$$_MisterMoney_$$ - Cotton Bowl - MUST READ - Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech

**clowncar** · 12-22-08, 03:22 AM

Remember I am betting exactly what I post on here. So if I lose I lose big. I am not responsible for any of your bets. Remember to use money management. Unit your bets. Never bet more than you can lose. I will lose 3/4 of my bankroll if I lose this bet. Be careful. If I lose this I will never post again.

50* - Ole Miss Rebels ML
30* - Ole Miss Rebels +5

Win or lose you are making a terrible mistake. A 1-50 unit spread is not bad business it is terrible business.

With that said , I agree with you that Ole Miss wins that game straight up.

Slow and steady wins the race.

I will be cheering for you as I cheer for everyone to beat the books.

Good luck mistermoney

**_MisterMoney_** · 12-22-08, 03:28 AM

You are right slow and steady wins the race. Gambling is a marathon and those that turn it into a sprint end up losing big and are left quitting the race or are chasing from behind. I will still have 20* (20 x 1% of the bankroll at the time) if I lose. If I lose I will then bet only 1% of my remaining bankroll and start over building the bankroll in small increments. I know this is very risky, but I believe that Ole Miss will win by atleast seven. That is not just with my gut. I have turned this game inside and out. I am on the Ole Miss message boards over an hour everyday and read the stories by the writers on the Ole Miss recruiting and sports website everyday. My obsession with Ole Miss sports is huge. Which is probably not smart considering we have never been great at any sports since before I was born. Thanks for kind words. Are you saying that I don't bet exactly what my units are? I'm confused on that one and your quote

Win or lose you are making a terrible mistake. A 1-50 unit spread is not bad business it is terrible business.

**_MisterMoney_** · 12-22-08, 03:51 AM

I just figured out how to do signatures so my updated record and units will be at the bottom of every post. I will update my record for every sport at the end of every day. Good Luck

**clowncar** · 12-22-08, 05:16 AM

Originally posted by _MisterMoney_

You are right slow and steady wins the race. Gambling is a marathon and those that turn it into a sprint end up losing big and are left quitting the race or are chasing from behind. I will still have 20* (20 x 1% of the bankroll at the time) if I lose. If I lose I will then bet only 1% of my remaining bankroll and start over building the bankroll in small increments. I know this is very risky, but I believe that Ole Miss will win by atleast seven. That is not just with my gut. I have turned this game inside and out. I am on the Ole Miss message boards over an hour everyday and read the stories by the writers on the Ole Miss recruiting and sports website everyday. My obsession with Ole Miss sports is huge. Which is probably not smart considering we have never been great at any sports since before I was born. Thanks for kind words. Are you saying that I don't bet exactly what my units are? I'm confused on that one and your quote

Win or lose you are making a terrible mistake. A 1-50 unit spread is not bad business it is terrible business.

What i mean is that it can be successfully argued that no winning sports bet is twice as valuable as another , which is why there are a lot of flat bettors. If you have an edge when you bet 1 unit ... how much more of an edge do you need to bet 50 ? So all i am saying is no matter the result of the game ( I am betting ole miss plus the points too and think you win your moneyline bet ) , you are making a BIG mistake in money management.

I hope you win the bet and realize afterwards that it was a bad decision to bet in that manner and return to a more disciplined approach.

But i am not beating you up over it. I wish you genuine luck.

Now for me to be selfish ... can you tell me why you like Ole Miss to dominate here ?

**rockhardfister** · 12-22-08, 07:16 PM

Originally posted by _MisterMoney_

You are right slow and steady wins the race. Gambling is a marathon and those that turn it into a sprint end up losing big and are left quitting the race or are chasing from behind. I will still have 20* (20 x 1% of the bankroll at the time) if I lose. If I lose I will then bet only 1% of my remaining bankroll and start over building the bankroll in small increments. I know this is very risky, but I believe that Ole Miss will win by atleast seven. That is not just with my gut. I have turned this game inside and out. I am on the Ole Miss message boards over an hour everyday and read the stories by the writers on the Ole Miss recruiting and sports website everyday. My obsession with Ole Miss sports is huge. Which is probably not smart considering we have never been great at any sports since before I was born. Thanks for kind words. Are you saying that I don't bet exactly what my units are? I'm confused on that one and your quote

Win or lose you are making a terrible mistake. A 1-50 unit spread is not bad business it is terrible business.

