Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr Odds and Prediction

**SBR Andy** · 06-25-25, 09:54 AM

Early Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr betting insights from BetMGM:

“Following up the most bet fight in BetMGM history, Jake Paul looks to take out another former WBC Champion in Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. However, Chavez was a champion over a dozen years ago and he lost to Anderson Silva in 2021 who then lost to Jake Paul in 2022. Fight math may not be perfect, but it can help be indicative of the times and why Jake Paul is a -600 favorite.” – Alex Rella, Senior Trader, BetMGM

**SBR Andy** · 2025-06-27T19:20:58+00:00

Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. prediction from SBR's Themistoklis Alexis:

Prediction: Chavez to beat Paul
Best odds: +460 via FanDuel

"There will come a day when I pick Paul to win, but that day has not yet dawned.

Yes, Chavez is pushing 40 and was never the dog his old man was, but he’s the far superior technician of this pair and boasts an enormous edge in strength of schedule. Indeed, Chavez has shared the ring with Canelo Alvarez, Daniel Jacobs, Sergio Martinez, and Andy Lee, to name a few, while Paul’s most prized wins came from shopworn MMA vets and the ghost of Tyson.

While Paul packs a solid wallop in his overhand right, he still relies on it far too much and often fails to set it up behind the jab. In other words, a pugilist of Chavez’s experience should handily read Paul’s preferred haymaker, methodically outbox him, and hand the trumped-up YouTuber some long overdue comeuppance.

While DraftKings and BetMGM have a Chavez win at +400, FanDuel easily leads the pack this week with +460."

Best bet: Chavez by decision
Best odds: +1100 via BetMGM ($10 to win $110)

"Chavez isn’t the compact, tireless dynamo that Julio Sr. personified, but he’s got enough tread on the tires to get his hand raised come fight night - he’ll just need all 10 rounds to do it.

Even for a man of his experience, Chavez would be wise to show at least a little respect for Paul’s youth, power, and natural athleticism. The Mexican native is no stranger to going the distance, having won two straight and 20 overall by decision, and besides, he hasn’t always been wont to put his foot on the gas.

All this to say, it won’t be pretty, but Chavez should start slowly and steadily open up with his combinations as a game, yet still raw Paul begins to fade en route to a victory on points.

As with straight moneyline odds, the action on a 21st decision victory for Chavez is certainly tempting. You’ll find a win on points for the veteran at a whopping +1000 with both FanDuel and DraftKings, but BetMGM has them beat at +1100."

Method of Victory	Odds
Jake Paul points or decision	-125
Jake Paul KO/TKO	+175
Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. points or decision	+1000
Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. KO/TKO	+650
Draw	+1800

Knockdowns	Odds
Over 0.5	-280
Under 0.5	+185
Over 1.5	+170
Under 1.5	-250

Jake Paul		Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.
28	Age	39
11-1, 7 KOs	Record	54-6-1, 34 KOs
6-foot-1	Height	6-foot
76 inches	Reach	73 inches
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox