Ufc 100

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  • brooks85
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-05-09
    • 44709

    #1
    Ufc 100
    wrong forum

    13 days to go
    Picks

    lesnar
    gsp
    fitch(cant believe he opened -245 at 5D)
    hendo
    akiyama
    coleman
    miller
    Jones but betting o'brien
    stun gun
    CB
    gugerty

    Bets

    Ive been sitting on this one
    Brock to win in the first round 200 to win 800
    Mir to win the in first round 100 to win 1100


    I expect the same thing as last time. Either brock knocking mirs head in on the feet, and/or GNP on the ground, with mir having a possible sub from the bottom. Or some how mir stays on top and gets a sub but Its not going out of the first.


    coleman +300, just waiting for the odds to keep going up but im going to put atleast 100 on him.

    4 4-teamer parlays - jake+335/coleman+300 and rotated gsp 2rnd/alves 1rnd/mir 1rnd/brock 1rnd - risking a dollar each

    Still waiting for stun gun and cb line to come out and some underdogs to move up. I think gsp/fitch/hendo is a great parlay but going to wait another week or so.
  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #2
    Almost time to start thinking about this one for me. Almost.
    Comment
    • Riot
      Restricted User
      • 04-16-09
      • 437

      #3
      call me crazy, but i like Mir by way of K.O ... maybe not a full K.O. , but a ... "And Mir stuns Lesnar .... Lesnar is hurt Joe .... Whoa and down goes Lesnar, Mir is unloading now ...l and its all over "

      Mir has been working on stirkes, he is a lot faster and agile then lesnar and i think brock will try and bang with him first round and not go to the ground right away for fear of submission
      Comment
      • brooks85
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-05-09
        • 44709

        #4
        same 4 teamer as above going, except Furyk over woods Rd 1 +340
        Comment
        • Big Fundamental
          SBR Rookie
          • 07-02-09
          • 40

          #5
          Best of luck Brooks...but I'm going to be fading most of your picks.
          Comment
          • brooks85
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-05-09
            • 44709

            #6
            hey, im due for a bad event sooner or later. goodluck
            Comment
            • brooks85
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-05-09
              • 44709

              #7

              Comment
              • yomama8000
                SBR Rookie
                • 05-17-08
                • 11

                #8
                I'm looking to parlay all the fights I am able to bet on to cash in. But just going for the win in each fight. Here's what I got on my card:

                Jim Miller
                Jon Jones
                Yoshihiro Akiyama
                Stephan Bonnar
                Michael Bisping
                Brock Lesnar
                Georges St. Pierre
                Jon Fitch

                Thoughts?
                Comment
                • brooks85
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-05-09
                  • 44709

                  #9
                  Looks good to me. I personally would not put too much on jones, bisping or lesnar. O' brien is easily Jones toughest opponent and o'brien was able to control arlovski on the ground. O' brien is very one dimensional and I think jones will get the KO but the juice is absurd.
                  I aslo dont think bisping has any way to win this fight. Not saying he can't win, but I give every edge in any comparison to hendo.
                  Its hard for me to say lesnar will not win. I definitely think mir pulled a rabit out of the hat, even tho it was against a complete rookie, with that sub last time. He might do it again but I doubt it. Lesnar will have some sub defense now and he might not even go to the ground, really is no point, when you can just knock him around standing up. But, mir is resilient and sick at his groundgame. Reminds me of when lesnar wrestled in college, lost his first time at the championship and came back the next year at the finals against the same guy and dominated. I am really confident in that first round bet for mir/lesnar tho.


                  And if jones can get bonnar with an ankle pick, coleman is going to eat him alive, imo. Im putting a nice chunk on coleman, but doing more research on bonnars training before I do.
                  Last edited by brooks85; 07-03-09, 10:21 AM.
                  Comment
                  • brooks85
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-05-09
                    • 44709

                    #10
                    also, id love to see mir lose. Then possibly have a rematch against a non-diseased nog.
                    Comment
                    • illmatick
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-05-09
                      • 5451

                      #11
                      Cb dolloway -189, love this fight
                      Comment
                      • brooks85
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-05-09
                        • 44709

                        #12
                        i was hoping the line would be a little better. I dont have a line released at my book yet but definitely like CB.
                        Comment
                        • illmatick
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-05-09
                          • 5451

                          #13
                          I'm fine with the line,thought it would -200 or a bit higher,been watching as much film as I can on Shannon Gugerty and Grice, Gugerty more of a subbmission fight, 8 out of his 11 wins have come from a sub, looked good in his fight against Dale Hartt but as we all know Hart doesnt belong in the ufc,triangle chocked in his last fight against spencer fisher, have to give the edge to grice in both standup and takedowns, much better wrestler and does have the power to knock this guy out with one punch, Grice looked impressive against jason black who has almost a identical style to gugerty, primarily a sub fighter, Grice must have busted out of about 4 solid sub attempts in the first round alone, showed solid technique in escaping them as well, also a big knock on Gugerty is that he has been knocked out by cub swanson, that may just be the most telling point I have made, I say Grice is a solid play at -118, my biggest fear is Shannon just may be able to pull of a sub from his back but like I said Grice is very slick when it comes to escapes
                          Comment
                          • Bread
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-16-08
                            • 23726