I didnt realize that you were from Mississippi and went to school there. My question is, are you on the TT message boards for an hour a day? Are you sure you are not betting with your heart not your brain?

By the way, I like the rebels too so im on it and pulling for you. Funny story about gambling in college - When I was a JR in college (early 90's) I had an oversees account with sportsbook. I had $2K in that account and laid 1K on Holyfield over Tyson @ 16-1 when the line first opened. I won the bet and the book said that I never verified my pin # so it didnt count (this is before the internet). You can imagine how I felt! Anyway, back on point here - good luck and I hope you dont have to learn any hard lessons here.

**_MisterMoney_** · 12-23-08, 12:30 AM

Yes I am a diehard fan for Ole Miss and a student. But believe me I'm not betting with my heart. I am betting a huge percentage of my bankroll and I would not bet it on a bet that was influenced by my heart. Yes I want Ole Miss to win. But I will not let that influence my betting. I have bet on Ole Miss this year and against them.

I plan on going to Harvard Business School after I graduate and work for a few years. I have a list of great business ideas and one invention that I need financial backing for. I want to own my own company and I look at sports gambling as investing. I would not be gambling sports if I did not believe that I could make money at it. I treat my picks as stocks and my sports gambling basically as investing in stocks. So far in about 3 months betting a unit as 1% of my bankroll I have increased my bankroll from 10,000 to over 15,000 when I began posting on here. And since then I am now up 22 more units. That is $3300. I spend a lot of time researching the games. I might drop betting on NCAAB because I just don't think that I will be able to make as much money in it. I could use my time capping other sports. Well anyways I look at my huge obsession for Ole Miss sports as inside information. I know everything about the Ole Miss football. I'm talking everything. I believe this game is a huge opportunity for me to increase my bankroll and therefore increase my units and make more money off sports gambling. I will probably never again do a bet this risky. Yes I know its risky. Think of Martha Stewart when she got caught selling stocks because of insider info. Except this is legal. I do not honestly think I will see another bet like this in atleast 10 years. And I thank ESPN's hype of Texas Tech daily for giving me this opportunity. Texas Tech is good, no doubt. But come January 2nd around dinner time you will see why I made such a risk. I'm not saying this is a lock. Because I don't believe in those. I just believe I have inside information that is extremely valuable. But believe me I have also researched every game of Texas Tech this year and each opponent. I did not just go by there amount of yards on each team when I researched there offense. I checked their opponents defense and how they fared over the season. I checked their weaknesses and strengths. And when I researched each game and Texas Tech's defense I looked at the opponents offense and their strengths and weaknesses. All in all I'm making the exact bet that I say I will. I'm doing the humongous write-up and analysis to further assist ya'll in making money. Thats the objective when I gamble sports. And I'm trying to help ya'll.

**rockhardfister** · 12-23-08, 06:28 AM

Im with you pal, I love Ole Miss but to me this comes down to a simple Force on Force struggle and my assumption that I think the Big 12 will be exposed in bowl games this year...especially those teams playing great SEC teams (Ole Miss, Florida).

I appreciate your time and effort into this. Lets get this!

**jackpot269** · 12-23-08, 07:23 AM

GL I'm own Ole miss too!! thank you for helping confirm my pick with some insider info. I look forward to the rest of your write up. We were on opposite sides of the field when you visited Bryant Denny Stadium but hope the SEC dose great in the bowls there are some tight match ups!!! Again GL on this game & all the other bowls

!!!!!!!!!!

