UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 (April 08, 2017)

[Sanity Check]

Yep, as usual all 3 favorites should hit.. Manhoef has a chance at the KO but I don't think he gets it...

I don't remember seeing Manhoef and Carvalho's first fight.

All 3 sherdog judges scored 4/5 rounds for Manhoef, even if Carvalho was awarded the fight by the judges.



The Pearl Gonzalez vs Cynthia Calvillo fight is back on btw~

[UncleChael]

#PrayForCormier

[Sato]

That "strange looking short punch" is called an uppercut.

Yes. I didnt remember it being an uppercut.

[GunShard]

cagey sheet going on at the weigh ins...

This explains why the public just dumped their money on Johnson to a favorite.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Pretty much all locked and loaded for tomorrow's fights. GL gents

[JIBBBY]

This explains why the public just dumped their money on Johnson to a favorite.

I like it... May hit DC again if the odds keep get better. He'll be ready by tomorrow night to put a ass whooping on Rumble...

[hwgfb]

DC was pushing down on the towel with both hands which made him lighter.. That's how he made the weight..

There was tension on the towel.. Sneaky trick but it worked... ..

YES HE WAS!! YOU SEEN THAT SHIT TOO!!

[snapperman2]

It looked a little like Daniel Cormier was pushing down on the towel a little during the weigh-in. Do you think that that could make him seem a couple of pounds lighter?

[GoBlue77]

All in on DC myself... Rumble knows he can't out wrestle or out Cardio DC, he's gonna come out swinging again because Rumble is not a boxer and is not gonna stick and move for 5 rounds.. NO WAY.. It's land the big shot early on or bust for Rumble again..

When you get man handled and out worked like Rumble did in the first fight things aren't likely to change a year later in the rematch..

I'm betting the house on DC... Rumble doesn't land the lucky punch I don't think.. DC is gonna be the bigger dude as well..

rumble can't be hurt on the feet and knows DC will try to dryhump him, knows his gameplan and you bet the house on DC. well thats interesting. DC will provide zero surprises to Rumble, I wouldn't feel confident betting large on either to be honest

[Hugo de Naranja]

It looked a little like Daniel Cormier was pushing down on the towel a little during the weigh-in. Do you think that that could make him seem a couple of pounds lighter?

Yes and yes. It's an old wrestling trick.

[firekillex]

rumble cant be hurt on the feet? huh
any person can be hurt on the feet lol... cormier isnt a slouch on the feet at all hes actually a great dirty boxer
obviously rumble has the striking advantage but its not a complete mismatch

cormier can win a ground and pound tko, decision or submission again he has many avenues to victory , rumble basically has a ko/tko to win thats his only avenue imo for a 5 round fight with somebody so aggressive like cormier

[Hugo de Naranja]

rumble cant be hurt on the feet? huh
any person can be hurt on the feet lol... cormier isnt a slouch on the feet at all hes actually a great dirty boxer
obviously rumble has the striking advantage but its not a complete mismatch

cormier can win a ground and pound tko, decision or submission again he has many avenues to victory , rumble basically has a ko/tko to win thats his only avenue imo for a 5 round fight with somebody so aggressive like cormier

I think DC has the best clinch uppercuts in the game.

[JIBBBY]

rumble can't be hurt on the feet and knows DC will try to dryhump him, knows his gameplan and you bet the house on DC. well thats interesting. DC will provide zero surprises to Rumble, I wouldn't feel confident betting large on either to be honest

Both have great chins, DC has the cardio and wrestling advantage.. We've seen Rumble gas and quit in fights, DC we have not as DC has heart and won't quit.. DC is the champ too..

All in on DC.. Fock it!!!!

