UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders (September 22, 2018)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Fight Night 137: Santos vs. Anders

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Souza (DEBUT) vs. Chambers
Parlays

Fight #2: Zaleski dos Santos vs. Vendramini (DEBUT)
Parlays

Fight #3: Leites vs. Lombard
Leites KO/TKO (+585) .5u
Leites Round 2 (+975) .25u
Leites Round 3 (+1500) .25u

Fight #4: Robertson vs. Bueno Silva (DEBUT)
Robertson (-120) 2.4u to win 2u

Fight #5: Moraes vs. Saunders
Moraes Round 2 (+500) 1u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #6: Sakai (DEBUT) vs. Sherman
Sakai (-165) 1.65u to win 1u
Sakai Decision (+365) .5u

Fight #7: Spann (DEBUT) vs. Henrique
Spann Submission (+625) .5u

Fight #8: Trinaldo vs. Dunham
No Bet

Fight #9: Oliveira vs. Giagos
Giagos ITD (+530) .5u

Main Card:

Fight #10: Rodriguez (DEBUT) vs. Markos
Markos Submission (+645) .5u

Fight #11: Ewell (DEBUT) vs. Barao
Ewell (+190) 2u

Fight #12: Alvey vs. Nogueira
Nogueira Decision (+450) .5u

Fight #13: Oliveira vs. Pedersoli
Parlays

Fight #14: Santos vs. Anders
Santos (-145) 3.63u to win 2.5u
Santos Decision (+895) .5u

Hedge:
Anders Round 1 (+425) .5u

Straight Parlays:
Sakai/Trinaldo (+122) 1u
Souza/Zaleski dos Santos/Moraes (+144) 2u

Prop Parlays:
Souza+Chambers WGD/Oliveira+Giagos WGD (+115) 3u
Oliveira+Giagos WGD/Oliveira+Pedersoli WGD (+115) 1u
Spann/C. Oliveira Submission/Trinaldo -3.5 (+477) .25u
Souza Round 1/Zaleski ITD/Leites (+564) .5u
Robertson ITD/Moraes -3.5/Sakai -3.5 (+576) .5u
Markos/Ewell/Alvey KO (+776) .25u
C. Oliveira Submission/Pedersoli/Santos (+1108) .25u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+242) 1.25u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+570) .4u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+1481) .25u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+4925) .1u

Multi-Event Parlays:
None

[WolfTicketDealer]

Only have two plays on this card at this time:

Ewell (+190) 1 u

Sakai (-195) 2.925 to win 1.5 u

May bet Markos and some Trinaldo props but mostly focused on 229. Good luck all!

[Shagdogy]

Here’s what I’ve got going in. Doubtful I’ll add any more. Good luck all!

Ewell +140, 1.43u to win 2u
Anders +140, 1u to win 1.4u
Markos -110, 1.1u to win 1u
Lombard +105, 1u to win 1.05u

Trinaldo + Spann parlay +153, 1u to win 1.53u
Moraes + Sherman/Sakai o1.5 parlay +126, 1u to win 1.26u
Sakai + Oliveira/Giagos u1.5 +133, .75u to win 1u

[Sanity Check]

UFC Fight Night 137: Santos vs. Anders Picks:
Livia Renata Souza Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Thales Leites Round 2 KO (Punches)
Gillan Robertson Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Sergio Moraes Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Augusto Sakai Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Ryan Spann Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Francisco Trinaldo Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Charles Oliveira Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Randa Markos Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Andre Ewell Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Sam Alvey Round 1 KO (Punch)
Alex Oliveira Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Thiago Santos Round 1 TKO (Body Kick and Punches)

Bolded fights where I'm leaning contrary although I have to say I'm not expecting to do well on this card(unlike previous cards).

Hector Lombard was up two rounds against Lionheart Smith until he was finished in the 3rd. Then he KO'ed Dolloway. Lombard also might have won that fight with Johny Hendricks. 3 straight fights he lost where he was on his way to collecting W's. Thales Leites hasn't looked as good imo. Leites string of losses began around the time USADA went into effect. Leites also trains out of Nova Uniao which is known for being a PED gym. If it wasn't for Hector's size and reach disadvantage and the possibility of Leites running away from him the entire fight while out-pointing him, I would say Hector has an excellent chance to win, here.

I remember Augusto Sakai's fight with Cheick Kongo. In round 1, Kongo did absolutely nothing. He took the entire 1st round off. Kongo looked 50% to 75% in rounds 2 and 3 and he still managed to win the fight. It was a performance where Kongo fought below his level, gave Sakai a free round and still won 29-28. I didn't see Sakai's fight on Dana White's Contender(cant say if he has improved), if the Sakai from the Kongo fight shows up, I think Chase Sherman will beat him. Sherman showed a lot of heart against Justin Willis a lot more heart than I can ever remember Sakai showing.

I've never seen Andre Ewell fight but Ewell is talking about how he was "almost homeless" before the call to fight for the UFC. Not having money often means someone can't afford to eat healthy food, can't afford good coaching and it often means they can't live or train properly to be 100%. I might pick Barao to win on that basis alone, although with Barao missing weight he could be fighting with an injury.

Anyways enjoy the fights. If it turns out I schooled you here, maybe you will learn a little hespect, son.

[Sanity Check]

Everyone tailing Hugo's picks...

You're like kids who pay $50k for college.

Copy someone else's homework and never learn anything.

You think you're being smart but you're only fkking yourselves by refusing to learn and do things on your own merits.

[JIBBBY]

Well this is how I'm playing it.. Hedging a bunch with this event.. All bets around a $100 a pop.. GL to you all!!!

