will be Wisky 34/Illini 21' based upon current 55' total. Badgers by three scores, hang 35+ and no way does Illinois hang more than three scores on the Wisky defense. Guess if i have to prioritize initially, it's Illinois TT under/Wisky -12'/Wisky TT over. Wisky TT overs are a home play.

[Bs1194]

passed on tonight, sorry didn't check back in. i leaned ULL/over on that game so good thing that I didn't!

Yea I watched ULL beat the dog crap out of t state, I went ULL +150, under, and a teaser ULL +9.5, under 68.

[SilverTongueFox]

Biff - have you ran numbers for Tx Tech/WV? WV seem to be coming alive on offense which you would expect under Holgerson. Doesn't matter who is under center for TX Tech they put up a bunch of pts. Concern is WV seems to play better defense at home and it is an early kick. Can't help but think we see a lot of pts here though. Total sitting at 57 seems way to low. But I'm sure the 51 combined in the Okie St/ WV game playing a role in this total. Let me know what you think.

[BiffTFinancial]

Yea I watched ULL beat the dog crap out of t state, I went ULL +150, under, and a teaser ULL +9.5, under 68.

Looks like all-around good calls. Nice job!

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff - have you ran numbers for Tx Tech/WV? WV seem to be coming alive on offense which you would expect under Holgerson. Doesn't matter who is under center for TX Tech they put up a bunch of pts. Concern is WV seems to play better defense at home and it is an early kick. Can't help but think we see a lot of pts here though. Total sitting at 57 seems way to low. But I'm sure the 51 combined in the Okie St/ WV game playing a role in this total. Let me know what you think.

Will run it shortly.

Played Red Sox/Tigers over 7' for 1u

[SilverTongueFox]

Will run it shortly.

Played Red Sox/Tigers over 7' for 1u

I played over as well but have more on over Tigers TT.

Good luck to us!

[SilverTongueFox]

Damn, I'm watching these chicks on Crossfit (Espn). Bad asses. Just flipped over to game to see Tigers 4 spot in 2nd. He'll yes!

[SilverTongueFox]

Damn, I'm watching these chicks on Crossfit (Espn). Bad asses. Just flipped over to game to see Tigers already a 4 spot already in 2nd. Hell yes!

[SilverTongueFox]

Damn, I'm watching these chicks on Crossfit (Espn). Bad asses. Just flipped over to game to see Tigers already a 4 spot already in 2nd. Hell yes!

Make that a 5 run 2nd. Nice!

[BiffTFinancial]

Miguel Cabrera stopped doing his Mark Reynolds impression just in time.

[BiffTFinancial]

Make that a 5 run 2nd. Nice!

Aviles had a great AB. If he doesn't work his walk, Peavy might've escaped

[BiffTFinancial]

Cash Red Sox/Tiger over woot

STF, what's your objective opinion on Vandy +9'? That's the line in my big pool. I'm already going to have Wisky -10', Noles -2' for confidence points and probably Auburn. Liking Vandy and also Vols +7'.

[BigBoi]

Anything tomorrow?

[BiffTFinancial]

Biff - have you ran numbers for Tx Tech/WV? WV seem to be coming alive on offense which you would expect under Holgerson. Doesn't matter who is under center for TX Tech they put up a bunch of pts. Concern is WV seems to play better defense at home and it is an early kick. Can't help but think we see a lot of pts here though. Total sitting at 57 seems way to low. But I'm sure the 51 combined in the Okie St/ WV game playing a role in this total. Let me know what you think.

I like WVU plus points and the over. I have around 65 points for that game assuming each team gets 70+ offensive plays. I do see that there is a chance of rain, and early start also a bit of a concern.