This might be the best UFC car of the year, Great Undercard and maincard everydog has a decent chance of winning
Josh Koshcheck -150 6 units to win 4 units
Im a big Thiago Alves fans he has really improved on his takedown defense,but i see Koshcheck being to much he has better hands than Hughes and Karo and the will keep Thiago honest and will have to respect Joshs improving standup.If wants to win he will need to rock Kosh bye a big knee his signature move.Kosh bye dec
Pete Sell +180 2 units to win 3.6 units
Sell comes into fights with the worse gameplans but he puts it on the line, he has had 2 togh losses lately with a TKO loss to Nate Quarry,Sell in the first round had Quarry rocked and almost finished him in the first Quarry came back in the 3rd and caught Sell with a big shot that fished the fight,Sell had another tough loss to Scott Smith where he broke Smiths rib but got caught coming in for the Kill. Burkman is coming off a tough loss against Dustin Hazzlett bye sub, Sell has a Black belt in Ju jitsu under Matt Serra but seems to prefer to brawl than use his ground skills. Sell is dropping down in weight to 170lb that should be a good move. I see both guys planning to bang and if Sell gets Burkman rock or on the ground look for Sell to win via TKO or dec.
Junior dos Santos + 475 1 unit to win 4.75
This might be the upset of the night,He is not Household name but comes highly touted, He looked ripped in the weigh ins he has Heavy hands and BJJ black belt under the Nog brothers he is 9-1 but his wins are against B level fighters this is his chance at the big show we will see if he steps up to the limelight or clamps up like alot of fighters in the first UFC fight.
Fabricio Werdum is a top 10 heavyweight one of the best BJJ heavyweights and much improving striking since going Chute boxe. He came in kinda heavy at 253lb (mostly in the 240lbs) we will see if this affects his cardio. Junior Dos Santos 2nd rnd TKO upset of the night.
Tyson Griffin +215 1 unit to win 2.15 units
Im taking this one for a long shot, I like tyson Griffin very excited fighter and i think he is more well rounded than Sherk but we all know Sherk is a beast and wants to get back on the winning track.Tyson has very good wrestling and has fought good wrestlers ( guida,Faber,Edgar ) but Sherk will be the best he has meet yet .Sherk has a full gas tank to go 5 rounds easy. If Tyson can Sprawl and Brawl and avoid the takedowns or scamble to his feet he could pull off a upset via split dec.
Parlay Picks
Silva -700,Kosh -150,Sherk-260,Santos+475,Fisher -330
$20 to win $375
Sell +175,Kosh -150,Griffin+220,Fisher -330
$10 to win $184
Sell +175, Santos +475,Cote +500
$10 to $978 ( this is super longshot its MMA you never know)
Silva -700,Sherk -260,Sell +180,Franca -220,Leites-400,fisher -330,Alves +130
$10 to win $233
Possible other upsets but didnt pull the trigger
Drew Mcfedries +335 - Like Cote he has heavy hands and can maybe score a KO he will need to sprawl and brawl,He is coming off a sub loss and he submission defense is very bad and Leites is a ground wizard,Mcfedries took this fight on short notice but has that puchers chance and think its still worth a few dollars ( is still might take this one )
Patrick Cote +500 this guy is a real gamer trains with a good camp Marc Delograte and GSP and proably coming out with a good gameplan. Cote weakness is his submission defense but has really improved.If Cote can pick his shots on his feet dance around and fustrate Silva and avoid the deadly Clinch of Silva( most fighters come at Silva and thats what he wants)Silva has only seen rnd 2 2 times in the UFC, I am still wondering if someone gets him into the late rnds how is cardio will be and i know Cote is in top shape thats where he could catch him. I still see Silva winning but +500 is a live dog its MMA and Cote is already coming out saying he will shock the world. Remember Cote made his UFC debut on short Notice against Tito Ortiz at 205 lb in 2004 (when tito was still good ) He knocked down tito in that fight and gave him a tough fight loss bye dec.
Matt Horwich+ 265 - The IFl vetran has had some big wins in career over Jason Mcdonald,Mike Pyle,Josh Burkman and Benji Radach will be fighting Hot Fighter and former IFL fighter Dan Miller 9-1 and has been on a tear he has great wrestling with good submission game this should be a grappling match i do see miller winning bye sub or dec but you cant count Horwich out .
