UFC on FOX: Stephens vs. Emmett (February 24, 2018)

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  • turbozed
    SBR MVP
    • 10-15-08
    • 2435

    #526
    Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
    Gotta start posting your units before my friend. Nice hits!
    I try to post picks to Betmmatips but it doesn't include same day bets, and it doesn't include added units to bets already placed either.

    Comment
    • firekillex
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-18-13
      • 6420

      #527
      big night of winning , great night
      that illegal knee missed anyways, the ko shot was the flying elbow
      stephens packs the most power of any 45er ive ever seen .... every shot is to kill

      looking forward to seeing him vs holloway 2 ... if holloway gets through edgar
      Comment
      • the1yankee
        SBR MVP
        • 05-29-16
        • 1203

        #528
        Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
        What do you mean?
        I thought somebody had asked you, about how many past fights do u watch to fully cap a UFC event,

        N swore u said u watch about 95 previous fights, focusing on just past fights from fighters on the event you are capping, usually or always the NEXT live event
        Comment
        • the1yankee
          SBR MVP
          • 05-29-16
          • 1203

          #529
          Not sure if that was you that answered thats the approx# of fights u watch to cap an event.

          I'd guess each fighters last 5-10 fights.

          Not sure if it was you or not. Could've been somebody else
          Comment
          • Hugo de Naranja
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-16
            • 14140

            #530
            Originally posted by the1yankee
            I thought somebody had asked you, about how many past fights do u watch to fully cap a UFC event,

            N swore u said u watch about 95 previous fights, focusing on just past fights from fighters on the event you are capping, usually or always the NEXT live event
            Yeah I do watch a ton of fights a week. I usually do fights for the upcoming week rather than looking further ahead. I have a spreadsheet where I compile all my fight notes.
            Comment
            • Hugo de Naranja
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-14-16
              • 14140

              #531
              Originally posted by the1yankee
              Not sure if that was you that answered thats the approx# of fights u watch to cap an event.

              I'd guess each fighters last 5-10 fights.

              Not sure if it was you or not. Could've been somebody else
              Got it. That was me.
              Comment
              • the1yankee
                SBR MVP
                • 05-29-16
                • 1203

                #532
                Originally posted by firekillex
                big night of winning , great night
                that illegal knee missed anyways, the ko shot was the flying elbow
                stephens packs the most power of any 45er ive ever seen .... every shot is to kill

                looking forward to seeing him vs holloway 2 ... if holloway gets through edgar
                Yeah I love watchin Stephens fight, more than Connor or Bones. Mad respect for the guy too. Full BLOODED AMERICAN BOY THAT SHOWS MASS RESPECT N IN RETURN GETS IT BACK!!!!!
                Comment
                • the1yankee
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-29-16
                  • 1203

                  #533
                  Yeah, having a house edge just for having n gaining top knowledge in a sport, is such a unique situation. Most people start with what works, then continue to add extra steps to capping process, unless its an equation,
                  Where u just plug in #s n solve equation, n Bingo!

                  But niche sports, its not the same, seems if u got the special sauce recipe, n can follow it to a T, I think there's a few more gaps in the D-line, TO EXPOSE, to put it in different terms
                  Comment
                  • the1yankee
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-29-16
                    • 1203

                    #534
                    N yur running fournette vs a 3 man D-line, with no LB either, lol
                    Comment
                    • the1yankee
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-29-16
                      • 1203

                      #535
                      Good job guys have good nite
                      Comment
                      • TPowell
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-21-08
                        • 18842

                        #536
                        It's unreal how good the guys here are. I'm up 20 units on 100 units bet since like December and that is an average poster between our group. Thought about taking next week off but I think I'm gonna work instead
                        Comment
                        • BIGDAY
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 02-17-10
                          • 48245

                          #537
                          These early ending cards are kind of a buzz kill.

