Faber via Decision +330

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  • KushMoney
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-11-11
    • 658

    #1
    Faber via Decision +330
    Great Value IMO

    I will bet $155




    goodluck

    PS. Also take Lombard by Decision +300 AMAZING Value. Lombard will gas but win 30-27. I will wager $180 on this.

    Great Value on Nick Ring / McGee matchup. Hit that.

    Take Cisco Rivera over Delorne. TKO.
  • bogbat
    SBR MVP
    • 03-21-10
    • 1843

    #2
    I agree, however there is still oodles of value in Faber straight up at +170.
    Comment
    • Luca Fury
      SBR MVP
      • 05-10-12
      • 1136

      #3
      Originally posted by KushMoney
      Great Value IMO

      I will bet $155




      goodluck

      PS. Also take Lombard by Decision +300 AMAZING Value. Lombard will gas but win 30-27. I will wager $180 on this.

      Great Value on Nick Ring / McGee matchup. Hit that.

      Take Cisco Rivera over Delorne. TKO.
      Originally posted by bogbat
      I agree, however there is still oodles of value in Faber straight up at +170.
      Agree with both of you. This fight should be either a pick 'em (like it opened) or have Faber as a slight favorite.

      Barao fades towards the end of the second round of EVERY fight. Now he's facing by far the best opponent of his career who is also a cardio freak. Barao doesn't have much power so he's not gonna KO Faber, which means he has to win 3/5 rounds.

      Welp, what are the odds that a guy who fades in round 2 of every fight wins 3/5 rounds against the best opponent he's fought who also happens to be a cardio freak? Not -200, that's for sure.

      Barao is an automatic no-bet. The only question with this fight is if Faber is is worth taking a stab at, and I think the answer is yes. I favor him slightly to win due to the above points, plus his significant speed advantage and that he's more proven.

      Ultimately, I think we're in for a competitive decision either way. Definitely not a situation where's I'd want to rely on the crap judges to get a close, 5 round decision right. Plus, if anyone scores a finish, I think it's Faber by sub on a possibly gassed Renan.
      Comment
      • Vaughany
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 03-07-10
        • 45563

        #4
        Originally posted by KushMoney
        Great Value IMO

        I will bet $155




        goodluck

        PS. Also take Lombard by Decision +300 AMAZING Value. Lombard will gas but win 30-27. I will wager $180 on this.

        Great Value on Nick Ring / McGee matchup. Hit that.

        Take Cisco Rivera over Delorne. TKO.
        Hit what?!
        Comment
        • Wanna Bet On It?
          SBR MVP
          • 11-17-11
          • 1032

          #5
          Originally posted by Vaughany
          Hit what?!
          Hmm, sounds like he wants to hit Nick Ring



          Comment
          • KushMoney
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-11-11
            • 658

            #6
            Just parlayed this up with a couple Slight Favorite picks such as Kongo, Cisco Rivera, Ryan Jimmo and Nick Ring, great value Small Plays.

            Risking in total $240 on Parlays.


            Goodluck everyone, been on a good streak last couple week hope you all do well tomorrow and win alot of money.


            Comment
            • PSUMike
              SBR Rookie
              • 07-11-12
              • 10

              #7
              My bets are currently as follows:

              Caraway - 3u @ -210
              Perosh - 1u @ +140
              McGee - 2u @ -110
              Riddle - 3u @ -155
              Faber - 2u @ +155

              Perosh is strictly a value bet. Jimmo hasn't really beat anyone of note so I am rolling the dice on that one. McGee really should be the favorite based on their first fight, Ring's chronic injuries, and the fact that Ring hasn't evolved. Riddle and Caraway are my confidence picks. I think that have significant advantages that they can exploit. Faber is very undervalued imo. I really can't see him as less than +110 worst case. People love to underestimate him.
              Comment
              • snufflyjoe
                SBR Sharp
                • 07-26-11
                • 476

                #8
                3 units on riddle? yes he does have the tools to win this fight but he has the worst fight iq of any mma fighter if anyone is going to shoot himself in the foot by having a retarded gameplan its matt riddle
                Comment
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