UFC on FOX: Poirier vs. Gaethje (April 14, 2018)

**Kermit** · 04-14-18, 06:24 PM

Kung-Fu punch for the win.

**JC2008** · 04-14-18, 06:25 PM

Boom! $

**Winning oasis** · 04-14-18, 06:25 PM

That overhead right was enough. The shots on the ground were vicious.

**Thrilla** · 04-14-18, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by Richard Clock

Both fighters have historically low win finish rates, however this is information easily available to the betting public and oddsmakers

The trend is not your friend in sportsbetting.

**Thrilla** · 04-14-18, 06:29 PM

Boetsch T. - Carlos Junior A.

Next

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-14-18, 06:30 PM

Liked that (+400) a lot after R2

**Richard Clock** · 04-14-18, 06:30 PM

Wish i had more time capping the main card. Anyone got any strong leans? Waterson/Casey seems like a toss up but late action coming in on Casey

**Thrilla** · 04-14-18, 06:33 PM

Originally posted by Richard Clock

Wish i had more time capping the main card. Anyone got any strong leans? Waterson/Casey seems like a toss up but late action coming in on Casey

Waterson
Vettori
Condit
Gaethje

**Thrilla** · 04-14-18, 06:44 PM

Waterson better skills last 2 losses to toplevel comp. Casey fighting home + reach advantage.

Vettori asked for this fight. Adesanya untested.

Condit dog cause of losing streak. A losing streak to toplevel comp. Brazilian cowboy fan of Condit. Could be too late before he realises Condit is just another opponent in the ring.

Gaethje because I don't like Poirier.

**unitedlad** · 04-14-18, 06:45 PM

I'll take it

**thewitchinghour** · 04-14-18, 06:46 PM

1 of 1 Bet successfully placed!

Antonio Carlos Junior By Submission
+120Fight Outcome

goodcallhugo

**Thrilla** · 04-14-18, 06:53 PM

Hugolicious!

I wanna say jibbbylicious, but he is hiding again. Meaning he is losing on the card. LOL Trumptard was busy this week watching Alex Jones again. Hihihi

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-14-18, 06:54 PM

ACJ dominated that one once it hit the mat

**JC2008** · 04-14-18, 06:57 PM

- Noticed Casey dropped from -163 to -150. For what it's worth. And it may not be worth sweet f uck all.

**thewitchinghour** · 04-14-18, 07:01 PM

on karate hotty in this one... tougher competition, losses to tecia and rose in last two don't look so bad right now...

**Richard Clock** · 04-14-18, 07:07 PM

Waterson ML got as high as +160 on 5D, jumped on the +155 for a little less than 1 unit. Now down to +150. Both fighters have had flashes of brilliance but also have shown some inconsistency. Waterson still appears undersized for division, but she has some underrated grappling chops.

**Richard Clock** · 04-14-18, 07:08 PM

^ brilliance is a bit of hyperbole, but I couldn't think of a better word

**jtoler** · 04-14-18, 07:12 PM

guy got off 2 clean punches to the head while guy was out cold on his back, how is that allowed, ref moved in slow also. Do they never yell STOP instead of trying to get in between the fighters.

**thewitchinghour** · 04-14-18, 07:12 PM

casey is big for the division so this could look like a significant size diff

**Thrilla** · 04-14-18, 07:12 PM

Next

Waterson M. - Casey C.

Not much time inbetween prelim and main card.

<iframe frameborder="0" scrolling="no" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0"width="578.5" height="325" type="text/html" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/f2JuxM-snGc?autoplay=0&fs=0&iv_load_policy=3&sh owinfo=1&rel=0&cc_load_policy=0&start=0& end=0&origin=https://youtubeembedcode.com"></iframe>

**thewitchinghour** · 04-14-18, 07:13 PM

i had two punches landed clearly after the fight was over prop for +2000 1u

**Richard Clock** · 04-14-18, 07:20 PM

If there was a sub-90 lb division, Waterson would be Conor Mcgregor

**Thrilla** · 04-14-18, 07:22 PM

Wtf didn't know Casey would be this big!

This is cheating. Abort Abort!

So much for scoring with leg kicks.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-14-18, 07:23 PM

Got excited when Casey was going for those early subs (even though they weren't too close)

**thewitchinghour** · 04-14-18, 07:24 PM

excellent first round for michelle

**Richard Clock** · 04-14-18, 07:29 PM

Waterson was +200 live after R1 and was very tempted to add on...Tough break for Hugo not getting any of those subs

**Thrilla** · 04-14-18, 07:34 PM

Originally posted by thewitchinghour

excellent first round for michelle

LOL why was she live +200 going into R2 than?

**thewitchinghour** · 04-14-18, 07:37 PM

really a beautiful performance by michelle

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-14-18, 07:38 PM

Super close fight. Thought Casey won it but not salty. Thought a Split with all 29-28s either way was fair

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-14-18, 07:39 PM

Originally posted by Richard Clock

Waterson was +200 live after R1 and was very tempted to add on...Tough break for Hugo not getting any of those subs

Oh well. Good odds on them. Definitely had value given the dynamics of the matchup.

**Richard Clock** · 04-14-18, 07:40 PM

Waterson is unbelievably tough

**Thrilla** · 04-14-18, 07:42 PM

Next

Adesanya I. - Vettori M.

**thewitchinghour** · 04-14-18, 07:44 PM

small play on marvin

**Richard Clock** · 04-14-18, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Oh well. Good odds on them. Definitely had value given the dynamics of the matchup.

I am starting to really like these long shot props, have been running hot on them

**Hugo de Naranja** · 04-14-18, 07:49 PM

http://mmadecisions.com/decision/8988/Michelle-Waterson-vs-Cortney-Casey;jsessionid=929C497D4FF2B1EC467523C39B24D623