                          Still driving a good buzz and want more FIGHTS!!
                          Comment
                          • Thrilla
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-10-15
                            • 13809

                            #538
                            <a href='https://postimages.org/' target='_blank'><img src='https://s9.postimg.org/hj4pxalin/812a4fb119467365b44c5420cdbe559f.jpg' border='0' alt='812a4fb119467365b44c5420cdbe559f'/></a>
                            Comment
                            • firekillex
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-18-13
                              • 6420

                              #539
                              gotta give jeremy stephens the next crack at the 45 title....
                              rematch against holloway or edgar but i think he deserves it
                              crazy seeing his record 28-14 but this guy has the power to ko and 145er on the planet if he connects

                              if somehow holloway/edgar get hurt after that scrap maybe Stephens/Aldo for one last fight .... that would be fireworks as well
                              Comment
                              • Shagdogy
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-16-10
                                • 3564

                                #540
                                Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                UFC on FOX 28 Bets


                                Morales +140, .71u
                                Shelton -110, 1.1u
                                Doane +195, .51u
                                Alvey +195, .51u
                                Moroz +135, .74u
                                Kelleher +131, .76u
                                Latifi +131, .76u

                                Andrade + Barao/Kelleher 02.5, +134, 1.3u
                                Andrade + McMann + Hill/Moroz o2.5, +160, .63u
                                Shelton + Stephens/Emmett o3.5, +296, .34u
                                Stephens + Perry +114, 1u

                                Pretty sure that's it. Not my typical night of bets but lets see if I can sneak a profit. Good luck everyone! Good first round there in Bermudez/Morales.
                                Man. Just finished up watching on DVR. Congrats to those of you that cashed big tonight! Seems like a big night for a lot of you. Wish I could have joined you.

                                Card Total: 4-7, -0.29u

                                YTD: 26-21, +10.78u

                                Event Total: 4-3

                                Pretty middling start to me for 2018. These last two cards have been rough. Definitely not getting to the tape study that I'm used to. Even still, I'm only about 3.5u off of the pace for the goal I set of 2u win per card. Doesn't seem like much, but I push my unit size to as high as I am comfortable with. Looking for a solid night coming up sometime soon. Fingers crossed.
                                Comment
                                • Shagdogy
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-16-10
                                  • 3564

                                  #541
                                  A few observations:

                                  1. McMann really might be a quitter. Not so much a quitter, but a panic fighter? She lacks composure when faced with adversity.
                                  2. Kelleher looked very good. He pulled off what we thought Jared Gordon would last week.
                                  3. Congrats to both Andrade and Torres. They both fought very well. High level fight. Andrade looked almost unbeatable.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-14-16
                                    • 14140

                                    #542
                                    UFC on Fox 28: Emmett vs. Stephens Picks:
                                    Manny Bermudez Round 1 Submission (Triangle Choke)
                                    Alex Perez Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                                    Rani Yahya Round 1 Submission (Kimura)
                                    Marcin Prachnio Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                    Alan Jouban Round 2 TKO (Elbows and Punches)
                                    Angela Hill Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
                                    Sara McMann Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
                                    Brian Kelleher Round 3 TKO (Punches)
                                    Mike Perry Round 1 KO (Knee)
                                    Ilir Latifi Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
                                    Jessica Andrade Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                    Jeremy Stephens Round 3 TKO (Punches)
                                    Comment
                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-14-16
                                      • 14140

                                      #543
                                      UFC on Fox 28: Emmett vs. Stephens

                                      Fight Pass Prelims:

                                      Fight #1: Bermudez (DEBUT) vs. Morales
                                      Bermudez+Morales Won’t Go Distance (+100) +1u
                                      Bermudez Submission (+265) +5.3u
                                      Bermudez Round 1 (+425) .5u

                                      Result: Manny Bermudez Round 2 Submission (Mounted Guillotine Choke)
                                      Fight: +5.8u
                                      Card: +5.8u

                                      Fight #2: Shelton vs. Perez
                                      Perez Submission (+500) -.5u

                                      Hedge:
                                      Shelton Submission (+801) -.5u

                                      Result: Alex Perez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                      Fight: -1u
                                      Card: +4.8u

                                      Fight #3: Yahya vs. Doane
                                      Yahya ITD (+145) +2.9u

                                      Result: Rani Yahya Round 3 Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
                                      Fight: +2.9u
                                      Card: +7.7u

                                      Fight #4: Prachnio (DEBUT) vs. Alvey
                                      Alvey KO/TKO (+480) +4.8u