[firekillex]

I think DC has the best clinch uppercuts in the game.

agreed his build / wrestling clinch sets him up perfect because hes usually the shorter guy he can get the uppercuts clean and from deep in the ground for maximum power

[slikec]

agreed his build / wrestling clinch sets him up perfect because hes usually the shorter guy he can get the uppercuts clean and from deep in the ground for maximum power

We seen that so many times vs Gustaffson. Damn that was the difference in my opinion that cost Swede the match

[JIBBBY]

I think DC has the best clinch uppercuts in the game.

Even not in the clinch and when he misses people drop ..

[Hugo de Naranja]

Cummins has one of the worst chins ever lol

[KushMoney]

I'm taking the worst bets ever today.

Taking Rumble -125 and Weidman even

both bets seem like very negative expected value bets. Books trying to lure action on the other sides?

Rumble seems like -ev because he already lost to DC and has essentially less paths to victory.

Weidman seems like -ev as the books should have given him an underdog price instead he opened as a slight favorite. He's on a 2 fight loss streak while Gegard is on a winning streak.


300 on weidman 750 on Rumble

[KushMoney]

In my vision I see DC fighting smart early on but getting comfortable overall with his striking while Rumble wastes energy stopping the takedown and reversing position against the fence. Due to a dominating first round I see DC attempting to grt loose on his feet and trying less for takedowns and more for dirty boxing against the cage in round 2. He doesn't wanna be a boring fighter that everyone hates. That will be his downfall as Rumble will do a lot more landing due to the fact that he isn't wasting energy stopping takedowns. Rumble lands a big punch to the face of DC and in the end gets the stoppage.



Gegard is all sorts of stupid confident and ive seen this play out before with many fighters... they are focused more on money and their next contract then the fighter in front of them. This is an absolute must-win for Weidman so he's going to do whatever it takes to get the job done.


Gegard = Bad Karma talking about money shit talking badly about the UFC it never ends well like this.

Weidman has done nothing wrong but always fight the best 2nd best or 3rd best guy every.single.time.


Enough talking good luck everyone.

[JIBBBY]

Cummins has one of the worst chins ever lol

Yep thinking of fading him but just not sure? How are you playing it Hugo? Right now I only have this Wont Go Distance bet pending...

I figure something should give one way or the other before the final bell.. Jan getting pounded out on the ground or Cummins getting KO'd..

Slight chance Cummins could wrestle and lay and pray to a decision win but I'm leaning that doesn't happen.. I could be wrong though, this fight had me scratching my head from the very start..

$100.00

$105.00

Pending

4/8/17 8:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1804 Fight won’t go 3 round distance +105* vs Blachowicz / Cummins goes 3 rd distance

Props in play IMO....

1829 Blachowicz wins by TKO/KO

+190

1805 Blachowicz wins inside distance

+164

1811 Cummins wins by 3 round decision

+130

FS1



Patrick
Cummins
"Durkin"
vs
Jan
Blachowicz

UNITED STATES
Country
POLAND

8-4-0
Record
19-6-0

50%
KO/TKO
26%

25%
SUB
37%

25%
DEC
37%

74 in
Height
74 in

205 lbs
Weight
205 lbs

76 in
Reach
78 in

43 in
Leg Reach
44 in

[Hugo de Naranja]

I think you highlighted all the props that I considered. Bookies have this fight nailed so there's not much value on it and I'd stick with the Won't Go Distance prop you already have. I took a few small long shots and played it like this.

Fight #5: Cummins vs. Blachowicz
Cummins KO/TKO (+820) .25u
Cummins Round 3 (+2450) .25u

Hedge:
Blachowicz Round 1 (+433) .5u

[Shagdogy]

DC just doesn't look right at these weigh ins. Looks like the cut has been rough on him. Is this gonna make his chin a bit more touchy? Harder time recovering?

