UFC on FUEL TV 1

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:16 AM

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:16 AM

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:17 AM

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:17 AM

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:17 AM

**GunShard** · 02-15-12, 01:33 AM

Originally posted by The HOFF

lol, Mortal Kombat.

**bogbat** · 02-15-12, 03:05 AM

Struve is really starting to fill out. I wonder if his strikes have gained much power.

**Vitooch** · 02-15-12, 01:04 PM

Are there any high quality streams of this event? I would be willing to pay for it.

UFC.TV isn't providing a stream on their website so a shitty free stream may be my only option.

**PunisherIND** · 02-15-12, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by Vitooch

Are there any high quality streams of this event? I would be willing to pay for it.

UFC.TV isn't providing a stream on their website so a shitty free stream may be my only option.

its a free event, and i thought i read that fuel tv is doing a free preview??

**NunyaBidness** · 02-15-12, 01:21 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

its a free event, and i thought i read that fuel tv is doing a free preview??

Many cable providers don't offer Fuel.

**Vitooch** · 02-15-12, 01:43 PM

The cable service at Rutgers doesn't offer such high quality cable like Fuel TV.

I ******* wanna watch Thrillbillies.

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-15-12, 01:53 PM

Been busy at work, need some degen action for tonite...

Wish I could straddle Brookins w/ Rocha by sub, but no props from 5dimes

Only play thus far is Markes +130...

Had been planning on reviewing Salas and Kuivanen fights to see if any value could be identified, but not gotten around to it. If any of you lads wanna give it a go...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4smldBEVHVg

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yJI0NKU-9Ks

**cschoeny** · 02-15-12, 03:24 PM

Here are my first ever online picks, note that my units are extremely small because I want to get used to how this all works before I lay down any serious cash.

ML:
3.2 units Struve +120
1.2 units Struve +130

1.4 units Simpson -120
0.55 units Simpson +105

0.4 units Loeffler -125

0.68 units Albert +200

Parlay:
0.8 units Ellenberger(-320)/Struve(+120) to win 1.51 units
(hail-mary) 0.4 units Ellen/Struve/Simpson/Miocic/TJ/Menjivar/Brooken to win 7.78 units

Props:
0.8 units Ellenberger ITD +180
1.08 units Not Herman ITD -135

**5mike5** · 02-15-12, 03:49 PM

events on fuelTV suck

**archer23** · 02-15-12, 04:00 PM

I am curious as to why Sean Loeffler went from favourite to now underdog.

**NunyaBidness** · 02-15-12, 04:02 PM

Originally posted by archer23

I am curious as to why Sean Loeffler went from favourite to now underdog.

Because Odessa opened the line backwards. Means/Magelhaes moved just as far.

**archer23** · 02-15-12, 04:16 PM

Thank you. Now is there a reason for Buddy to be favourite? I see Sean Loeffler as winner here.

**Vaughany** · 02-15-12, 04:23 PM

Probably because of his camp

**jacktheknife** · 02-15-12, 04:44 PM

1.25u on Menji -185

.5u on Mahgales -125

Rest is pretty weak. Some of these dogs are getting crazy numbers, (including Simpson now, apparently) I'll probably follow the lines and throw some crumbs.

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-15-12, 05:01 PM

Probably gonna throw some on Brookins...

I rate both Vagner and Brookins' standup as pretty remedial; however, that said, Vagner's standup is some of the worst that I recall seeing -- super sloppy and keeps his chin up, waiting to get tagged. Now, Brookins is hardly a Cerrone-type striker that will punish Vagner, but I see him mixing it up enough on the feet, and perhaps grabbing late takedowns to steal/secure the rounds. I don't expect a wrestling dominant strategy from Brookins due to Vagner's ground expertise, hence why he may go for the late round takedown strategy. And even if he does employ a takedown strategy early, Brookins is far from a slouch on the ground himself.

And given Vagner's propensity for inviting fisticuffs to his face, I damn near wouldn't be surprised if Brookins tags him good for a potential stoppage.

**jacktheknife** · 02-15-12, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by Educ8d Degener8

Probably gonna throw some on Brookins...