                            #14
                            CB Dolloway is such a dunce, but yea he'll probably win this fight.
                            Comment
                            • brooks85
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 44709

                              #15
                              "And what about U.K. Wolfslair’s head wrestling instructor Zach Light’s claims that Bisping’s wrestling is what will win him the fight?
                              A “crock of shit,” according to Henderson."
                              Comment
                              • j0hnnyv
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-06-09
                                • 3620

                                #16
                                lesnar,alves,THE COUNT ****N BISPING!!!!!!!!

                                bisping is going to TKO that old man..his time is over. bisping is 100% legit. also jonny BONES jones i would take at any number. kid is the truth.

                                get ready bread PITBULL ALVESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS LOL!!!!! gsp gonna get that chin tapped son
                                Comment
                                • brooks85
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-05-09
                                  • 44709

                                  #17
                                  get ready to see alves on his back
                                  Comment
                                  • j0hnnyv
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-06-09
                                    • 3620

                                    #18
                                    alves is a violent violent dude. gsp is in for the fight of his life. he will not KO alves, that I can guarantee u.
                                    Comment
                                    • brooks85
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-05-09
                                      • 44709

                                      #19
                                      Alves is a very dangerous guy. I doubt GSP will get the KO either but it is very possible. Fitch had no problem controlling alves. But, I expect GSP to keep alves on his back most of the fight, no reason to risk the standup. I smell some GnP.
                                      Last edited by brooks85; 07-05-09, 03:11 PM.
                                      Comment
                                      • Riot
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 04-16-09
                                        • 437

                                        #20
                                        One thing bisping has for him , one advantage is, perhaps the most important advantage of all .... Cardio. Hendo was SMOKED during his fight with Franklin. I think Franklin thought he had the fight won, and was afraid of getting caught so he didnt try to finish him , he just took some pop shots here and there to solitify the 3rd round. It cost him. Bisping wont make the same mistake. I think Hendo may win the first, but Bisping will grind him out and pull out a decision with a solid 2nd and 3rd.
                                        Comment
                                        • j0hnnyv
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-06-09
                                          • 3620

                                          #21
                                          haha jon fitch. that was 3 years ago dude. pitbull has won 7 fights since then and 9 out of his last 10. we shall see what happens

                                          i will be at ufc 101 so this fight is a time killer to hold me over and a damn good one at that. may be best card ever.
                                          Comment
                                          • illmatick
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-05-09
                                            • 5451

                                            #22
                                            alves couldn't even compete with spencer fisher's standup,did you not see what gsp did to penn, doesn't matter either way, gsp is taking this to the gound first chance he gets, gnp for 5 hard rounds
                                            Comment
                                            • j0hnnyv
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-06-09
                                              • 3620

                                              #23
                                              yeah exactly he doesnt want to stand and get kicked in the face. i trust pitbulls jitz to hold his own. dont let him get on top. gsp's pretty face will get damaged
                                              Comment
                                              • illmatick
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-05-09
                                                • 5451

                                                #24
                                                big move on Cb dolloway, now at -250, still no line at 5 dimes, I used intertops to bet him early
                                                Comment
                                                • brooks85
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-05-09
                                                  • 44709

