UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Brunson (October 28, 2017)

**Shagdogy** · 10-29-17, 12:07 AM

Frustrating night for me. Font loss really hurt me. Coulda been around 2.5u win on the night, but it turns into small loss. Also that dos Santos TKO was probably 3 seconds away If not for the bell. Had that gone the other way I hit for 2u on the night. Finally I had Brunson round 1 qued up and just didn't put it through and took no action on that last fight. If I get any one of those things right and I win on the night.

I nailed my two most confident bets with Golm and Gordon but walk away tiny loss. Wheels spinning.

**KingHawkins** · 10-29-17, 12:08 AM

Originally posted by Sanity Check

Masvidal is fighting Stephen Thompson on november 4th.

If he finishes Thompson he could have a chance?

I love Masvidal here as a short dog.

**firekillex** · 10-29-17, 12:09 AM

over/under how many cans/bottles covington got hit with running to the tunnel

**UncleChael** · 10-29-17, 12:09 AM

Originally posted by firekillex

over/under how many cans/bottles covington got hit with running to the tunnel

13.5/over and under -110

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-29-17, 12:10 AM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Frustrating night for me. Font loss really hurt me. Coulda been around 2.5u win on the night, but it turns into small loss. Also that dos Santos TKO was probably 3 seconds away If not for the bell. Had that gone the other way I hit for 2u on the night. Finally I had Brunson round 1 qued up and just didn't put it through and took no action on that last fight. If I get any one of those things right and I win on the night.

I nailed my two most confident bets with Golm and Gordon but walk away tiny loss. Wheels spinning.

Keep your head up bud. Nothing to worry about here. I think you had good reads on the fights and losses happen to everyone.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-29-17, 12:12 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Love the price on Brunson R1 at (+350). Think an early finish is his most likely path to victory.

Maybe I should only bet Main Events lol

**firekillex** · 10-29-17, 12:14 AM

Originally posted by UncleChael

13.5/over and under -110

i seen at least 5 hit him lolllll
that was one of the funniest things ive ever seen in a ufc post fight.... wish more fighters would take their careers into their own hands and market themselves in a heel or a hero.... especially at 125 us fans are begging for somebody to make us care

**UncleChael** · 10-29-17, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by firekillex

i seen at least 5 hit him lolllll
that was one of the funniest things ive ever seen in a ufc post fight.... wish more fighters would take their careers into their own hands and market themselves in a heel or a hero.... especially at 125 us fans are begging for somebody to make us care

I'ma watch it again brother.

**UncleChael** · 10-29-17, 12:18 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Maybe I should only bet Main Events lol

Font wins, we don't even show up next week. We good.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-29-17, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by UncleChael

Font wins, we don't even show up next week. We good.

Yeah that Munhoz Sub prop falls in with Ortega R3 and Romero R3 as MUST PLAYS every fight. I remember winning like 20u on Munhoz against Scoggins when the sub prop was (+1000) and Scorecards = No Action was (+202).

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-29-17, 12:28 AM

Interesting bit of trivia on Brunson, ALL 14 of his career finishes are Round 1 Finishes.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-29-17, 12:32 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

My guesses for FOTN/POTN.

FOTN: Zaleski Dos Santos+Griffin
POTN1: Brunson
POTN2: Luque

Actual

FOTN: Zaleski Dos Santos+Griffin
POTN1: Brunson
POTN2: Munhoz

**dlowilly** · 10-29-17, 12:34 AM

Wow bad night for the home crowd

I know it's already been talked about but Colby Covington, "Yo Brazil this place is a dump, you people are animals." Holy chit never heard someone trash the crowd quite like that. Is Chael his coach?

Don't know why he thinks he should call out Woodley. I don't like Woodley as a fighter or a person but he destroys Colby.

**UncleChael** · 10-29-17, 12:36 AM

Originally posted by dlowilly

Wow bad night for the home crowd

I know it's already been talked about but Colby Covington, "Yo Brazil this place is a dump, you people are animals." Holy chit never heard someone trash the crowd quite like that. Is Chael his coach?

Don't know why he thinks he should call out Woodley. I don't like Woodley as a fighter or a person but he destroys Colby.

He destroy Maia worse than Woodley in his hometown. If there was 10 seconds more..

