Muffin Pirate's UFC 100 Picks Thread

**Bread** · 07-09-09, 07:51 PM

Good luck MP!

**muffin_pirate** · 07-09-09, 08:11 PM

Originally posted by Bread

Good luck MP!

Same to you.

**muffin_pirate** · 07-09-09, 09:46 PM

Plays for UFC 100 are as follows:

Shannon Gugerty -105 : $210
C.B. Dollaway -250 : $250
T.J. Grant +225 : $40
Jake O'Brien +300 : $20

more plays to come...

**illmatick** · 07-09-09, 11:05 PM

curious why you like Gugerty so much?

**AMcBoarder** · 07-09-09, 11:31 PM

I think you should take a hard look at Frank Mir. I hate to use the term value, but at +170-190 depending on where you shop online all the value is on Mir. I was lucky enough to find him at +210 at Sun Coast here in Las Vegas this afternoon. Despite the weight disadvantage, Mir has the upper hand in every other facet of the fight. Mir is a black belt in bbj giving him in my opinion the advantage on the ground. Good striking that was surprisingly improved as seen in his last fight against Nogeuira again advantage Mir. Don't forget Mir beat him the first time although taking a beating to do so. I believe Frank did not take Lesnar seriously the first time and was not as prepared as he should have been. Mir's conditioning has always been the issue. He is a gifted athlete which allowed him to get by on his athletic prowess before his leg injury. Post leg injury he has been forced to work on his cardio and from what I've heard and seen he looks to be in the best shape of his life. This line is so inflated due to Lesnar's WWE following. Mir should be favored in my opinion.

Attached Files

**muffin_pirate** · 07-10-09, 10:38 AM

Plays for UFC 100 are as follows:

Shannon Gugerty -105 : $210
C.B. Dollaway -250 : $250
T.J. Grant +225 : $40
Jake O'Brien +300 : $20

Alan Belcher +210 : $30
Dan Henderson -215 : $430
Georges St. Pierre -300 : $300
Brock Lesnar -225 : $900

**muffin_pirate** · 07-10-09, 10:43 AM

Originally posted by illmatick

curious why you like Gugerty so much?

Grice hasn't looked particularly exceptional on the big stage even though being an excellent wrestler. Gugerty has good reach for a lightweight, utilizes his kicks effectively, and is comfortable working in the clinch. On the ground Gugerty has the advantage due to his BJJ and has won 75% of fights by way of submission. Betting is about the different ways a fighter can win the fight and Gugerty has more ways to win than Grice does. Gugerty should be the favorite in this fight.

**uka_120** · 07-10-09, 10:51 AM

Funny how all your picks are exactly like Performify's in mma junkie site

**muffin_pirate** · 07-10-09, 10:55 AM

I read his picks and value his opinion and use his analysis as a stepping stone.

**uka_120** · 07-10-09, 11:02 AM

You copied his exact picks and unit amounts and even use his analysis word for word as your own. I wouldn't call that a "stepping stone"

**uka_120** · 07-10-09, 11:05 AM

I follow his picks also and think he's probrobly one of the best MMA cappers around. Give credit where credit is due.

**trixtrix** · 07-10-09, 11:07 AM

maybe performify is copying off of him since the mp is obv a "real" mma capper, as opposed to a bunch of phony ones who just bet 50$ a pop and steal other's ideas..

**uka_120** · 07-10-09, 11:15 AM

That must be it, because I could swear he just had a copy and paste analysis of the Lesnar 10 mins ago that he edited after seeing my post.

**texhooper** · 07-10-09, 10:09 PM

picks are the exact same but muffin has elected to not take stephan bonnar. unit size and everything. i appreciate the introduction to this performify guy, though. stepping stone my ass, dude, you were acting like you knew something when we talked in the basketball forum, man, shame on you.

**saku lbn** · 07-11-09, 02:41 AM

What is Performify ytd in the last two years?

**Bread** · 07-11-09, 07:29 AM

LOL, busted. Hard.

**uka_120** · 07-11-09, 08:38 AM

Originally posted by saku lbn

What is Performify ytd in the last two years?

His record overall is 83-62 for +34.445 units according to the site. Muffin is a little quiet now that he's been exposed.

**brooks85** · 07-11-09, 09:10 AM

I chuckled

**brooks85** · 07-11-09, 09:17 AM

Ill have to ask shogun about this one

performify about coleman

"On the ground he's long past the era of a dominant top game that would allow him to have a significant chance of controlling Bonnar's Gracie Jiu Jitsu skills."

**saku lbn** · 07-11-09, 10:09 AM

Originally posted by uka_120

His record overall is 83-62 for +34.445 units according to the site. Muffin is a little quiet now that he's been exposed.

Thx. Could you post this site?

**The HOFF** · 07-11-09, 11:11 AM

Originally posted by saku lbn

Thx. Could you post this site?

His picks are always at MMAjunkie.com Here is the link to his 100 picks.

http://mmajunkie.com/news/15464/performifys-picks-for-ufc-100-main-card.mma

**Phillth** · 07-11-09, 01:55 PM

Can someone explain to me how totals work in MMA. my book offers 1.5 for the lesner/mir bout. Is that halfway trough the second or does the second round have to be fully complete for that to go over?

**brooks85** · 07-11-09, 02:13 PM

I think it means the second round has to start for the over to it.

**Phillth** · 07-11-09, 04:37 PM

that doesnt make sense. it either has to be half of the 2nd round or the full 2nd round. does anyine know for sure.

**DDT** · 07-11-09, 05:15 PM

The only sure thing I see on the card is GSP