                                      Result: Sam Alvey Round 1 KO (Punch)
                                      Fight: +4.8u
                                      Card: +12.5u

                                      Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

                                      Fight #5: Jouban vs. Saunders
                                      Jouban ITD (-113) +1u
                                      Jouban Round 2 (+425) +3.1875u

                                      Hedge:
                                      Saunders KO/TKO (+750) -.5u

                                      Result: Alan Jouban Round 2 KO (Punch)
                                      Fight: +3.6875u
                                      Card: +16.1875u

                                      Fight #6: Hill vs. Moroz
                                      Hill -3.5 (+240) +2.4u

                                      Hedge:
                                      Moroz Decision (+260) -1u

                                      Result: Angela Hill Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                                      Fight: +1.4u
                                      Card: +17.5875u

                                      Fight #7: McMann vs. Reneau
                                      Reneau ITD (+500) +10u
                                      Reneau Round 3 (+1800) -.25u

                                      Added Hedge:
                                      McMann -3.5 (+185) -1u

                                      Result: Marion Reneau Round 2 Submission (Triangle Choke)
                                      Fight: +8.75u
                                      Card: +26.3375u

                                      Fight #8: Kelleher vs. Barao
                                      Kelleher (+124) +4.34u
                                      Kelleher Scorecards = No Action (+244) +0u
                                      Kelleher ITD (+330) -1u
                                      Kelleher Decision (+378) +1.89u
                                      Kelleher Round 3 (+1400) -.25u

                                      Hedge:
                                      Barao Submission (+403) -2u

                                      Result: Brian Kelleher Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
                                      Fight: +2.98u
                                      Card: +29.3175u

                                      Main Card:

                                      Fight #9: Perry vs. Griffin
                                      Parlays

                                      Added:
                                      Perry Decision (+625) -.5u

                                      Result: Max Griffin Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-27 x2)
                                      Fight: -.5u
                                      Card: +28.8175u

                                      Fight #10: Latifi vs. Saint Preux
                                      Latifi (+100) +2.5u
                                      Latifi KO/TKO (+735) -.5u

                                      Hedge:
                                      Saint Preux KO/TKO (+250) -1u

                                      Added:
                                      Latifi (+145) +1.45u

                                      Result: Ilir Latifi Round 1 Technical Submission (Standing Guillotine Choke)
                                      Fight: +2.45u
                                      Card: +31.2675u

                                      Fight #11: Andrade vs. Torres
                                      Torres (+253) -2u

                                      Hedge:
                                      Andrade Submission (+525) -.5u

                                      Result: Jessica Andrade Unanimous Decision (29-28 x2, 29-27)
                                      Fight: -2.5u
                                      Card: +28.7675u

                                      Fight #12: Stephens vs. Emmett
                                      Stephens Decision (+433) -.75u
                                      Stephens Round 2 (+650) +3.25u
                                      Stephens Round 3 (+850) -.5u

                                      Hedge:
                                      Emmett Decision (+475) -1u

                                      Added:

                                      Stephens Scorecards = No Action (-136) +2.5u
                                      Stephens Decision (+389) -1u

                                      Result: Jeremy Stephens Round 2 KO (Elbows)
                                      Fight: +2.5u
                                      Card: +31.2675u

                                      Straight Parlays:
                                      Jouban/Stephens (+123) +1.23u


                                      Results: See Above
                                      Fights: +1.23u
                                      Card: +32.4975u

                                      Prop Parlays:

                                      Jouban/Perry ITD (+110) -1u
                                      Perry ITD/Stephens (+153) -1u
                                      Bermudez/Perez/Yahya -3.5 (+473) +1.1825u
                                      Prachnio Decision/Jouban -3.5/Hill (+618) -.25u
                                      McMann Decision/Kelleher/Perry KO (+637) -.25u
                                      Latifi/Andrade Decision/Stephens (+674) +1.685u

                                      Results: See Above
                                      Fights: +0.3675u
                                      Card: +32.865u

                                      Live Betting:
                                      Jouban+Sanders Goes Distance (+180) -1u
                                      Perry+Griffin Goes Distance (+250) +5u
                                      Torres (+500) -1u
                                      Reneau (+700) +3.5u

                                      Results: See Above
                                      Fights: +6.5u
                                      Card: +39.365u