                                                  #25
                                                  PAY ME

                                                  Select #1 : Canadian Football (Saskatchewan Roughriders at Toronto Argonauts)
                                                  Saskatchewan Roughriders/Toronto Argonauts 7/11/2009 1:05 PM - (EST)
                                                  Total Points UNDER 52½ -120 for Game
                                                  Select #2 : Props Football (NFL regular season wins)
                                                  CIN total regular season wins over 6½ 8/9/2009 8:00 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line -110 for Game
                                                  Select #3 : Props Football (Hesiman Trophy 2009 - winner)
                                                  Field wins Heisman Trophy 9/5/2009 12:00 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line +245 for Game
                                                  Select #4 : WNBA Basketball (Connecticut Sun at Atlanta Dream)
                                                  Atlanta Dream 7/7/2009 7:30 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line +120 for Game
                                                  Select #5 : UFC Fighting (UFC 100 - Heavyweight 5 rounds - Mandalay Bay Events Center, Nevada - PPV)
                                                  B.Lesnar wins in round 1 7/11/2009 11:59 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line +325 for Game
                                                  Select #6 : UFC Fighting (UFC 100 - Welterweight 5 rounds - Mandalay Bay Events Center, Nevada - PPV)
                                                  St-Pierre wins inside distance 7/11/2009 11:30 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line -126 for Game
                                                  Select #7 : UFC Fighting (UFC 100 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Mandalay Bay Events Center, Nevada - PPV)
                                                  Dan Henderson 7/11/2009 11:00 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line -240 for Game
                                                  Select #8 : UFC Fighting (UFC 100 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Mandalay Bay Events Center, Nevada)
                                                  Mark Coleman 7/11/2009 9:00 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line +290 for Game
                                                  Select #9 : UFC Fighting (UFC 101 - Lightweight 5 rounds - Wachovia Center - Philadelphia, Pennsylvania - PPV)
                                                  B.J. Penn 8/8/2009 11:30 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line -185 for Game
                                                  Select #10 : UFC Fighting (UFC 101 - Middleweight 3 rounds - Wachovia Center - Philadelphia, Pennsylvania - PPV)
                                                  Griffin/Silva goes 3 round distance 8/8/2009 11:00 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line +170 for Game
                                                  Select #11 : UFC Fighting (UFC 102 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - Rose Garden - Portland, Oregon - PPV)
                                                  Antonio Nogueira 8/29/2009 11:00 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line +160 for Game
                                                  Select #12 : UFC Fighting (UFC 102 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Rose Garden - Portland, Oregon - PPV)
                                                  Thiago Silva 8/29/2009 10:30 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line +170 for Game
                                                  Select #13 : UFC Fighting (UFC 102 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - Rose Garden - Portland, Oregon - PPV)
                                                  Nate Marquardt 8/29/2009 9:00 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line -125 for Game
                                                  Select #14 : MMA Fighting (Affliction 3 Trilogy - Honda Center - Anaheim, California - PPV)
                                                  Gegard Mousasi 8/1/2009 9:00 PM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line -150 for Game
                                                  Select #15 : Cycling Other Sports (2009 Tour de France)
                                                  L.Armstrong wins Tour de France 7/8/2009 6:45 AM - (EST)
                                                  Money Line +360 for Game
                                                  Amount : Risking 1.00 To Win 250,000.00 USD


                                                  speaking of which, the line for GSP to win inside the distance keeps dropping, was at -135 yesterday. Reminds me of the line for Silva inside the distance against leites.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • yomama8000
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 05-17-08
                                                    • 11

                                                    #26
                                                    GSP is in for a tough fight against Alves...but he should still win. Alves has great KO power...but GSP is a better all-around fighter and much smarter. Look for GSP to take it to the ground and try to submit. I think in the UFC, GSP has the best work ethic and determination and it will show once again on Saturday night. And I think Alves is way too big for 170...which definitely gives GSP the edge on quickness...gonna be a gooder though...but I don't see GSP getting KO'd...after all....Josh Koscheck held his own against Alves...and I don't give him too much credit for KO'ing Matt Hughes...because he spent a lot of that fight on his back as well...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brooks85
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-05-09
                                                      • 44709

                                                      #27
                                                      Im starting think their is some value in GSP winning a decision. GSP line to win inside the distance dropped again.


                                                      Rounds robins Gsp/Dan/Brock 600 to win 556

                                                      Coleman 300 to win 900

                                                      Brock wins in round 1
                                                      Gsp wins 5rnd decision
                                                      Coleman
                                                      Danzig

                                                      6.6 to win 1000
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bread
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-16-08
                                                        • 23726

                                                        #28
                                                        I wish I could parlay St-Pierre with Bruce Buffer debuting the much awaited "Buffer 360" on Saturday.

                                                        Any takers?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • The HOFF
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-02-08
                                                          • 4847

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Bread
                                                          I wish I could parlay St-Pierre with Bruce Buffer debuting the much awaited "Buffer 360" on Saturday.
                                                          So I chuckled when I thought the "Buffer 360" was something you made up, Bread.

                                                          Then I saw the actual MMAjunkie article about a possible "Buffer 360" and I thought how sad.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Bread
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-16-08
                                                            • 23726

                                                            #30
                                                            Hoff this is serious business here. I'm looking forward to this as much as any of the fights.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • brooks85
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-05-09
                                                              • 44709

                                                              #31
                                                              its a lock, the 360 is going down
                                                              Comment
                                                              • GoGoGadget
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 03-18-09
                                                                • 570

                                                                #32
                                                                I feel Brock will win, my book has Lesnar by KO or TKO at -167 compared to brock at -222. It makes more sense to just bet at -167 because if he wins it wont be by submission. Also Mir by sub is at +300 if you are curious.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Bread
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-16-08
                                                                  • 23726

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Is it tomorrow yet??!?!?!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • brooks85
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-05-09
                                                                    • 44709

                                                                    #34
                                                                    finally, countdown time



                                                                    Randy is against me on Coleman, which is never a good thing. But, randy was against me last 2 times and I came out just fine. *crosses fingers*
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • brooks85
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-05-09
                                                                      • 44709

                                                                      #35
                                                                      hah i just realized i had a dream last night that bruce buffer was injured or something and was being replaced
                                                                      Comment
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