Bellator 178: Straus vs. Freire 4 (April 21, 2017)

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Spike 9:00 pm ET
Daniel Straus vs Patricio Freire (for Featherweight title)
Ilima Macfarlane vs Jessica Middleton
Dominic Mazzotta vs AJ McKee
Saad Awad vs Ryan Quinn

[PaperTrail07]

On Freire and Mazotta....Not impressed with McKee...

[JIBBBY]

I'm on all the favorites again.... Parlay'd in 2's probably..

Pitbull has a shot but I think he gets out worked again if he doesn't get the KO or Sub finish at some point. I'll be taking Straus by Decision myself if the props pop up..

http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Daniel-Straus-45414

[PaperTrail07]

I mean your right JIBBERS.....BUT I just cant stand laying -465 on a guy that will most likely take it to decision...Mazzotta is game and will do down fighting.....-465 might cash but it will be close and 465 pays a hundo? no thanks....McKee by decision if you like that bet...

[PaperTrail07]

His only Prof loss is to Garbrandt 3 years ago...just think he's game and Bellator is also where HUGE DOGS cash....remember when will brooks was +900 vs chandler and took it...... Tito +300 over Russian via lay game...

[JIBBBY]

I mean your right JIBBERS.....BUT I just cant stand laying -465 on a guy that will most likely take it to decision...Mazzotta is game and will do down fighting.....-465 might cash but it will be close and 465 pays a hundo? no thanks....McKee by decision if you like that bet...

Agreed on Mckee probably by decision... Would take Mazzotta by sub as a hedge is offered.. Dude is game on the ground but I think McKee is better and stays undefeated.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Dominic-Mazzotta-95933

Can't blame you for taking a shot on Mazzotta at those odds Paper...

[PaperTrail07]

Very true....McKee has been point fighting lately as well....he could find himself in the middle of a war......if it turns into a point game McKee will cruise into decision like you said...

Agreed on Mckee probably by decision... Would take Mazzotta by sub as a hedge is offered.. Dude is game on the ground but I think McKee is better and undefeated.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Dominic-Mazzotta-95933

Can't blame you for taking a shot on Mazzotta at those odds Paper...

[Hugo de Naranja]

I put a unit on Mazzotta at (+425). His record is surprisingly good against solid competition.

[JIBBBY]

I might try $50 on Mazzotta at those odds as well.. Those odds are just so high... Even though I think he probably loses by decision it's worth a shot..

I might end up playing Pitbull for $75 as well as they always fight close fights which go one way or the other...

I will be parlay'ing up McFairaine and Awad for $150 to help cover the Mazzotta and Pitbull losses if they happen...

I'll gamble on the 2 dogs with you guys, fock it!!! Bellator favorites can't always hit even though they typically do and all the time.....

Got this in already as one or both of those lines might jump -

$150.00	$96.00	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	4/21/17 10:00pm Bellator Fighting 3102 Ilima-Lei Macfarlane -435* vs Jessica Middleton
				Pending	4/21/17 9:00pm Bellator Fighting 3302 Saad Awad -300* vs Ryan Quinn

[PaperTrail07]

Yeah I see McKee by Dec but like you said...odds are there....Mckee is not a top top guy and is capable of a bad performance himself...he has every advantage on paper... down to

Fri 4/21

3201 Dominic Mazzotta

+370

[PaperTrail07]

JIBB....tailed the parlay....lets hit everything

[mdunlap3]

Likely going to ride with JIBBYs approach on this one and parlay all of the faves, has worked out for me in the past. JIBBY - do you have any idea of how successful(record) you have been when you do parlay all of the faves on these bellator cards?

[JIBBBY]

Likely going to ride with JIBBYs approach on this one and parlay all of the faves, has worked out for me in the past. JIBBY - do you have any idea of how successful(record) you have been when you do parlay all of the faves on these bellator cards?

Only lost one Bellator card this year betting favorites... Bellator has always treated me right...

I just wish the props would start coming out again on the Bellator events like they use too.. ....

[JAKEPEAVY21]

gl jibblets and gravy

[PaperTrail07]

Was thinking the same shit on the props...

Only lost one Bellator card this year betting favorites... Bellator has always treated me right...

I just wish the props would start coming out again on the Bellator events like they use too.. ....

[Sanity Check]

Has anyone seen Ryan Quinn fight recently?

Seems like he's mostly a ground fighter. Wondering if his wrestling is any good.

This card seems like it may be setup to give underdogs better than normal chances of winning.

[JIBBBY]

Has anyone seen Ryan Quinn fight recently?

Seems like he's mostly a ground fighter. Wondering if his wrestling is any good.

This card seems like it may be setup to give underdogs better than normal chances of winning.

Decent with his wrestling and takedowns.. Not a gimmie fight for Awad.. He is ready for it though and expects it.. Awad has decent TD defense on the flip.. I think the fight stays standing and Awad wins on points.. Well I'm hoping it goes that way...

http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Ryan-Quinn-41560

[Sanity Check]

Decent with his wrestling and takedowns.. Not a gimmie fight for Awad.. He is ready for it though and expects it.. Awad has decent TD defense on the flip.. I think the fight stays standing and Awad wins on points.. Well I'm hoping it goes that way...

http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Ryan-Quinn-41560

Ryan Quinn's last opponent was Matt McGrath.

I see McGrath has wins over Jesse Ronson who fought in the UFC and Michael Hill who was on the ultimate fighter.

Quinn also trains out of american top team.