                                      Full Card Props:
                                      Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+133) -1.25u
                                      Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+347) -.5u
                                      Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+999) -.25u

                                      FOTN: Jouban+Saunders
                                      POTN: Stephens, Latifi
                                      Fastest Submission: Latifi R1 (3:48)
                                      Fastest KO: Alvey R1 (4:23)
                                      Decisions: 5
                                      Results: See Above
                                      Fights: -2u
                                      Final Card Total = +37.365u
                                      Comment
                                      • Hugo de Naranja
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-14-16
                                        • 14140

                                        #544
                                        The hot streak continues! This was officially my most profitable card ever.
                                        Comment
                                        • turbozed
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-15-08
                                          • 2435

                                          #545
                                          Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                          A few observations:

                                          1. McMann really might be a quitter. Not so much a quitter, but a panic fighter? She lacks composure when faced with adversity.
                                          2. Kelleher looked very good. He pulled off what we thought Jared Gordon would last week.
                                          3. Congrats to both Andrade and Torres. They both fought very well. High level fight. Andrade looked almost unbeatable.
                                          I'm having a hard time thinking of a higher level WMMA fight than Andrade vs Torres. Torres was implementing her game perfectly but couldn't handle beast mode after the 1st round.
                                          Comment
                                          • Hugo de Naranja
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 04-14-16
                                            • 14140

                                            #546
                                            Originally posted by turbozed
                                            I'm having a hard time thinking of a higher level WMMA fight than Andrade vs Torres. Torres was implementing her game perfectly but couldn't handle beast mode after the 1st round.
                                            Yeah I thought both of them looked good.
                                            Comment
                                            • turbozed
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-15-08
                                              • 2435

                                              #547
                                              Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                              The hot streak continues! This was officially my most profitable card ever.
                                              Officially my most profitable card ever too.

                                              It's interesting that we both managed to do well considering our bet cards weren't even all that similar . Just goes to show there's a lot of value to be had up and down a single card.
                                              Comment
                                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-14-16
                                                • 14140

                                                #548
                                                Originally posted by turbozed
                                                Officially my most profitable card ever too.

                                                It's interesting that we both managed to do well considering our bet cards weren't even all that similar . Just goes to show there's a lot of value to be had up and down a single card.
                                                Yeah definitely man. Keep on throwing it down.
                                                Comment
                                                • nyrider88
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 07-12-17
                                                  • 355

                                                  #549
                                                  Final Card Total = +37.365u[/QUOTE]


                                                  congrats on the win.

                                                  Hugo, how much does 37 units translate to? just curious what bankroll you are playing with.
                                                  also, are you using 5Dime?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JIBBBY
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-10-09
                                                    • 83691

                                                    #550
                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                    My picks.. Good luck people!!!


                                                    Most bets are $100, no load ups or big bets with this event for me...


                                                    1) Bermudez - Straight/ and ITD
                                                    2) Sheldon - Straight/ and by Dec
                                                    3) Yayha - Sub/and Rnd 1 finish (small)
                                                    4) Alvey - ITD, hedge Prachinio by Dec
                                                    5) Jouban - ITD
                                                    6) Hill - Dec
                                                    7) Mcmann - Dec
                                                    8) Kelleher Straight
                                                    9) Perry - KO/ Perry Rnd 1 and Round 2 finish props (small) also.
                                                    10) Latifi ITD/ U2.5
                                                    11) Torres by Dec (small) Don't like this fight..
                                                    12) Emmet by dec/ Hedged Stephens by KO

                                                    This event treated me right, I hit the juicy props when I needed them and cleaned up... Here is how it went for me... Got up early and never looked back.. Had a good mid event win streak with a bunch of fight wins in row that put me up for good..




                                                    Went 9-12 with fights won with this event - That will work everytime!!