I rate both Vagner and Brookins' standup as pretty remedial; however, that said, Vagner's standup is some of the worst that I recall seeing -- super sloppy and keeps his chin up, waiting to get tagged. Now, Brookins is hardly a Cerrone-type striker that will punish Vagner, but I see him mixing it up enough on the feet, and perhaps grabbing late takedowns to steal/secure the rounds. I don't expect a wrestling dominant strategy from Brookins due to Vagner's ground expertise, hence why he may go for the late round takedown strategy. And even if he does employ a takedown strategy early, Brookins is far from a slouch on the ground himself.

And given Vagner's propensity for inviting fisticuffs to his face, I damn near wouldn't be surprised if Brookins tags him good for a potential stoppage.

So if you were making the books, what would the line be?

**jacktheknife** · 02-15-12, 05:08 PM

Just laghed at all the lowkick guys picking "Ellenburger by tko in round 3". Groupthink much?

**Grabaka** · 02-15-12, 05:18 PM

350 on Roberts @ +120
300 on Herman @ -120
200 on Markes @ +132
250 on Means @ +173

Parlays
50 on Dillashaw + Miocic + Rampage @ +155
10 on Means + Roberts + Belfort @ +652
10 on Herman + Roberts + Belfort @ +403
10 on Roberts + Dillashaw @ +206
10 on Means + Roberts @ +505
10 on Sanchez + Markes + Miocic vs DeFries Not Dec @ +1022
10 on Alexander + Dillashaw + Herman By KO + No Ellenberger ITD + Barry @ +912
10 on Dillashaw + Brookins + Evans @ +1007

I plan on hedging some.

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-15-12, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by jacktheknife

So if you were making the books, what would the line be?

Like I mentioned, I need some degen action, so am particularly intrigued by this line moving in favor of my potential bet with Brookins down to -185, and hopefully lower... I would lean maybe -220ish Brookins -- keep in mind I haven't done too much homework, so take that with a grain of salt.

Obviously Rocha is a sub threat if he gains position, but I certainly don't recall impressive takedowns from him, so could only see him gaining advantageous positions from pulling guard, working a trip/takedown against the fence (particularly if Brookins gasses - which he did do against Koch iirc), or sweeping Brookins if Brookins does use his wrestling. I view none of those methods as being particularly imposing such that Rocha can dictate where this fight goes.

But money is coming in on Rocha and I've seen a few peeps with plays on him here, so curious to here some opposing viewpoints.

**jacktheknife** · 02-15-12, 05:35 PM

Well, if you're gonna get the shakes just do what i do and round robin the whole card for change.

If one or two will get you by, might as well go with value, and I raked the whole card for those picks, in part thanks to your well-timed publicizing of the UFC vault giveaway, so feel free to tail.

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-15-12, 05:57 PM

Brookins via wall and stall

**jacktheknife** · 02-15-12, 06:16 PM

Nice, Menji jumped to -235 already.

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-15-12, 06:17 PM

0.50u Markes +130
0.50u Ellenberger / Stipe / Not Albert ITD -- saw this in Ecco's plays... like it

0.13u Stipe / Menjivar / Brookins / Magalhaes / Simpson dec / Ellenberger dec... 30:1 hail mary

looking to add maybe some degen live sh*t if 5dimes has them lines open...

eyeballing more with Brookins (down to -160 now)... and Ellenberger - hoping for some live opportunities there...

**Vaughany** · 02-15-12, 06:20 PM

Need Dirrrty Bird to get me off to a good start..

**Vaughany** · 02-15-12, 06:25 PM

Welcome to KneeFest!

**GoGoGadget** · 02-15-12, 06:25 PM

anyone have a link?

nevermind, facebook

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-15-12, 06:26 PM

1 markes 142
1 Simpson ev
1 Jake -275
1.35 pee wee -135
1 brookins -200

**jacktheknife** · 02-15-12, 06:27 PM

Damn, can't get him down, can't keep him down. He's pooched.

**Vaughany** · 02-15-12, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by GoGoGadget

anyone have a link?

facebook bro, same as every ufc

**Vaughany** · 02-15-12, 06:32 PM

Should never of been dog in this one!