Adding:
7 units on Demian Maia, Warley Alves @ 1.67 - 4,7 unit
3 units on Trinaldo @ 1.51 - 1.5 units
1.3 units on Corey Anderson - 0.65 units
1.Maia should win, its quite difficult to see how brown can pull of outstriking Maia without getting taken down for majority of the fight. Tumenov vs Nelson is a good example. You can strike all day, one takedown and youre fakked. And on the ground well, brown is ok, but hes not Nelson, and even Nelson was steamrolled.
As much as credit Barbarena should have for stepping up to taking on Northcut, he still was tagged severely in that fight. Alves can easily outstrick or submit Barbarena with one arm. This is a techniqal mismatch, and a gimme fight. Im always cautios betting on large favourites. But in this case you have the better striker and the better grappler who has fought better competiton bla bla. He will win. Period.
Trinaldo is the overall better fighter, Medeiros reach could be a challenge, but thats about it. Trinaldo is still old and all that, but i like what i have seen from him lately. good striking, good movement, good cardio which always was a problem prior. He went to the distance with chiesa, he outstriked ross pearson, its levels above what medeiros has ever done in his carrier.
Besides bad chin/defence this should be a fight where Anderson wins, probably by a dec. One cant rule out that he gets tagged or submitted. Its a fight with risk, so this should never, ever be your main bet. Then Cummins is a better choice.
Last event: +11,1 units aka 1100 dollars
7 units on Demian Maia, Warley Alves @ 1.67 - 4,7 unit
3 units on Trinaldo @ 1.51 - 1.5 units
1.3 units on Corey Anderson - 0.65 units
1.Maia should win, its quite difficult to see how brown can pull of outstriking Maia without getting taken down for majority of the fight. Tumenov vs Nelson is a good example. You can strike all day, one takedown and youre fakked. And on the ground well, brown is ok, but hes not Nelson, and even Nelson was steamrolled.
As much as credit Barbarena should have for stepping up to taking on Northcut, he still was tagged severely in that fight. Alves can easily outstrick or submit Barbarena with one arm. This is a techniqal mismatch, and a gimme fight. Im always cautios betting on large favourites. But in this case you have the better striker and the better grappler who has fought better competiton bla bla. He will win. Period.
Trinaldo is the overall better fighter, Medeiros reach could be a challenge, but thats about it. Trinaldo is still old and all that, but i like what i have seen from him lately. good striking, good movement, good cardio which always was a problem prior. He went to the distance with chiesa, he outstriked ross pearson, its levels above what medeiros has ever done in his carrier.
Besides bad chin/defence this should be a fight where Anderson wins, probably by a dec. One cant rule out that he gets tagged or submitted. Its a fight with risk, so this should never, ever be your main bet. Then Cummins is a better choice.
Last event: +11,1 units aka 1100 dollars