Rich Clementi +190 - Rich is a very scrappy guy a very well rounded fighter on a real hot streak and has really tooken his career to the next and is in the best shape of his his life.He is fighting tough wrestler Gray Maynard who is also scappy fighter he is superstrong and heavyhanded,Look for Rich to keep this standing for a while and try to knock him down or take Grey down and take his back for a RNC. Gray will probably takedown Rich at will and will fustrate him winning bye dec . This fight means alot for both fighters
Josh Koshcheck -150 6 units to win 4 units
Im a big Thiago Alves fans he has really improved on his takedown defense,but i see Koshcheck being to much he has better hands than Hughes and Karo and the will keep Thiago honest and will have to respect Joshs improving standup.If wants to win he will need to rock Kosh bye a big knee his signature move.Kosh bye dec
Pete Sell +180 2 units to win 3.6 units
Sell comes into fights with the worse gameplans but he puts it on the line, he has had 2 togh losses lately with a TKO loss to Nate Quarry,Sell in the first round had Quarry rocked and almost finished him in the first Quarry came back in the 3rd and caught Sell with a big shot that fished the fight,Sell had another tough loss to Scott Smith where he broke Smiths rib but got caught coming in for the Kill. Burkman is coming off a tough loss against Dustin Hazzlett bye sub, Sell has a Black belt in Ju jitsu under Matt Serra but seems to prefer to brawl than use his ground skills. Sell is dropping down in weight to 170lb that should be a good move. I see both guys planning to bang and if Sell gets Burkman rock or on the ground look for Sell to win via TKO or dec.
Junior dos Santos + 475 1 unit to win 4.75
This might be the upset of the night,He is not Household name but comes highly touted, He looked ripped in the weigh ins he has Heavy hands and BJJ black belt under the Nog brothers he is 9-1 but his wins are against B level fighters this is his chance at the big show we will see if he steps up to the limelight or clamps up like alot of fighters in the first UFC fight.
Fabricio Werdum is a top 10 heavyweight one of the best BJJ heavyweights and much improving striking since going Chute boxe. He came in kinda heavy at 253lb (mostly in the 240lbs) we will see if this affects his cardio. Junior Dos Santos 2nd rnd TKO upset of the night.
Tyson Griffin +215 1 unit to win 2.15 units
Im taking this one for a long shot, I like tyson Griffin very excited fighter and i think he is more well rounded than Sherk but we all know Sherk is a beast and wants to get back on the winning track.Tyson has very good wrestling and has fought good wrestlers ( guida,Faber,Edgar ) but Sherk will be the best he has meet yet .Sherk has a full gas tank to go 5 rounds easy. If Tyson can Sprawl and Brawl and avoid the takedowns or scamble to his feet he could pull off a upset via split dec.
Parlay Picks
Silva -700,Kosh -150,Sherk-260,Santos+475,Fisher -330
$20 to win $375
Sell +175,Kosh -150,Griffin+220,Fisher -330
$10 to win $184
Sell +175, Santos +475,Cote +500
$10 to $978 ( this is super longshot its MMA you never know)
Silva -700,Sherk -260,Sell +180,Franca -220,Leites-400,fisher -330,Alves +130
$10 to win $233
Possible other upsets but didnt pull the trigger
Drew Mcfedries +335 - Like Cote he has heavy hands and can maybe score a KO he will need to sprawl and brawl,He is coming off a sub loss and he submission defense is very bad and Leites is a ground wizard,Mcfedries took this fight on short notice but has that puchers chance and think its still worth a few dollars ( is still might take this one )
Patrick Cote +500 this guy is a real gamer trains with a good camp Marc Delograte and GSP and proably coming out with a good gameplan. Cote weakness is his submission defense but has really improved.If Cote can pick his shots on his feet dance around and fustrate Silva and avoid the deadly Clinch of Silva( most fighters come at Silva and thats what he wants)Silva has only seen rnd 2 2 times in the UFC, I am still wondering if someone gets him into the late rnds how is cardio will be and i know Cote is in top shape thats where he could catch him. I still see Silva winning but +500 is a live dog its MMA and Cote is already coming out saying he will shock the world. Remember Cote made his UFC debut on short Notice against Tito Ortiz at 205 lb in 2004 (when tito was still good ) He knocked down tito in that fight and gave him a tough fight loss bye dec.
Matt Horwich+ 265 - The IFl vetran has had some big wins in career over Jason Mcdonald,Mike Pyle,Josh Burkman and Benji Radach will be fighting Hot Fighter and former IFL fighter Dan Miller 9-1 and has been on a tear he has great wrestling with good submission game this should be a grappling match i do see miller winning bye sub or dec but you cant count Horwich out .
Rich Clementi +190 - Rich is a very scrappy guy a very well rounded fighter on a real hot streak and has really tooken his career to the next and is in the best shape of his his life.He is fighting tough wrestler Gray Maynard who is also scappy fighter he is superstrong and heavyhanded,Look for Rich to keep this standing for a while and try to knock him down or take Grey down and take his back for a RNC. Gray will probably takedown Rich at will and will fustrate him winning bye dec . This fight means alot for both fighters
via dec 29-28 looked like a close fight like most of us thought. Drago was locking in a Guiltone choke at the end of rnd 3 but burkman toughed it out went to the scorecards