It makes me wonder if Quinn is better than I'm giving him credit for being.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Bellator 178 Straus vs. Pitbull IV Picks:
Saad Awad Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
A.J. McKee Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Ilima-Lei Macfarlane Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Daniel Straus Unanimous Decision (49-46, 48-47 x2)

[Hugo de Naranja]

Bellator 178: Straus vs. Pitbull IV

Main Card:

Fight #1: Awad vs. Quinn
Quinn (+250) .5u

Fight #2: McKee vs. Mazzotta
Mazzotta (+425) 1u

Fight #3: Macfarlane vs. Middleton
Parlays

Fight #4: Straus vs. Freire
Parlays

Straight Parlays:
Macfarlane/Straus (+114) 1u

Prop Parlays:
Macfarlane ITD/Straus Decision (+748) .25u

[PaperTrail07]

Props are Up

[PaperTrail07]

3207 Mazzotta wins by 3 round decision

+687

and
McKee by 3 +127....hmm

[mdunlap3]

Macfarlane legit af.

[JIBBBY]

I might try $50 on Mazzotta at those odds as well.. Those odds are just so high... Even though I think he probably loses by decision it's worth a shot..

I might end up playing Pitbull for $75 as well as they always fight close fights which go one way or the other...

I will be parlay'ing up McFairaine and Awad for $150 to help cover the Mazzotta and Pitbull losses if they happen...

I'll gamble on the 2 dogs with you guys, fock it!!! Bellator favorites can't always hit even though they typically do and all the time.....

Got this in already as one or both of those lines might jump -

$150.00	$96.00	Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	4/21/17 10:00pm Bellator Fighting 3102 Ilima-Lei Macfarlane -435* vs Jessica Middleton
				Pending	4/21/17 9:00pm Bellator Fighting 3302 Saad Awad -300* vs Ryan Quinn

Well it turns out most favorites did win again in Bellator what else is new? ..

This is how it played out for me... All small stuff but still another Bellator win.. I really need to start loading up on Bellator.. I did end up going $100 and not $75 with Pitbull since it was the main event.. I needed to be entertained with $100 riding on just 5dimes..

$53.00

$185.50

Loss

4/21/17 9:30pm Bellator Fighting 3201 Dominic Mazzotta +350* vs AJ McKee Jr

$100.00

$130.00

Win

4/21/17 10:30pm Bellator Fighting 3001 Patricio Freire +130* vs Daniel Straus

$150.00	$96.00	Win	2 Team Parlay
				Win	4/21/17 10:00pm Bellator Fighting 3102 Ilima-Lei Macfarlane -435* vs Jessica Middleton
				Win	4/21/17 9:00pm Bellator Fighting 3302 Saad Awad -300* vs Ryan Quinn

Total profit $170.00... It's a small win and hope to do better tomorrow night..

[Hugo de Naranja]

Nice hit on your bets Jibs. I did well on my picks but shit the bed on bets for this card. Oh well haha.

[PaperTrail07]

1-1 + $ and the parlay OKOK....Last fight saved the night......Nice call on the parlay JIBBS

[PaperTrail07]

Hey that's winning

Well it turns out most favorites did win again in Bellator what else is new? ..

This is how it played out for me... All small stuff but still another Bellator win.. I really need to start loading up on Bellator.. I did end up going $100 and not $75 with Pitbull since it was the main event.. I needed to be entertained with $100 riding on just 5dimes..

$53.00

$185.50

Loss

4/21/17 9:30pm Bellator Fighting 3201 Dominic Mazzotta +350* vs AJ McKee Jr

$100.00

$130.00

Win

4/21/17 10:30pm Bellator Fighting 3001 Patricio Freire +130* vs Daniel Straus

$150.00	$96.00	Win	2 Team Parlay
				Win	4/21/17 10:00pm Bellator Fighting 3102 Ilima-Lei Macfarlane -435* vs Jessica Middleton
				Win	4/21/17 9:00pm Bellator Fighting 3302 Saad Awad -300* vs Ryan Quinn

Total profit $170.00... It's a small win and hope to do better tomorrow night..

[Hugo de Naranja]

Bellator 178 Straus vs. Pitbull IV Picks:
Saad Awad Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
A.J. McKee Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Ilima-Lei Macfarlane Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Daniel Straus Unanimous Decision (49-46, 48-47 x2)

[Hugo de Naranja]

Bellator 178: Straus vs. Pitbull IV

Main Card:

Fight #1: Awad vs. Quinn
Quinn (+250) -.5u

Result: Saad Awad Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -.5u
Card: -.5u

Fight #2: McKee vs. Mazzotta
Mazzotta (+425) -1u

Result: A.J. McKee Round 1 KO (Head Kick)
Fight: -1u
Card: -1.5u

Fight #3: Macfarlane vs. Middleton
Parlays

Result: Ilima-Lei Macfarlane Round 1 Submission (Armbar)

Fight #4: Straus vs. Freire
Parlays

Result: Patricio Freire Round 2 Submission (Guillotine Choke)

Straight Parlays:
Macfarlane/Straus (+114) -1u

Results: Macfarlane Wins, Straus Loses
Fights: -1u
Card: -2.5u

Prop Parlays:
Macfarlane ITD/Straus Decision (+748) -.25u

Results: Macfarlane Wins ITD, Straus Loses
Fights: -.25u
Final Card Total = -2.75u

[GunShard]

I just saw AJ McKee on a popular livestream playing paintball in Cali, he just happened to be there. Didn't realize it was him and he has an 8-0 record as well. Maybe UFC caliber fighter one day.

[Hugo de Naranja]

I just saw AJ McKee on a popular livestream playing paintball in Cali, he just happened to be there. Didn't realize it was him and he has an 8-0 record as well. Maybe UFC caliber fighter one day.

Yeah he's a top prospect for sure