New blog post:
Background:
Nick Osipczak is 5-1-0 overall, with 3 finishes by submission, and 2 by TKO. He is 2-1 in the UFC, with a somewhat controversial split decision loss to Rick Story at UFC 112. He currently fights out of Team Rough House, and is unranked in the USA Today / SB Nation consensus rankings.
Greg Soto is 7-1-0 overall, with 3 finishes by submission, and 2 by TKO. He is 0-1 in the UFC, losing to Matt Riddle via DQ due to third round illegal upkick. He currently fights out of Pellegrino Mixed Martial Arts, and is unranked in the USA Today / SB Nation consensus rankings.
Osipczak and Soto have one recent common opponent, Matt Riddle. Osipczak won a TKO victory in the 3rd round of a fight he was dominating, while Soto lost in the 3rd round of a fight he was losing conclusively.
Skills:
Osipczak is a Kung Fu and Sanshou fighter with strong cardio and dangerous kicks.
Soto is a wrestler and holds a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu under Kurt Pellegrino.
Matchup:
Osipczak will likely choose to stand with Soto, and will attempt to work in frequent kicks while avoiding the takedowns that cost him the match against Rick Story.
I expect Soto to use his wrestling to move the fight to the ground as soon as possible, and then attempt to apply top control in order to win a decision.
Lines:
Prediction:
Osipczak can win this fight by submission, TKO, or decision. Soto is unlikely to submit Osipczak or win by TKO, although he has a chance to win by decision. At this point in their careers, I feel that Osipczak is the superior fighter. The most likely outcome is Osipczak by decision.
Wager(s):
I believe Osipczak wins this fight better than two thirds of the time (-200), so I like him at the current price of -130.
A parlay with Osipczak should also be worthwhile due to potentially favorable odds and the high likelihood that he will win the fight.
2.6 units on Osipczak to win 2 units.
Background:
Nick Osipczak is 5-1-0 overall, with 3 finishes by submission, and 2 by TKO. He is 2-1 in the UFC, with a somewhat controversial split decision loss to Rick Story at UFC 112. He currently fights out of Team Rough House, and is unranked in the USA Today / SB Nation consensus rankings.
Greg Soto is 7-1-0 overall, with 3 finishes by submission, and 2 by TKO. He is 0-1 in the UFC, losing to Matt Riddle via DQ due to third round illegal upkick. He currently fights out of Pellegrino Mixed Martial Arts, and is unranked in the USA Today / SB Nation consensus rankings.
Osipczak and Soto have one recent common opponent, Matt Riddle. Osipczak won a TKO victory in the 3rd round of a fight he was dominating, while Soto lost in the 3rd round of a fight he was losing conclusively.
Skills:
Osipczak is a Kung Fu and Sanshou fighter with strong cardio and dangerous kicks.
Soto is a wrestler and holds a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu Jitsu under Kurt Pellegrino.
Matchup:
Osipczak will likely choose to stand with Soto, and will attempt to work in frequent kicks while avoiding the takedowns that cost him the match against Rick Story.
I expect Soto to use his wrestling to move the fight to the ground as soon as possible, and then attempt to apply top control in order to win a decision.
Lines:
Prediction:
Osipczak can win this fight by submission, TKO, or decision. Soto is unlikely to submit Osipczak or win by TKO, although he has a chance to win by decision. At this point in their careers, I feel that Osipczak is the superior fighter. The most likely outcome is Osipczak by decision.
Wager(s):
I believe Osipczak wins this fight better than two thirds of the time (-200), so I like him at the current price of -130.
A parlay with Osipczak should also be worthwhile due to potentially favorable odds and the high likelihood that he will win the fight.
2.6 units on Osipczak to win 2 units.