1) Chamber/Souza U1.5
2) Vandera/Zaleski U1.5
3) Lietes/Lombard U2.5/Lietes by Sub also
4) Mayra Silva straight
5) Ben Saunders straight
6) Chase Sherman KO/Hedge Sakai by sub
7) Luis Enrique by Sub/Hedge Stann Sub
8) Durham by Dec/Hedged Trinaldo ITD
9) Giagos by KO/Hedged Oli by sub
10) Marko by Dec
11) Barao by Sub/ hedged Ewell by KO
12) Alvey by KO/Hedged NOG by dec
13) Pedersoli Straight
14) Anders Straight

[Hugo de Naranja]

Souza quick sub is a good start

[Hugo de Naranja]

Well this is how I'm playing it.. Hedging a bunch with this event.. All bets around a $100 a pop.. GL to you all!!!

1) Chamber/Souza U1.5
2) Vandera/Zaleski U1.5
3) Lietes/Lombard U2.5/Lietes by Sub also
4) Mayra Silva straight
5) Ben Saunders straight
6) Chase Sherman KO/Hedge Sakai by sub
7) Luis Enrique by Sub/Hedge Stann Sub
8) Durham by Dec/Hedged Trinaldo ITD
9) Giagos by KO/Hedged Oli by sub
10) Marko by Dec
11) Barao by Sub/ hedged Ewell by KO
12) Alvey by KO/Hedged NOG by dec
13) Pedersoli Straight
14) Anders Straight

Best of luck Jibs!

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Damn look at that knee

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added:
Robertson/Sakai -3.5 (+190) 1u

[JIBBBY]

Won the first 2 fights, lost this last one.. Can city with Lietes and Lombard.. Both should have retired if you ask me.. Hector is a bum will fade next fight..

[Sanity Check]

Looked like Hector didn't bother training for that fight.

Too bad. He only had to do a little more to win round 2 & he would have won the fight.

Hugo with the dogshit win, again.

[JIBBBY]

That works... ...

[Demonata]

I hope everyone making money this card. I'm still bummed no manuwa. Made me not want to bet the card. I wanted to take him bad.

[JIBBBY]

I hope everyone making money this card. I'm still bummed no manuwa. Made me not want to bet the card. I wanted to take him bad.

You got any action on this card? Few fights to be had I think still..

[Demonata]

Everyone tailing Hugo's picks...

You're like kids who pay $50k for college.

Copy someone else's homework and never learn anything.

You think you're being smart but you're only fkking yourselves by refusing to learn and do things on your own merits.

His picks are usually guaranteed profit every card so nothing wrong with that. I just don't because it confuses me too much to do the same picks as him. I just like picking wins the fight.

[Demonata]

You got any action on this card? Few fights to be had I think still..

Nope not betting any fights on it. Just watching for enjoyment. khabib card will be legendary.

[Sanity Check]

I hope everyone making money this card. I'm still bummed no manuwa. Made me not want to bet the card. I wanted to take him bad.

I max bet Patricky Freire yesterday.

Beat Hugo. But that's not worth mentioning cuz I always beat Hugo.

Max bet Elizeu Dos Santos today.

Might be done for the night. Hugo could beat me for the first time in weeks if he does good.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Added:
Sakai -3.5/Santos (+160) 1u

[JIBBBY]

Couple of cans coming up.. Hoping to get lucky taking Ben Saunders.. If he wasn't a dog I probably wouldn't have not have played him just put at that way!! lol.. Let's see what happens?

[Demonata]

If I were to bet this card I would take anders,henrique, and Dunham. Not betting though but I like those dogs to win at least 2 will win.

[Sanity Check]

Moraes is a multiple time world champion in BJJ. If Saunders can submit him it would be impressive. Moraes also came close to overwhelming Tim Means with his hands his last time out. Both of those things put together means Moraes should be the favorite.

Eh who knows. I wouldn't bet on this fight although I have Moraes in a few parlays.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hit a 1u bet on Moraes R2 (+500)

[JIBBBY]

Ben is an idiot and didn't even try to keep the fight standing.. His black belt did not hold up..

[JIBBBY]

Hit a 1u bet on Moraes R2 (+500)

Hugo the man!!!! I need to start tailing you.. You been hot.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Ben is an idiot and didn't even try to keep the fight standing.. His black belt did not hold up..

Yeah Moraes tooled him on the mat

[Sanity Check]

Saunders has never been a good wrestler with good takedown defense. People are usually too afraid of his 10th planet bjj to mess with him on the ground. Sergio Moraes wasn't scared. Smart gameplan by him.

[Sanity Check]

Brazilians pitching a shutout thus far.

Nothing personal but I think Augusto Sakai is going to blow it. (Even though I haven't seen him fight since he was in bellator)

[JIBBBY]

I was banking on Ben Sanders stand up being better.. It probably was, forgot about him getting taken down and not being able to get back up.. .. Oh well next... Hit and miss again with this event so far.. Still early though..

[JIBBBY]

Here comes a couple of heavy weight meat balls. ..

[Demonata]

This fight will go the distance!

[JIBBBY]

Nope not betting any fights on it. Just watching for enjoyment. khabib card will be legendary.

Are you enjoying it without action? I commend you, true fan!!!

[JIBBBY]

Brazilians pitching a shutout thus far.

Nothing personal but I think Augusto Sakai is going to blow it. (Even though I haven't seen him fight since he was in bellator)

They tend to in Brazil...

[Demonata]

Are you enjoying it without action? I commend you, true fan!!!

Yeah man thanks. Today is my birthday. So nice enjoying ufc on it.Finally in my 30s. Now I'm old.

[JIBBBY]

This fight will go the distance!

Anything is possible in MMA, seen stranger things happen.. Would be shocked if it did even though it shouldn't..