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-29-17, 12:38 AM

UFC Fight Night 119: Brunson vs. Machida Picks:
Marcelo Golm Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Jarred Brooks Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos Round 3 TKO (Punches)
Jared Gordon Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Antonio Carlos Junior Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Niko Price Round 3 TKO (Punches)
John Lineker Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26 x2)
Jack Hermansson Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Francisco Trinaldo Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Rob Font Round 2 TKO (Knees and Punches)
Demian Maia Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Derek Brunson Round 1 KO (Punches)

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-29-17, 12:40 AM

UFC Fight Night 119: Brunson vs. Machida

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Golm (DEBUT) vs. Colombo
Golm Submission (+650) +3.25u

Result: Marcelo Golm Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +3.25u
Card: +3.25u

Fight #2: Brooks vs. Figueiredo
Figueiredo ITD (+450) -2u
Figueiredo Submission (+1050) -.5u

Result: Deiveson Figueiredo Split Decision (29-28 x2, 27-30)
Fight: -2.5u
Card: +.75u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #3: Zaleski Dos Santos vs. Griffin
Zaleski Dos Santos KO/TKO (+340) -.5u
Zaleski Dos Santos Round 3 (+1263) -1u

Hedge:
Griffin Round 1 (+680) -.5u

Result: Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos Unanimous Decision (29-28 x2, 29-27)
Fight: -2u
Card: -1.25u

Fight #4: Gordon vs. Dias
No Bet

Result: Jared Gordon Unanimous Decision (30-26, 29-27, 29-26)

Fight #5: Carlos Junior vs. Marshman
Carlos Junior Round 2 (+425) -.25u
Carlos Junior Round 3 (+875) -.25u

Hedge:
Marshman KO/TKO (+825) -1u

Result: Antonio Carlos Junior Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: -1.5u
Card: -2.75u

Fight #6: Price vs. Luque
Price (+110) -1u
Price ITD (+210) -1u
Price Submission (+508) -.25u
Price Round 3 (+1100) -.25u

Hedge:
Luque Round 1 (+350) -.5u

Added:
Price Decision (+591) -.5u
Price+Luque Draw (+10000) -.1u

Result: Vicente Luque Round 2 Submission (D’arce Choke)
Fight: -3.6u
Card: -6.35u

Main Card:

Fight #7: Lineker vs. Vera
Lineker Decision (+200) +2u

Hedge:
Vera Submission (+1050) -.5u

Result: John Lineker Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fight: +1.5u
Card: -4.85u

Fight #8: Hermansson vs. Santos
Hermansson (+100) -2u
Hermansson Round 1 (+325) -.5u
Hermansson Decision (+425) -.5u

Hedge:
Santos Decision (+600) -.5u

Result: Thiago Santos Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Fight: -3.5u
Card: -8.35u

Fight #9: Trinaldo vs. Miller
Trinaldo -3.5 (+135) -1u

Hedge:
Miller Submission (+775) -.5u

Added:
Trinaldo Decision (+110) +1.1u

Result: Francisco Trinaldo Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Fight: -.4u
Card: -8.75u

Fight #10: Font vs. Munhoz
Font -3.5 (+125) -1u
Font KO/TKO (+315) -.5u
Font Submission (+1200) -.25u

Hedge:
Munhoz Submission (+705) +7.05u

Added Hedge:
Munhoz Decision (+320) -1u

Result: Pedro Munhoz Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Fight: +4.3u
Card: -4.45u

Fight #11: Maia vs. Covington
Maia (+130) -1.5u
Maia ITD (+400) -1u
Maia+Covington Draw (+7000) -.2u

Hedge(s):
Covington Decision (+130) +.65u
Covington -3.5 (+185) +.925u
Covington Round 3 (+1825) -.5u

Result: Colby Covington Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-26, 29-27)
Fight: -1.625u
Card: -6.075u

Fight #12: Brunson vs. Machida
Brunson Round 1 (+350) +7u

Hedge:
Machida KO (+300) -1u

Added:
Brunson KO/TKO (+140) +1.4u

Result: Derek Brunson Round 1 KO (Punches)
Fight: +7.4u
Card: +1.325u

Straight Parlays:
Golm/Zaleski Dos Santos (+107) +1.07u
Lineker/Font (+120) -2u
Carlos Junior/Font (+125) -2u
Lineker/Brunson+Machida Under 2.5 (+133) +2.66u
Golm ITD/Zaleski Dos Santos (+145) +1.45u
Covington+Maia Over 2.5/Brunson+Machida Under 2.5 (+188) +1.88u

Results: See Above
Fights: +3.06u
Card: +4.385u

Prop Parlays:
Golm/Carlos Junior+Marshman WGD (+155) +1.55u
Golm Round 1/Brooks/Gordon (+561) -.25u
Zaleski -3.5/Carlos Junior+Marshman WSR3/Luque (+602) +1.51u
Munhoz Decision/Covington (+631) -.5u
Munhoz/Maia/Brunson (+776) -.25u
Lineker Decision/Santos/Trinaldo -3.5 (+1329) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: +1.81u
Card: +6.195u