                                                    1) Bermudez - Straight/ and ITD (win/win)
                                                    2) Sheldon - Straight/ and by Dec (loss/loss)
                                                    3) Yayha - Sub/and Rnd 1 finish (small) (win)
                                                    4) Alvey - ITD, hedge Prachinio by Dec (win)
                                                    5) Jouban - ITD (win)
                                                    6) Hill - Dec (win)
                                                    7) Mcmann - Dec (Loss) Hugo sub hedge (win)
                                                    8) Kelleher Straight (win)
                                                    9) Perry - KO/ Perry Rnd 1 and Round 2 finish props (small) also. (loss/loss)
                                                    10) Latifi ITD/ U2.5 (big win/win)
                                                    11) Torres by Dec (small) Don't like this fight.. (loss)
                                                    12) Emmet by dec/ Hedged Stephens by KO(win)






                                                    These were my big prop wins below.. . This was a good event win for JIBS!!! Won over $1000 on Dimes...

                                                    Latifi fight hooked me up -

                                                    $100.00 $549.00 Win 2/24/18 8:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1205 Latifi wins inside distance +549* vs Not Latifi inside distance
                                                    $100.00 $110.00 Win 2/24/18 8:30pm UFC Fighting 1201 Ilir Latifi/Ovince Saint Preux Under 2½ +110*

                                                    Sam Alvey with KO was a good hit midway also -

                                                    $100.00 $328.00 Win 2/24/18 5:30pm MMA Props Fighting 1905 Alvey wins inside distance +328* vs Not Alvey inside distance
                                                    Last edited by JIBBBY; 02-25-18, 04:10 PM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JIBBBY
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-10-09
                                                      • 83691

                                                      #551
                                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                      Got it in for $70 thank you Hugo.. Not on all books though.. I wasn't gonna do it either but got it in on a couple...

                                                      After that 1st round I thought it was toast and wasted money.. What do I know about these chick fights.. ..

                                                      Thanks Hugo this all you and the other posters.. I was like I better get this in fast... Saved me...

                                                      I owe you for this along with the other posters that had Reneau by sub, HUGE PROP WIN, THANKS FELLAS!!!! I'm not that good with these chick fights..


                                                      $71.80 $434.40 Win 2/24/18 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1527 Reneau wins by submission +605* vs Any other result


                                                      $100.00 $87.00 Loss 2/24/18 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1511 McMann wins by 3 round decision -115* vs Not McMann by 3 round decision
                                                      This was another nice win early on...I owe this win to Hugo.. That Submission prop win was placed just before the fight started.. Hugo and others talked me into it.. It landed.. .. Thanks again!!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Sanity Check
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-30-13
                                                        • 10962

                                                        #552
                                                        Winning card for me.

                                                        Looks like we're all slowly but surely evolving into gambling badasses. lol



                                                        edit: This 14x hit made me feel good.



                                                        Needed OSP and McMann to finish a 115x parlay. Alas twas not to be.
                                                        Last edited by Sanity Check; 02-25-18, 02:02 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JIBBBY
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-10-09
                                                          • 83691

                                                          #553
                                                          Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                          The hot streak continues! This was officially my most profitable card ever.
                                                          Awesome!!! Alot of us did well with this card last night.. I like when that happens on SBR... Sanity Check won too..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Sanity Check
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-30-13
                                                            • 10962

                                                            #554
                                                            Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                            Awesome!!! Alot of us did well with this card last night.. I like when that happens on SBR... Sanity Check won too..
                                                            If this hit, I would have doubled my bankroll.



                                                            lol when was the last time all of us won @ something? Is this the 1st time? Let it become a habit.

                                                            I wonder if fights are becoming easier to predict. It seems like a lot of people don't want to fight Valentina Shevchenko and others who are too good. Maybe that's the reason fights are becoming easier to call?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Thrilla
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-10-15
                                                              • 13809

                                                              #555
                                                              <iframe frameborder="0" scrolling="no" marginheight="0" marginwidth="0"width="578.5" height="325" type="text/html" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/kjVUGgIw4tY?autoplay=0&fs=1&iv_load_poli cy=3&showinfo=1&rel=1&cc_load_policy=1&s tart=1&end=1&origin=https://youtubeembedcode.com"></iframe>
                                                              Comment
                                                              • PaperTrail07
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-29-08
                                                                • 20423

                                                                #556
                                                                Got crushed this event LOL.......
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PaperTrail07
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-29-08
                                                                  • 20423

                                                                  #557
                                                                  Hill, Keheller kept me floating but OPS loss was big THEN took Emmett
                                                                  Comment
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