**_MisterMoney_** · 12-24-08, 12:13 AM

Write-up should be done soon. I'm working on it on the side of capping all my games.

**xyzky** · 12-24-08, 12:37 AM

Good luck man, I like Ole Miss as well!!

**_MisterMoney_** · 12-26-08, 06:56 PM

Been away from the computer for 2 days so haven't been able to finish the write-up. Will have it done by late Sunday. Make money.

**dolce05** · 12-26-08, 07:38 PM

first off dont bullsh*t a bullshi**er....your betting with your heart TOTALLY....i wish you all the luck, but think of the hard work and time it took to build your bankroll another 5,000, now you can piss it away in one night, one unlucky snap of the ball, one unlucky fumble.

Try this....bet half of what you were going to originally...if you win you'll still be happy....and if you lose its not that hard to swallow. This game isn't that much of a lock....most aren't.

You have a better chance with a new england / buffalo game. New england needs the game...buff dont. Plus belichick doesnt give a rats ass about anyone and plays the team hard the entire game

I've seen too many college games start playing seniors who are in there last season when only down by 16 with a half a qtr to go.

dont bet with your heart use your noodle.

**_MisterMoney_** · 12-26-08, 09:09 PM

I like the quote dolce05. Not to be to harsh tho The next time you want to bullshit a bullshitter, just bullshit each other instead. After you read the write up you will see how overrated the Texas Tech team is. Eastern Washington a Division 2 team gained almost 400 yards against them and had only 6 less first downs. I have every game analyzed. I promise you I'm not going with my heart. It's all noodle.

**dolce05** · 12-26-08, 09:36 PM

hey mistermoney if yo ufeel that strong on this pick then the best of luck to you......just remember we can debate alot of things till we're blue in the face its up to the kids to perform on the field that day...i hope it all works out...just make sure your ok with yourself it doesnt work out.....but if it does...thats a nice payday. Make sure you pull some and then play with house money.

you just have too much history with that school for me to believe some of this decision isn't with your heart....it is ironic your first play out of character is with a school you attended as well as your family. best of luck

(i actually like the pick...just can't lay the farm on it)

**_MisterMoney_** · 12-27-08, 03:14 AM

It is all up to the kids on gameday, but we bet because we believe we have an edge on the game. We believe that we know something that pushes us one way or the other and gives us an edge. Sometimes you win sometimes you lose. But I really don't believe this is irony here. I believe this is a great opportunity. Ole Miss was winless in the SEC last year so most people wrote them off this year. They lost 4 games this year. By a combined 19 points. Still not given the respect they deserve. I know how Ole Miss plays in basically every situation. They thrive as the underdog. Now I'm not saying Ole Miss will play the same way as they have this whole year or Texas Tech will play the same way. I'm going with an edge I have on the game. A huge edge. I'm not going to rub it in anyones face if they take Texas Tech. I'll be at the game rooting on the Rebs but not just for my money. If Ole Miss loses I will feel no worse even though I will have so much money on it. I want Ole Miss to win this because I am a huge fan. Live and breathe Ole Miss. And thats why I'm betting Ole Miss. Because I live and breathe them. I am more certain of this bet than any bet I have ever placed. Right now my bankroll is at about 20,000 dollars. Started at 10,000 the beginning of the semester. Never knew a thing about gambling going in. But I have researched bets, tried systems, read about about sports gambling, and watched sportscenter religiously. Sometimes when I have an edge on a game and feel very confident I don't even bet it. I'll sit back and watch and see how it ends up. I am gambling sports to make money. That is my only reason. I believe that my mind is can give me a great edge in a game and I have one in this one. I have a 35 on the ACT and received one of only 5 of the biggest scholarships Ole Miss gives. One of my brothers is 23 years old and is starting a Ph.D in civil engineering at MIT and the other just graduated from the University of Georgia law school (he is 25) and is an attorney for the House of Representatives of Mississippi. I am not just betting with my heart. I have researched both sides extensively and analytical have broken the game down. My write-up is rather rushed since I have been up at my hunting camp and could not access the internet for awhile. I would not bet so much on Ole Miss if I only had a slight edge. But due to my inside information on the Ole Miss Rebels I have a huge edge in this game. And I expect Ole Miss to win big. I will have a predicted score when I'm done. I wish I had this much time to research all my games because I believe I would have a tremendous record. I had never placed a bet on NBA or ever watched NBA much until about 2 weeks ago. I played soccer and football in high school and growing up. Never really cared about b-ball. Well to start off my NBA bets I have gone 12-3-1. Way better than I thought I would ever do because I figured it would take a little more time to figure out how to do it. But I developed a system that am following no doubt. I don't expect it to 80% all season but I don't believe that is a fluke. I expect my NBA record to be around 70%. I dont bet every game but only ones I have an extreme edge in. I will be disappointed if I go below 60% in NBA. To start off on my NCAAB picks I have gone 15-15-1. I'm working on the system for that one and havent placed a pick in a few days while I watch and see how it does. NHL I know nothing about because I have lived in the southern most states and know nothing about hockey. Only placed one pick and won it. Might have been luck. Probably. Well anyways I'm in this to make money and I see this game as a huge way to increase my bankroll and allow me to have each unit equal more. I will still keep 1 unit to equal 1 percent but 1 unit after this game could potentially be a lot more. If I lose then I will readjust my units and begin the climb back up to the top. But I project my percentage to win this bet at around 95%. And my inside information strengthens it. Good luck to all. I'm placing the bet no matter if anyone tries to talk me out of it. Placing it exactly how many units I say. I'll let ya'll know my bankroll the day before the bet and will let you know how much I wager on each one. Ya'll can ridicule me after but I don't see that happening. Thanks.

I didn't really mean for that to become a life story just kept on rambling. Sorry.

**chucksmith** · 12-30-08, 10:07 AM

Where is this write up? Was looking forward to reading it.....

**Mr Handicapable** · 12-30-08, 11:42 AM

You seem like a smart kid....playing YOUR team for most of your bankroll isn't smart & I'm sure you know that! Ole Miss could very well win the game but you aren't capable of looking at the game objectively! Thats why I rarely play the Colts! I thought Notre Dame was the perfect storm bet with 9 straight bowl losses and knowing that finishing 6-7 was going to create a much bigger shitstorm for Charlie Weis so I went allin but I didn't have much left after withdrawals and a few losses anyway! Personally I'm not against pounding a game like a madman vs your bankroll but it can't be w/teams you're emotionally invested in!
Snead has a cannon arm and Ole Miss has a great shot but consider it a road game w/all the TT fans in DFW...I know I lived there 11 years! Personally I think it will be a close game!

GL!!

**riggs** · 12-30-08, 12:00 PM

My local had this one set at Ole Miss +4 and this f***** has creeped up to Ole Miss +6. The Casuals are absolutely slamming Tech over here in Jersey! If this one creeps up any higher (or in all honesty, if stays where it is) I'm gonna add this one as a play and hit it hard myself! Ole Miss has a stellar Defense, they hardly get any attention at all.

**PeachDog** · 12-30-08, 12:07 PM

if you want to make money you hvae to bet lots of money. Small units is a waste of everyones and yours time.

If I were you i'd bet $7,500 on Ole Miss to cover, and leave it at that. A tip for you MISTERMONEY. If that's your game, you should bet small amounts up to that game. Put $400 and this on certain games. There are about 5 good games to bet on up to the Ole Miss game.

If you get your balance to $19,000-$20,000 then you can bet $10,000 on ole miss to cover, and then take 2 NFL games or so on the weekend and you can be at $40,000 in no time.

I've done it. your new, so I give you more advice. If you do this, and win your $40,000 bankroll then take $30,000 out, and never touch it again for gambling. Then your bankroll is $10,000 and your laughing.