Live-Betting:
Covington (+145) +1.45u
Vera (+1400) -.25u

Results: Covington Wins, Vera Loses
Fights: +1.2u
Card: +7.395u

Full Card Props:
Over 6.5 Fights Go Distance (+248) -1.25u
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+644) -.5u
Zaleski Dos Santos+Griffin FOTN (+750) +3.75u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+2043) -.25u

FOTN: Zaleski Dos Santos+Griffin
POTN: Brunson, Munhoz
Fastest Submission: Golm R1 (2:08)
Fastest KO: Brunson R1 (2:30)
Decisions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
Results: See Above
Fights: +1.75u
Final Card Total = +9.145u

Multi-Event Parlays:
None

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-29-17, 02:03 AM

Thanks for the BPs boys!

**Shagdogy** · 10-29-17, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Keep your head up bud. Nothing to worry about here. I think you had good reads on the fights and losses happen to everyone.

I have a friend who I regularly send my plays to. He barely follows MMA but somehow he has the magic touch with my picks. He always plays the winners and doesn't bet the losers. Half the time he's just like "oh damn I didn't get to put that Font bet in, too bad." And then, of course, it loses. He's some kind of genie. If only he could tell me ahead of time which of my plays will win and which will lose.

**Demonata** · 10-29-17, 10:46 AM

Good job hugo.

**JIBBBY** · 10-29-17, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by UncleChael

He destroy Maia worse than Woodley in his hometown. If there was 10 seconds more..

Yep, sad to see Maia get beat down like that.. I thought Maia won that 1st round with his striking, but Maia began to gas and get deflated after the failed take down attempts in the 2nd round.. Was all down hill for Maia after that...

Covington to young, to much pressure, pace and cardio for old man Maia... Maia can't beat the wrestlers like Woodley and Covington because he can't take them down.. Just that simple.. Strong wrestlers are Maia's kryptonite...

**JIBBBY** · 10-29-17, 11:57 AM

Machida loss was really bad.. He probably got concussed after being put out cold by Brunson like that.. Sad to see Machida go out like that also.

Both nice guys had very bad nights in their home Country.. Local fans not happy for sure... Those 2 guys are Brazilian legends..

**JIBBBY** · 10-29-17, 12:03 PM

Covington really crossed the line, calling the Brazilians animals that live in a dump.. Lol.. That's bad, he's lucky to get out of Brazil alive after that.. Fans were saying he's gonna die...

He may get fined by the UFC from what I've been reading.....

After taking a decision over Demian Maia, Colby Covington berated Brazil and its people, calling them “filthy animals” who live in a “dump”. A lot of people didn’t like the insults, including even a few teammates of Covington and the UFC officials who are said to be reviewing it for possible sanctions.

Covington, who also called Brazilians “angry animals” before the event, didn’t attend the post-fight press conference after his controversial comments. He did issue a brief statement about it though. (HT: Guilherme Cruz)
“The crowd reaction was what I was looking for. They hate me and I don’t respect them,” Covington said.
“They don’t need to translate what I said, because I was talking to America, where my fans support me.”
The American also took to twitter about it, saying he was just poking back at the Brazilian crowd “a bit.”

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-29-17, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by Demonata

Good job hugo.

Thank you sir

**Hugo de Naranja** · 10-29-17, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

I have a friend who I regularly send my plays to. He barely follows MMA but somehow he has the magic touch with my picks. He always plays the winners and doesn't bet the losers. Half the time he's just like "oh damn I didn't get to put that Font bet in, too bad." And then, of course, it loses. He's some kind of genie. If only he could tell me ahead of time which of my plays will win and which will lose.

That's pretty funny

**Sanity Check** · 10-29-17, 04:49 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

I have a friend who I regularly send my plays to. He barely follows MMA but somehow he has the magic touch with my picks. He always plays the winners and doesn't bet the losers. Half the time he's just like "oh damn I didn't get to put that Font bet in, too bad." And then, of course, it loses. He's some kind of genie. If only he could tell me ahead of time which of my plays will win and which will lose.

Selective amnesia betting?

(Those losses only exist, if you remember them.)

**Shagdogy** · 10-29-17, 07:47 PM

Originally posted by Sanity Check

Selective amnesia betting?

(Those losses only exist, if you remember them.)

He sends me his bet tix. I believe him.

**Shagdogy** · 10-31-17, 11:05 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

Me so far:

Golm -200, 3u
Gordon -160, 3u
Font -150, 2u

Added:
Hermansson -125, 1.25u
dos Santos -225, 2.33u
dos Santos TKO/KO +335, .66u

.66 Santos dec +550

Card Total: 3-4, -0.16u
YTD: 94-81, +15.94u