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Waiting on judges and commentators to drop 30-27 Jordan Mein scores.
Mein a prime example of a fighter cutting corners on training in prep for bellator minor leagues.Comment -
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Pettis cruised , that was easy $...that writer thinking TKO....lol.......nice cashComment -
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That claxton fight was straight bullshit! No way in hell did he lose round 3! I was sober watching it and could tell!Comment -
MMA MANIA prelim write ups -
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265 lbs.: Raphael Pessoa vs. Tanner Boser
Eleven months after a 99-second victory in his LFA debut, Raphael Pessoa (10-1) got the call to welcome Ciryl Gane to the Octagon and tapped to an arm triangle late in the first. He managed to fight his way into UFC’s win column less than three months later, though, upsetting Jeff Hughes in Singapore.
He has scored six first-round finishes among his seven total stoppages.
After cruising past Daniel Spitz in his Octagon debut, Tanner Boser (18-6-1) likewise earned himself a meeting with Gane, who handed “The Bulldozer” a decision defeat in Busan. Boser returned six months later to score the biggest win of his career, knocking out Philipe Lins with a brutal combination.
He replaces Justin Tafa on less than two weeks’ notice for a one-month turnaround.
Boser’s win over Lins is legitimately one of the most surprising performances of the year. I’ve long derided the Canadian for movement-heavy, power-light style, but he showed the ability to maintain the movement and variety that got him this far while delivering knockout blows. A Heavyweight with that sort of footwork and gas tank with a genuine mean streak is something to watch out for.
While Pessoa did better than I expected against Hughes, I chalk a lot of that success up to Hughes throwing barely half as many strikes as he did in his UFC debut. Boser figures to be a far more active and elusive target. Expect him to cruise to a comfortable victory at range.
Prediction: Boser via unanimous decision
Related
Pic! Check Out The Official ‘Whittaker Vs. Till’ Fight Poster
135 lbs.: Bethe Correia vs. Pannie Kianzad
Bethe Correia’s perfect (3-0) Octagon start gave way to a 1-4-1 skid that saw her suffer three stoppage defeats. Correia (11-4-1) came up huge as an underdog in Oct. 2019, however, out-striking Sijara Eubanks for her first decisive victory since 2014.
“Pitbull” is two inches shorter than Kianzad and will give up four inches of reach.
A successful run in The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) house carried Pannie Kianzad (12-5) to the Finale, where she tapped to a Macy Chiasson rear-naked choke. After returning to Sweden for a win on the regional circuit, she returned to the Octagon, where she fell to top prospect Julia Avila before claiming a decision over Jessica-Rose Clark.
She has scored three professional knockouts to Correia’s two.
As much as Correia shocked me and the rest of the MMA world with her win over Eubanks, this looks like too tricky a matchup. Kianzad, beyond being a capable boxer in her own right, has notable advantages in height and reach that will ostensibly prevent Correia from getting the close-quarter brawl she craves. Plus, “Banzai” showed some impressive volume against Clark, meaning Correia is unlikely to outwork her.
Though neither is likely to finish the other, Kianzad should be able to potshot her way to a comfortable win. So long as she doesn’t get sucked into Correia’s sort of slugfest, she controls the fight behind her jab en route to a unanimous decision victory.
Prediction: Kianzad via unanimous decision
Related
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170 lbs.: Ramazan Emeev vs. Niklas Stolze
Ramazan Emeev (18-4) parlayed a strong run in M-1 into a flawless (3-0) Octagon start that saw him knock Alberto Mina from the ranks of the unbeaten. Injury and **** issues then kept him on the shelf for more than one year, after which he suffered his first loss since 2014 against Anthony Rocco Martin.
“Gorets” is the shorter of the two by two inches.
Germany’s Niklas Stolze (12-3) is mint (4-0) since a 1-2 slump, scoring finishes in three of those bouts. This Saturday’s fight will be his first since a unanimous decision victory in April 2019.
He replaces the injured Shavkat Rakhmonov on just over two weeks’ notice.
