UFC FN 140 7PM EST bets in progress

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  • acquavallo
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-16-18
    • 350

    #1
    UFC FN 140 7PM EST bets in progress
    Not a great betting night-- for the most part, fight odds look fairly evenly matched and zero extreme lopsided odds offered.

    1st fight the favorite looks tough to beat, however-- you know the drill when odds lopsided:

    Dos Santos +340(5D) / Fight No Decision +110(WH) ½ Unit DUTCHED 1-2 ratio respectively, based on $100=$32 & $67 put missing dollar on whichever side you fancy more. LOSS

    We'll be skipping most fights, odds not that great. Next bet as we go along....

    PS Underdog Arnett slipped by...but just couldn't be hedged. Over 1 and No Dec were both prohibitively minus.

    Sasaki +275 / Under 2½ Rounds +117 $1-2 Ratio or $37-64 ½ Unit once more. Quick Under. Net is 39% The bet here was the No Decision -120, or do it this way-- give up a little bit while hoping to get lucky and hit both sides, given the +275 offered, which would almost triple initial bet. Technically Sasaki was overmatched, but at those odds it doesn't hurt too much to try and net more than a Unit. Or in other words, a minus odds bet doesn't get one too far.

    thinking about OK ¼ Unit(can't really be hedged, we're still .31 Unit in red so far in this card)Fabinsky-Prazeres No Decision +225...odds are decent at least.... That was fast, our running NET is now a bit over ¼ Unit.

    Calvillo-Botelho Under 2½ +120(WH) ¼ Unit(stuck at this amount now. Had the last bet been higher...) Cancelling. No more bets look good today.

    Cannetti fight similar situation as Arnetti, PASS.

    Rest of fights offer poor odds, stopping betting. Will just watch.
    Gonna book our tiny profit(a little over ¼ Unit and add to the 3/4 Unit from Cage Warriors earlier.

    Will use this time to take a look at soccer and NFL for tomorrow in between bets.

    PS the Calvillo Under hit, but just as well. Lose that one and we're then forced to keep making bets on fights we didn't want to, just to seek a profit for the night.
    Last edited by acquavallo; 11-17-18, 10:22 PM.
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