[JAKEPEAVY21]

In my vision I see DC fighting smart early on but getting comfortable overall with his striking while Rumble wastes energy stopping the takedown and reversing position against the fence. Due to a dominating first round I see DC attempting to grt loose on his feet and trying less for takedowns and more for dirty boxing against the cage in round 2. He doesn't wanna be a boring fighter that everyone hates. That will be his downfall as Rumble will do a lot more landing due to the fact that he isn't wasting energy stopping takedowns. Rumble lands a big punch to the face of DC and in the end gets the stoppage.



Gegard is all sorts of stupid confident and ive seen this play out before with many fighters... they are focused more on money and their next contract then the fighter in front of them. This is an absolute must-win for Weidman so he's going to do whatever it takes to get the job done.


Gegard = Bad Karma talking about money shit talking badly about the UFC it never ends well like this.

Weidman has done nothing wrong but always fight the best 2nd best or 3rd best guy every.single.time.


Enough talking good luck everyone.

How is it bad karma or shit talking to speak the truth?

[JIBBBY]

This is how I'm playing the card... GL fellas..

Most bets $100 as usual, bets do increase in the main card as usual also.... Too lazy to copy and paste them all..

1) Magomed by sub
2) Aldana straight and by (Ko for small)
3) Emmit straight and by (Ko for small)
4) Gillespie by Dec
5) Cummins/Jan fight won't go the distance..
6) Burros by Dec
7) Usman by dec/ hedged for profit with Strickland by KO
8) Jury ITD
9) Ill Wil Brooks by Dec/ hedged Do Brox by sub
10) Cote Straight/ hedged Alves ITD
11) Gonzales by sub VERY SMALL.. This fight is a pass basically..
12) Mousasi straight and by KO
13) DC straight (LARGE) $500 on all books.. No hedge...

[Shagdogy]

Been pouring over this card this week. Having trouble committing to anything. I'm on Gillespie and Burgos right now and that's it.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Looks like we played a lot of stuff similarly. GL bud!

[Pinoy-T-X]

Jury/Usman parlay for me.
GL guys

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II Picks:
Magomed Bibulatov Round 2 Submission (Armbar)
Katlyn Chookagian Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Josh Emmett Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Gregor Gillespie Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Patrick Cummins Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Shane Burgos Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Kamaru Usman Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Myles Jury Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Charles Oliveira Round 1 Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Patrick Cote Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Cynthia Calvillo Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Gegard Mousasi Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Daniel Cormier Round 4 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
Magomed Bibulatov ($9,500)
Shane Burgos ($8,900)
Gregor Gillespie ($8,600)
Gegard Mousasi ($8,300)
Thiago Alves ($7,700)
Sean Strickland ($7,000)

Risk: 1u

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Magomed Bibulatov ($9,500)
Shane Burgos ($8,900)
Gegard Mousasi ($8,300)
Anthony Johnson ($8,100)
Patrick Cummins ($8,000)
Charles Oliveira ($7,200)

Risk: .2u

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Bibulatov (DEBUT) vs. Lausa
Bibulatov Submission (+585) .5u

Fight #2: Chookagian vs. Aldana
Chookagian KO/TKO (+770) .5u
Chookagian Round 3 (+1825) .5u

Hedge:
Aldana ITD (+525) 1u

Fight #3: Emmett vs. Green (DEBUT)
Green Decision (+350) .5u

Fight #4: Gillespie vs. Holbrook
Gillespie -3.5 (+170) 2u
Gillespie ITD (+501) .5u

Hedge(s):
Holbrook Submission (+470) 1u
Holbrook Decision (+815) .5u

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #5: Cummins vs. Blachowicz
Cummins KO/TKO (+820) .25u
Cummins Round 3 (+2450) .25u

Hedge:
Blachowicz Round 1 (+433) .5u

Fight #6: Rosa vs. Burgos
Burgos -3.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u
Burgos ITD (+171) 1u
Burgos Round 1 (+400) .5u

Fight #7: Usman vs. Strickland
Usman -3.5 (+120) 1u

Hedge:
Strickland Decision (+615) .5u

Fight #8: Jury vs. De La Torre
Jury ITD (+100) 1u
Jury+De La Torre Under 1.5 (+160) 2u

Main Card:

Fight #9: Brooks vs. Oliveira
Oliveira (+250) 1u
Oliveira ITD (+380) 1u
Oliveira Submission (+475) .5u

Hedge(s):
Brooks ITD (+254) 1u
Brooks Round 3 (+1100) .25u

Fight #10: Alves vs. Cote
Alves+Cote Under 2.5 (+165) 1u
Cote KO/TKO (+504) .25u

Fight #11: Calvillo vs. Gonzalez (DEBUT)
Calvillo ITD (+206) .5u
Calvillo Submission (+350) 1u

Hedge:
Gonzalez ITD (+560) .25u

Fight #12: Mousasi vs. Weidman
Mousasi (-115) 2.3u to win 2u
Mousasi KO/TKO (+465) 1u

Hedge:
Weidman Decision (+200) 1u

Fight #13: Cormier (C) vs. Johnson
Cormier (-120) 6u to win 5u
Cormier Submission (+250) 1u
Cormier Decision (+700) .5u
Cormier Unanimous Decision (+950) .5u
Cormier Round 5 (+2000) .1u
Cormier/Johnson Draw (+7000) .2u

Hedge(s):
Johnson Round 1 (+300) 3.5u
Johnson Decision (+950) .5u

Straight Parlays:
Gillespie/Usman+Strickland Over 2.5 (+115) 1u
Gillespie/Usman (+133) 1u
Emmett/Gillespie (+145) 1u

Prop Parlays:
Bibulatov -3.5/Usman+Strickland Over 2.5 (+117) 2u
Bibulatov ITD/Chookagian/Emmett Decision (+801) .25u
Gillespie -3.5/Cummins/Burgos -3.5 (+896) .25u
Calvillo ITD/Mousasi/Cormier (+990) .25u
Usman -3.5/Jury -3.5/Oliveira/Cote+Alves WGD (+1902) .25u

Full Card Props:
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+265) 1.5u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+685) .75u
Over 10.5 Fights Go Distance (+2278) .1u

[JIBBBY]

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II Draftkings Double Up Lineup:
Magomed Bibulatov ($9,500)
Shane Burgos ($8,900)
Gregor Gillespie ($8,600)
Gegard Mousasi ($8,300)
Thiago Alves ($7,700)
Sean Strickland ($7,000)

Risk: 1u

UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson II Draftkings Tournament Lineup:
Magomed Bibulatov ($9,500)
Shane Burgos ($8,900)
Gegard Mousasi ($8,300)
Anthony Johnson ($8,100)
Patrick Cummins ($8,000)
Charles Oliveira ($7,200)

Risk: .2u

Hugo I'd be careful posting your Draftkings tournament play pending because others my tail exactly and wouldn't that reduce your over all payouts if you did hit big? I don't know how Draftkings payouts work but if it's a pool or tournament type format then you could get stung if people are tailing your exact plays and everyone hits the same plays..

If it doesn't apply and all payouts are the same regardless then disregard this post.. Just looking out for an internet brotha!!!

I'm not with Draftkings myself...

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hugo I'd be careful posting your Draftkings tournament play pending because others my tail exactly and wouldn't that reduce your over all payouts if you did hit big? I don't know how Draftkings payouts work but if it's a pool or tournament type format then you could get stung if people are tailing your exact plays and everyone hits the same plays..

If it doesn't apply and all payouts are the same regardless then disregard this post.. Just looking out for an internet brotha!!!

I'm not with Draftkings myself...

I appreciate the concern mate but I'm not worried about that. People are welcome to tail/fade my Picks/DK/Bets as they please.

[BIGDAY]

[JIBBBY]

Bellator is live on Spike now if anyone is interested in checking...

[Squareguy]

Charles Rosa via Cardio in 2nd and 3rd round. Book it.