WOLAK-RODRIGUEZ over 9.5

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  • kball15
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-16-10
    • 154

    #1
    WOLAK-RODRIGUEZ over 9.5
    I like the over.

    The under is SLIGHTLY favored. Rodriguez has lost once by stoppage to Jesse Feliciano about 4 years ago. Feliciano fights very similarly to Wolak in that he keeps on coming and applys ridiculous pressure that breaks guys down mentally.

    But I think Rodriguez has matured a lot since the Feliciano fight. He has lost 3 of his last 4, but to sturdy competition and at a championship level. That experience will help him enormously tonight.

    Rodriguez also has a LOT of heart and grit, and even in the Feliciano fight he was getting up off the canvas again and again, begging to fight on.

    Rodiguez at +500 is also a bit excessive. I would bit him at +250 or ever +300, but I think he has a decent shot at a KO. Delvin can REALLY crack and Wolak has AWFUL defense.

    I think I'm going to bet WOLAK BY DECISION, and then back it up by betting DELVIN BY KO.

    Thoughts?
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