I’ll admit, I’m a bit bummed that we lost Rakhmonov — his high-octane striking would have made for an intriguing style clash with the grind-happy Emeev. Still, Stolze’s got some offbeat and effective stand up of his own that could definitely trouble the Russian if it turns into a kickboxing match.
Unfortunately for him, it probably won’t. Emeev is unashamedly willing and generally able to turn any fight into a slow-paced slog. Stolze’s dynamism won’t matter much when Emeev will punish any fancy kick or committed punch with a takedown attempt or trip to the fence. Emeev scores his fourth UFC decision win in fan-unfriendly fashion.
Prediction: Emeev via unanimous decision
Related
Video: ‘Only The Strong Will Survive Fight Island’
135 lbs.: Nathaniel Wood vs. John Castaneda
Nathaniel Wood (16-4) lived up to his nickname with three consecutive submission victories in the Octagon, one of which earned him “Performance of the Night.” The run wasn’t to last, as a competitive bout with John Dodson came to a crashing halt early in the third round courtesy of “The Magician’s” lethal left hand.
“The Prospect” has knocked out eight professional opponents and submitted another six.
John Castaneda (17-4) claimed victory over Cheyden Leialoha on “Contender Series,” but his efforts weren’t enough to earn him a contract. He ultimately extended his win streak to 11 before dropping two straight, then got back in the win column with a submission of Marcelo Rojo.
“Sexi Mexi” steps in on short notice for Umar Nurmagomedov, who withdrew after the death of trainer Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov (details).
Between Wood’s life-or-death brawl in Cage Warriors, his early struggles with the stand up of Johnny Eduardo, and the Dodson debacle, it’s become clear that he’s inherited trainer Brad Pickett’s struggles with striking defense. Luckily for him, Castaneda has too many vulnerabilities to properly exploit that. Most notably, he’s fairly easy to hit in his own right and is weak off the back foot, where he’s open to the sorts of aggressive striking and effective takedowns that have been Wood’s bread and butter in the Octagon.
To win this fight, Castaneda needs to consistently force Wood backward, which I simply don’t see him doing. He’s got a bit of pop in his hands and some solid wrestling credentials, but they’re not nearly enough to keep “The Prospect” off of him. In the end, Wood bullies him for either a mid-round stoppage or dominant decision.
Prediction: Wood via second-round technical knockout
155 lbs.: Francisco Trinaldo vs. Jai Herbert
Francisco Trinaldo’s (25-7) seven-fight win streak gave way to a 2-3 skid, though his decision loss to Alexander Hernandez was more than a little questionable. The Brazilian has since proven that he’s still dangerous in his 40s with decisions over Bobby Green and John Makdessi.
“Massaranduba” stands four inches shorter than Herbert at 5’9.”
Three straight wins in the Cage Warriors cage earned Jai Herbert (10-1) a crack at the promotion’s vacant Lightweight title, which he claimed with a third-round finish of Jack Grant. Then came a clash with UFC veteran Cain Carrizosa, whom “The Black Country Banger” dispatched with a highlight-reel knee in the first.
Eight of his nine professional stoppage wins have come by form of knockout.
Though Herbert’s height and reach look problematic for the stout Trinaldo, who notably struggled to close the distance against James Vick, the Brit’s got some bad habits that make Trinaldo a deserved favorite. Notably, he both steps in too deep with his punches is vulnerable to getting backed against the fence, where his unspectacular takedown defense shows its greatest flaws. Trinaldo’s suffocating pressure and solid ground game seem perfectly suited to exploiting these issues and making Herbert’s debut a rough one.
That said, Herbert has a notably impressive gas tank, and though Trinaldo has learned how to properly pace himself, it’s unclear how long his body can hold up at the age of 41. Still, between the stylistic edge and the experience, I favor Trinaldo to consistently force Herbert into the sides of the Octagon and rack up top control for a wide decision win.
Prediction: Trinaldo via unanimous decision
Related
Pic! Check Out The Official ‘Whittaker Vs. Till’ Fight Poster
170 lbs.: Nicolas Dalby vs. Jesse Ronson
Nicolas Dalby’s (18-3-1) initial Octagon run saw him edge out Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos in a “Fight of the Night” contender, draw with Darren Till in a “Fight of the Night” winner, and then leave the promotion following losses to Zak Cummings and Peter Sobotta. He ultimately returned to UFC in dramatic fashion 17 months later, surviving heavy adversity to take a decision over “Cowboy” Oliveira in Copenhagen. H
e’ll have just under three inches of reach on the returning Jesse Ronson (21-10).
“The Body Snatcher” had one of the least fortunate Octagon runs in recent memory, losing three consecutive split decisions to Michel Prazeres, Francisco Trinaldo, and Kevin Lee. Though his recent PFL run also proved unsuccessful, he returns to the UFC cage on the heels of a submission victory.
He replaces the injured Danny Roberts on short notice for his first UFC bout in almost exactly six years.
This fight will be determined by how impactful the size difference ends up being. The two are fairly evenly matched technically, with Ronson sporting a potential edge in stopping power. Were these two naturally in the same weight class, I’d comfortably favor Ronson, as Dalby has long been plagued by his inability to generate fight-ending force.
As is, though, Dalby will be the bigger man and I don’t think Ronson hits hard enough to make up for that. Though I’d be more confident if this were five rounds, as Dalby generally starts slow and is prone to getting dropped early, he should be able to kickbox his way past “The Body Snatcher,” taking advantage of the latter’s short notice to build momentum and take the last two rounds.
Prediction: Dalby via unanimous decision
Related
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265 lbs.: Tom Aspinall vs. Jake Collier
These two were actually booked to fight in March, right as the coronavirus pandemic got into full swing, and I’d already written the preview by the time the card got axed. Figured I might as well use it ...
Following a 76-second knockout of Kamil Bazelak in 2016, Tom Aspinall (7-2) left the sport to try his hand at boxing, where he won his sole bout by first-round finish. The detour, combined with injury, kept him out of the cage until 2019, where he dispatched two opponents in a combined 2:17.
Four of his seven finishes have come in less than one minute.
Jake Collier (11-4) began his UFC career as a Middleweight, going 2-2 with upsets of Ricardo Abreu and Alberto Uda. He moved to 205 pounds for his loss to Devin Clark, then got back on the upset train with a decision over Marcel Fortuna.
He competes for the first time since 2017 due to injury.
I’ll grant that Collier has over-performed in the past, but this is a mighty tall ask. Ending a three-year layoff against a guy 20-30 pounds bigger than anyone he’s ever fought is rough on its own, made worse by the fact that Aspinall has legitimate skills. I’d favor the Team Kaobon product even if they were the same size just because of his hand speed and power; however, against a naturally smaller man coming off a huge hiatus, it goes from “tricky but doable” to “showcase.”
It is worth nothing that Aspinall’s non-disqualification defeat came about partially because of his weak takedown defense, giving Collier an avenue of victory. Between the size difference and Aspinall’s surprisingly stout submission game off of his back, though, that route’s as plagued with peril as the standup. Aspinall plugs him with a right hand for another quick finish.
Prediction: Aspinall via first-round knockout
Related
Video: ‘Only The Strong Will Survive Fight Island’
145 lbs.: Movsar Evloev vs. Mike Grundy
Movsar Evloev (12-0) capped his career-long run in M-1 with three successful Bantamweight title defenses. He’s since done his Octagon work at Featherweight, claiming decision wins over Seung Woo Choi and Enrique Barzola.
He has stopped seven professional opponents, four of them via rear-naked choke.
Unbeaten since 2015, Mike Grundy (12-1) entered UFC as the most highly credentialed English wrestler in promotional history, having taken gold at the 2014 Commonwealth Games. He made good on his promise by knocking out Nad Narimani in London last March.
This will be his first fight in 16 months thanks to injury scrapping an Aug. 2019 meeting with Evloev and the coronavirus axing a March battle with Makwan Amirkhani.
Though I’ve long been high on Evloev for some time, this might end up closer than the odds would suggest. While he has the more proven MMA grappling, Grundy’s got the superior wrestling pedigree and the faster hands; the two look fairly evenly matched wherever the fight goes, and their recent efforts suggest that they’re rapidly shoring up what deficiencies remain in their games.
I lean toward Evloev, at least if he doesn’t fade late the way he did against the exhausting Barzola. The Russian’s stiff jab looks like an effective counter to Grundy’s stand up, which still relies on leading with power shots, and he’s the better scrambler and submission artist. Grundy keeps it close, but Evloev edges out their ground and striking exchanges to claim the decision.
Prediction: Evloev via unanimous decisionComment -
Main Card -
Heavyweight: Fabricio Werdum vs. Alexander Gustafsson
Best Win for Werdum? Fedor Emelianenko For Gustafsson? Glover Teixeira
Current Streak: Both veteran’s have lost two straight
X-Factor: Who has more left in the tank?
How these two match up: I’m a little disgusted, but also a bit intrigued.
Former Heavyweight champion Werdum has ... not looked great in his last couple fights. He can blame ring rust for the most recent defeat, but still, “Vai Cavalo” showed up in mediocre shape for both matches, and it cost him. At his best, Werdum is an aggressive kickboxer with world-class Brazilian jiu-jitsu.
Gustafsson looked thoroughly flat in his last two losses as well, though he didn’t physically appear too bloated. At 33 years of age, Gustafsson is quite young for a new Heavyweight, and if his speed, power, and conditioning hold up in his new weight class, this could be a great move for the Swedish boxer.
F*ck me, this is a dumb fight to attempt to analyze.
At the very least, anyone considering betting should wait until weigh-in day. How does Gustafsson’s body look having packed on some additional pounds? Will Werdum continue to look like he raided a bakery? Those questions, at least, can be answered with a bit of patience.
There are plenty more unknowns though. How much of Werdum’s last performance can be attributed to ring rust? Is Gustafsson actually motivated to jump back from retirement? How will Gustafsson’s boxing hold up against a similarly tall opponent?
On paper, the stylistic match up favors Gustafsson. He’s younger, has excellent takedown defense, and his hands are far sharper. Perhaps there’s no reason to look beyond those simple facts, but I just find it difficult to trust Gustafsson at this point in his career. Werdum may not be at his peak, but he has yet to mentally fold inside the Octagon, and I don’t know if we can say the same about “Mauler” anymore.
Plus, a great deal of Gustafsson’s defense seems to boil down to being tall. Against a taller opponent aggressively (read: sloppily) throwing combinations, will leaning back work? It doesn’t seem like it.
Bottom line: I don’t have any confidence in this pick, and neither should you.
Prediction: Werdum via submission
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Women’s Strawweight: Carla Esparza vs. Marina Rodriguez
Best Win for Esparza? Cynthia Calvillo For Rodriguez? Tecia Torres
Current Streak: Esparza has won three straight, whereas Rodriguez is undefeated at 12-0-2
X-Factor: Rodriguez’s size and strength advantage
How these two match up: This one could be fun.
Esparza is never the bigger woman inside the cage, but that rarely stops her from imposing her wrestling skill. Plus, “Cookie Monster’s” kickboxing has really improved over the last few years, which definitely helps set up shots.
Alternatively, Rodriguez is quickly making her claim as one of the division’s most violent women. The Muay Thai fighter throws elbows and knees with real menace, and she positively manhandles opponents in the clinch.
A quick history lesson: in both of Rodriguez’s draws, she largely dominated opponent her opponents on the feet, but she lost one round so badly on the mat that her foes picked up 10-8 rounds. Given Esparza’s toughness and ability to rally, that seems like a distinct possibility here as well, as both women have simply massive advantages in their respective comfort zones.
Since picking a draw seems like a copout, I’ll ultimately side with Esparza. The former champion has been facing real tough opposition, and while she’s been winning on tiny margins, those still count!
Esparza picks up just enough takedowns to snag a close one.
Prediction: Esparza via decision
Related
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Light Heavyweight: Paul Craig vs. Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Best Win for Craig? Magomed Ankalaev For Antigulov? Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Current Streak: Craig went to a draw last time out and won the fight previous, while Antigulov has lost two straight
X-Factor: Craig’s newfound confidence
How these two match up: Weird submission guy vs. weird submission guy!
For a while, Craig only managed to win fights in improbable upsets, catching onto submissions after his opponent tired from punching him in the face. In his last two bouts, however, Craig has improved his kickboxing a good bit, which has made him a more multi-faceted offensive threat.
Dagestan’s Antigulov is about as straightforward a fighter as you’ll find in mixed martial arts (MMA). He wastes almost no time in tackling his opponent and trying to take home a limb or land a strangle. A pro since 2009, 15 of his victories come via submission.
Once more, this is a strange one. Antigulov is really a one-round fighter, and while Craig is certainly mentally tough, he has been taken out in the first-round three times prior inside the Octagon. There’s certainly a considerable chance Antigulov tosses him to the mat, takes his back, and strangles him inside a couple minutes.
That said, Craig is improving, and I trust him quite a bit more in tough situations. If he can deny Antigulov that early finish, expect the Russian to fold beneath a stream of clinch knees.
Prediction: Craig via knockout
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Welterweight: Alex Oliveira vs. Peter Sobotta
Best Win for Oliveira? Carlos Condit For Sobotta? Nicolas Dalby
Current Streak: Oliveira returned to the win column last time out, whereas Sobotta came up short
X-Factor: Oliveira’s inconsistency
How these two match up: We’ve got a real chance of a scrap here folks.
Oliveira doesn’t know how to have a boring fight. Whatever the Brazilian “Cowboy” opts to do inside the cage, he does so with violent intentions. Oliveira kicks seriously hard, runs into his cross in strange-but-powerful fashion, and is quite nasty from top position, too.
In his first UFC run, Sobotta was pretty strictly a grappler, which did not work well. His second stint with UFC has gone far more smoothly, largely because Sobotta’s a more dangerous threat on the feet and seems in better physical condition overall.
Nicholas Dalby is a common opponent between these two men (Sobotta won, Oliveira lost), and this fight does read rather similarly to Oliveira’s bout with Dalby. Once more, Oliveira is the more explosive and dangerous fighter, but he runs the risk of slowing down and losing to the more measured, technical combatant.
However, it’s worth-noting that Dalby had to really perform above his usual measure in that bout, and it was still a razor-close fight. Sobotta has fought since March 2018, and beating Oliveira feels like a major ask in his first return bout.
Prediction: Oliveira via decision
Related
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Welterweight: Khamzat Chimaev vs. Rhys McKee
Best Win for Chimaev? John Phillips For Antigulov? Tim Barnett
Current Streak: Chimaev is undefeated at 7-0 and won his first UFC bout LAST WEDNESDAY, while McKee won three straight on the regional scene prior to his short-notice signing
X-Factor: Fighting twice in 10 days is rough on the body
How these two match up: Prospect fight!
Chimaev promised a “Khabib 2.0”-type performance in his debut, and he delivered! The Swede showed brutalizing wrestling and ground work, and on the regional scene, he has sat opponents down with his kickboxing too.
Ireland’s Rhys McKee is a Cage Warriors veteran with a solid mix of knockouts and submissions on his record. He’s a definite finisher, an aggressive fighter who stalks opponents and tries to head them off with big power shots.
Chimaev was lobbed something of a stylistic softball in his debut, so there are still reasons to be skeptical about his sudden hype. However, “Skeletor” does not really seem the man to challenge him. It wasn’t all that long ago that McKee was competing at 155 pounds, which is a bad sign against a Swede who just tossed around a Middleweight with ease. Plus, while McKee does have power, he’s not the type of athletic big hitter that typically can trouble a grinder like Chimaev.
“Borz” picks up his second win of July with a handful of takedowns and dominant top control.
Prediction: Chimaev via submissionComment -
JIBBBY - Hugo How many Fights Go the Distance? 5-6 looking at a parlay with Baseball.Comment -
Only play for me is Whittaker -136. Good luck everyoneComment -
"White men can't jump."
"Black men can't swim."
"Irish men like Rhys McKee can't wrestle."
???????
T/F?Comment -
UFC on ESPN 14: Whittaker vs. Till Picks:
Nathaniel Wood Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Ramazan Emeev Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Bethe Correia Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Tanner Boser Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Movsar Evloev Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Tom Aspinall Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Nicolas Dalby Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Francisco Trinaldo Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Khamzat Chimaev Round 1 Submission (D’Arce Choke)
Peter Sobotta Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Paul Craig Round 2 Submission (Triangle Choke)
Carla Esparza Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Alexander Gustafsson Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Shogun Rua Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Robert Whittaker Round 2 TKO (Head Kick and Punches)Comment -
UFC on ESPN 14: Whittaker vs. Till
ESPN Prelims:
Fight #1: Wood vs. Castaneda (DEBUT)
Wood+Castaneda Won’t Go Distance (-160) 0.8u to win 0.5u
Wood KO/TKO (+425) 0.25u
Fight #2: Emeev vs. Stolze (DEBUT)
Parlays
Fight #3: Correia vs. Kianzad
Correia (+125) 1u
Fight #4: Boser vs. Pessoa
No Bet
Fight #5: Evloev vs. Grundy
Parlays
Hedge(s):
Grundy Decision (+390) 0.5u
Grundy Submission (+1095) 0.1u
Fight #6: Aspinall (DEBUT) vs. Collier
Aspinall Round 1 (+230) 0.5u
Fight #7: Dalby vs. Ronson
Dalby+Ronson Over 2.5 (-175) 2.63u to win 1.5u
Hedge(s):
Ronson Scorecards = No Action (+195) 0.25u
Ronson (+220) 0.5u
Fight #8: Trinaldo vs. Herbert (DEBUT)
Trinaldo (-156) 2.34u to win 1.5u
Main Card:
Fight #9: Chimaev vs. McKee (DEBUT)
No Bet
Fight #10: Sobotta vs. A. Oliveira
Sobotta (+150) 2.5u
Sobotta ITD (+400) 0.5u
Sobotta Submission (+680) 0.25u
Hedge:
Oliveira KO/TKO (+310) 0.75u
Fight #11: Craig vs. Antigulov
Craig+Antigulov Under 1.5 (-130) 0.65u to win 0.5u
Craig KO/TKO (+675) 0.25u
Fight #12: Esparza vs. M. Rodriguez
Esparza Decision (+200) 0.5u
Esparza+M. Rodriguez Draw (+4000) 0.1u
Fight #13: Gustafsson vs. Werdum
Gustafsson Decision (+200) 0.5u
Hedge(s):
Werdum (+244) 1.25u
Werdum ITD (+565) 0.25u
Werdum Submission (+851) 0.1u
Fight #14: Rua vs. A. Nogueira
Rua (-245) 0.49u to win 0.2u
Fight #15: Whittaker vs. Till
Whittaker (-127) 3.8u to win 3u
Whittaker KO/TKO (+275) 0.75u
Straight Parlays:
Emeev/Trinaldo+Herbert Over 2.5 (-101) 1.01u to win 1u
Prop Parlays:
Evloev/Craig+Antigulov WGD (-108) 1.08u to win 1u
Evloev+Grundy GD/Craig+Antigulov WGD (+110) 1u
Dalby+Ronson GD/Sobotta+A. Oliveira WGD (+198) 0.27u
Evloev+Grundy GD/Dalby Decision (+225) 0.5u
Multi-Event Parlays:
Pantoja+Askarov GD/Evloev (+116) 1uComment -
Surprised Castenada doens't have more KO/TKO finishes.
Looks heavy handed in there.Comment -
Castenada's cut might have been a headbutt in round 2.Comment -
Lots of chechen vs irish match ups of late.
A la Khabib vs Conor.
Stolze is shattering that irishmen can't wrestle stereotype!!
Spoke too soon.Comment -
Jibbby!Comment -
The next chick fight must be the two ugliest chicks in the history of UFC fighting each other. I don't think I can watch it.Comment -
Correia looks white as a ghostComment -
she also looks old and slowComment