I started out and I got my bankroll up 500% and then lost most of it in 2-3 days. Now I win big, I cash out, and put it away, and start again. Then take your working paycheque and save up to start again. If you need to take $1,000 out of your winnings only do that once.

**Mr Handicapable** · 12-30-08, 12:39 PM

Ole Miss +5 on Bodog...they're the place to play if you like the dog!

**Cougar Bait** · 12-30-08, 12:52 PM

I don't see how getting a 35 on the ACT has anything whatsoever to do with being a good capper. In fact, I know it means nothing. It's great that you plan to go to Harvard, and that you have a successful brother. But, some of the smartest people I know have no clue when it comes to sports gambling. Not saying you need to be a nit-wit to win at CFB (hell, I'm 6-0 so far in bowls) but people on this forum are incredibly weary of people who have only been here for 2 weeks or so and say they're throwing this much of their roll on the team their enitre life is built around. I agree, it gives you an edge, but if you're wondering why you have doubters, that may be the reason. I look forward to your write-up. I'm always interested any time I can get an edge. If there is useful information to be had, I'll be all in. BTW, I got a 31 on my ACT. But, it never made me a good capper. Time, learning the reasons behind WHY you're picking or fading a team, money management, all these things helped me. Not saying I'm the greatest or anything, just saying I've learned a lot from others on the forum. GL MM...I will be interested to see what your write-up is like.

**_MisterMoney_** · 12-30-08, 01:55 PM

The Beginning of the Write-Up

I dont really know why I wrote all that stuff about myself to tell you the truth. It was 2:14 in the morning and I was just rambling basically. I'm going to play the Ole Miss game still exactly like I said. My bankroll now is over 25,000 and might be 30,000 by gametime. Or it might go back down. My write-up for the game was lost when I went to my hunting camp and I had to start over. Here is the beginning of the new one. After I finish Ole Miss game by game I am going to go over both teams weaknesses and strengths. I can't believe I have to write all this again. I'm trying to hurry so ya'll can have the information.

Cotton Bowl - Ole Miss vs. Texas Tech – Breakdown and Write-Up
Texas Tech Schedule (11-1) Loss in Bold ATS: 5-4-1
Regular Season
Date Vs Score Week TXTCH Line O/U
Saturday 11/29/08 Baylor
W 35-28
Week 14 L -22 U 70
Saturday 11/22/08 OKLAHOMA L 21-65
Week 13 L 7 O 77
Saturday 11/08/08 Oklahoma State
W 56-20
Week 11 W -3.5 O 71.5
Saturday 11/01/08 Texas
W 39-33
Week 10 W 3.5 O 71
Saturday 10/25/08 @ Kansas
W 63-21
Week 9 W -2 O 68
Saturday 10/18/08 @ Texas A&M
W 43-25
Week 8 L -21 O 61.5
Saturday 10/11/08 Nebraska
W 37-31 x
Week 7 L -21 U 69.5
Saturday 10/04/08 @ Kansas State
W 58-28
Week 6 W -7 O 66.5
Saturday 09/20/08 Massachusetts W 56-14
Week 4 N N
Saturday 09/13/08 Southern Methodist
W 43-7
Week 3 P -36 U 68.5
Saturday 09/06/08 @ Nevada
W 35-19
Week 2 W -10.5 U 71
Saturday 08/30/08 Eastern Washington W 49-24
Week 1 N N

Ole Miss Schedule (8-4) ATS: 8-3
Date Vs Score Week MISS Line O/U
Friday 11/28/08 Mississippi State
W 45-0
Week 14 W -18 U 47.5
Saturday 11/22/08 @ Louisiana State
W 31-13
Week 13 W 3 U 54
Saturday 11/15/08 UL Monroe
W 59-0
Week 12 W -24 O 58.5
Saturday 11/01/08 Auburn
W 17-7
Week 10 W -6.5 U 43
Saturday 10/25/08 @ Arkansas
W 23-21
Week 9 L -6.5 U 57.5
Saturday 10/18/08 @ ALABAMA L 20-24
Week 8 W 12.5 U 48.5
Saturday 10/04/08 SOUTH CAROLINA L 24-31
Week 6 L -2 O 41
Saturday 09/27/08 @ Florida
W 31-30
Week 5 W 23 O 50
Saturday 09/20/08 VANDERBILT L 17-23
Week 4 L -7 U 50
Saturday 09/13/08 Samford W 34-10
Week 3 N N
Saturday 09/06/08 @ WAKE FOREST L 28-30
Week 2 W 7 O 45.5
Saturday 08/30/08 Memphis
W 41-24
Week 1 W -9.5 O 52.5

Texas Tech Offense
Record Rank
Total Yards 536.2 4
Passing Yards 417.2 1
Rushing Yards 118.9 96
Points Scored 44.6 4
Field Goal % 57.1 102

Ole Miss Defense Record Rank
Total Yards 293.8 15
Passing Yards 209.8 60
Rushing Yards 83.9 6
Points Allowed 17.8 14
Field Goal % 84.6 109

Ole Miss Offense Record Rank
Total Yards 398.7 39
Passing Yards 215.2 58
Rushing Yards 183.4 32
Points Scored 30.8 32
Field Goal % 81.2 24

Texas Tech Defense Record Rank
Total Yards 371.6 72
Passing Yards 238.1 92
Rushing Yards 133.5 44
Points Allowed 26.2 67
Field Goal % 69.2 61

Texas Tech Game by Game
Game 1 :Texas Tech vs. Eastern Washington W 49-24
Tech opens the season with a cupcake game against a Division 2 Team. No spread on the game for good reason. EWU finished the season at 6-5 (in the FCS division). Tech goes into halftime with a 28-17 lead. Not bad but not good that’s for sure. TT scores their last touchdown with 2 minutes to go in the game. Kicking a man when’s he down it seems. A win by 18 wouldn’t look good enough on paper. Eastern Washington had 24 first downs to Texas Tech’s 30. The Eagles of EWU gained 364 yards against the Red Raiders. Eastern Washington won in time possession but barely 30 minutes to 29 minutes.
Game 2: Texas Tech vs. Nevada W 35-19
Second game of the season Texas Tech goes up against the wolfpack of Nevada. The won against the spread of -10.5. But that was with a late touchdown with 6 minutes to go in the fourth quarter. Nevada outgained the Red Raiders 488 yards to 421. Nevada had 8 more first downs (28-20). And won the time of possession by 12 minutes. Not a very impressive win against the Wolfpack who finished the season 7-5 and will play Maryland in the bowl game.
Game 3: Texas Tech vs. SMU W 43-7
Big win here for Texas Tech as they put a whooping on the second worst overall defense in the nation (119th ranked defense). That’s right, SMU is 110 or worse in every statistic for defense. And there are only 120 teams in all of Division 1. You do the math. SMU won the time of possession but that’s about it. However they still managed to gain almost 300 yards against a defense some claim to be pretty good of Texas Tech’s (overrated).
Game 4: Texas Tech vs. Mass W 56-14
Another big win as Texas Tech beat the Massachusetts ______. Oh I don’t know there mascot. And there is no spread. That’s because they are in Division 2. Yep that’s the second game in four games that Texas Tech has played the very definition of a cupcake. Two games against two teams in Division 2. Good call Leach. Well anyways this Division 2 team finished the season 6-5. Losing to James Madison and New Hampshire by a combined 104-59. Not a very good defense they have. I can’t pull up any overall stats for either Division 2 teams as they don’t keep record. Wonder why. This team managed to gain 260 yards against Texas Tech and only lose by 1 minute in time of possession.
Game 5: Texas Tech vs. Kansas State W 58-28
Pretty big win for the Red Raiders here against the 3rd worst defense in the nation. Yep so far Texas Tech has played 2 Division 2 teams and the 2nd and 3rd worst defenses in the nation. Pretty tough schedule.
Game 6: Texas Tech vs. Nebraska W 37-31 OT
Back and forth game the whole way. Went to OT. Nebraska won this game stats wise but came up very short in the Score Column. Spread was -21. Loss on the spread clearly. Nebraska had 13 more first downs (29 to 16), 50 more yards (471 to 421), and won the time of possession by 20 minutes (40 to 20). Nebraska threw an Interception in overtime that cost them the win as 21 point underdogs.
Game 7: Texas Tech vs. Texas A&M W 43-25
Looks like a pretty big win here guys but look closer. Texas Tech was up 27-23 till almost the end of the third quarter. Texas Tech scored their last touchdown with 20 seconds left. That’s right, 20 SECONDS LEFT. Mike Leach again is trying to run up the score. Texas A&M was the worst Big 12 team offensively but still managed to gain 306 yards against the Red Raiders.
Game 8: Texas Tech vs. Kansas W 63-21
Kansas was never really in this game considering there passing defense is 114th in the nation. Only 6 teams are worse than them. Kansas managed 315 yards against Texas Tech but was playing catch up the whole game. Nice win here.
Game 9: Texas Tech vs. Texas W 39-33
Big win here against the Longhorns at home. Tech’s crowd was insane and were pretty much the 12th man in this one. Texas was flustered the whole game but still almost managed a win in though Texas Tech outgained Texas in every aspect. Won straight up as 3.5 point underdog.
Game 10: Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State W 56-20
Pretty good win here against the Cowboys of Oklahoma State. Again Texas Tech runs up the score at the end but that’s expected. I mean they do it every chance they get. Oklahoma State’s 111th ranked passing defense definitely didn’t help them in this game. Oklahoma State averaged 5.5 yards per carry with the run.
Game 11: Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma L 65-21
This one was for all the marbles but Tech folded under pressure. Oklahoma destroyed Texas Tech in the passing game and running game. Gaining 5.4 yards per carry and 14.2 yards per pass.
Game 12: Texas Tech vs. Baylor W 35-28
Texas Tech made a great comeback in this game after being down basically since it started. Yeah I have heard on the message boards that Michael Crabtree and Graham Harrell were hurt so you cant really look to much into this game. But hey hold up. Both were in fine condition in the first half. And Texas Tech was down 21-14. Baylor went up 28-14 until Tech made their comeback.Spread of -22 was definitely not covered. Baylor managed 5.3 yards per carry.

All in all Texas Tech inflated their scores in the last quarter of games they already had control in. Scoring touchdowns with 20 seconds left in one game, 2 minutes in another and less than 5 in 2 more. Mike Leach wanted to make a statement to ESPN and the uninformed public that Texas Tech was for real. Texas Tech is grossly overrated and played a cupcake Out of Conference schedule. Not one game OOC was against a team in a BCS conference and 2 games were in Division 2. Texas Tech’s padded stats reveal a lot.

Ole Miss Game by Game
Game 1: Ole Miss vs. Memphis W 41-24
First game of the season for the Rebs and first game coached by Houston Nutt. Spread of -9.5 for the Rebs which they covered. Basically even game that the Rebs were lucky to cover the spread with. Memphis and Ole Miss games are always a battle as Memphis claims they are a rivalry. Defense played pretty poor in this game.
Game 2: Ole Miss vs. Wake Forest L 30-28
Drove the who knows how long trip with some pledge brothers of mine to go watch the Rebs take on the Demon Deacons. Spread was +7. Was a battle till the end with both teams trading touchdowns and plenty of lead changes. Great game to watch. With 1 minute left Jevan Snead makes a great drive to go up by 1 (28-27). But Riley Skinner drove the Demon Deacons to field goal range and the great field goal kicker Sam Swank nails one as time expires. Again Ole Miss’s offense looked great but the defense played poor.
Game 3: Ole Miss vs. Samford W 34-10
Horrible crowd support at this game as Ole Miss took on a Division 2 team. Beat them in every aspect but cant really take to much from this game. No spread.
Game 4: Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt L 23-17
6 turnovers for the Rebs in this one. 4 interceptions. One returned 80 yards for a touchdown. Dexter McCluster had a fumble at the goal line. Just not a good day for the Rebs. Should have gotten killed considering how many opportunities they gave the Commodores. Ole Miss still hasn’t figured out what it takes to win games but showing progress. Spread was -7.
Game 5:

**_MisterMoney_** · 01-02-09, 01:16 AM

I apologize to all that I never finished the write-up after I lost the first one due to my stupid computer. I have Vista. I'm still betting exactly as I said on this one. In 13 days (since I started posting) I have doubled my bankroll from 15000 to 30000. So have a lot riding on this one. Never felt so confident. I'll be at the game rooting the Rebels on. HOTTY TODDY!!!!

**dfinn21** · 01-02-09, 01:35 AM

You can say all you want that you don't have any bias going into this bet being a student at Ole Miss but your partial writeup sounded full of it. You may win but I really think you are making a huge money management mistake and betting for at least partially the wrong reasons.

**_MisterMoney_** · 01-02-09, 01:42 AM

Not going to go into this again. But best of luck to you.

**NashvilleGambler** · 01-02-09, 06:35 AM

Better listen to the Kid. Mississippi all the way to the BANK!!!!!!

**Smogs** · 01-02-09, 06:56 AM

I cannot wait for this game tonite, i'm 4-0 in college games and i hope ole miss make it 5 in a row. Check out my spreadsheet, i just wish i had put more money into it.
Come on miss!!! Thank god nasn have the coverage so i can watch it here in England

**NashvilleGambler** · 01-02-09, 07:02 AM

Originally posted by Smogs

I cannot wait for this game tonite, i'm 4-0 in college games and i hope ole miss make it 5 in a row. Check out my spreadsheet, i just wish i had put more money into it.
Come on miss!!! Thank god nasn have the coverage so i can watch it here in England

Cheers England

**savman** · 01-02-09, 09:12 AM

"...But due to my inside information on the Ole Miss Rebels I have a huge edge in this game. "

Which is?????????

**mmike032** · 01-02-09, 09:30 AM

Originally posted by savman

"...But due to my inside information on the Ole Miss Rebels I have a huge edge in this game. "

Which is?????????

his inside information came from one time when he saw Snead on campus and asked for his autograph

**mmike032** · 01-02-09, 09:34 AM

Ole Miss doesnt have a strong secondary and they will be exploited today. I believe Ole Miss should be able to score but can they score enough to keep up

some say well they beat FLA at FLA. true but it took about 5 TOs and a missed PAT to pull out that victory.
I digress, we shall see soon enough.
I hope I'm wrong and Ole Miss pulls the upset though

**Flaghunter** · 01-02-09, 09:35 AM

That's alot of writing Money. So just for us layman- put it in plain terms. Your predicted score and what team will win! Ole miss has made me money this year and I like the style of play. Texas Tech doesn't have crabtree at 100% which is a big target.His ankle is still hurting. A wrong turn or a roll on it and that could in flame it again. Should play to be a good game.

**roadwarrior1** · 01-02-09, 09:43 AM

McShay (ESPN) has predicted an upset by Ole Miss...............I am still not sure if I am "drinking the Koolaid" yet.

He says the pass rush of Ole Miss will be the difference. Also Harrell can not throw with ANY pressure (which is right). Can Ole Miss score enough to cover? Thats the question I have.

**carrenzo** · 01-02-09, 10:31 AM

I could be wrong but I doubt it!

But seeing that all you guys are on Miss I have to say Texas Tech -3.5-4 still not enough to win this game for these guys. I am 14-3 as of right now just rolling along. I can afford to loose this one but I am sticking with my guns.

Texas tech-4
Kentucky +3
Utah +9.5

Good luck to you guys. Just remember if your not a leader your a follower.