Wow, I just gave a brief look at the ufc 94 fight card/undercard and I am very excited about it. I see a lot of fights right now I am very confident with. Depending on the odds, I think picking 4 or 5 fight wont be too hard. Right now Im leaning Lyoto, Karo,Fitch, Arroyo.
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So, I just finished up watching all the previous ufc fights for the fighters on ufc 94 card. All the picks I decided on is just from what I saw and comparing their total mma record(fights also outside of UFC). Im not going to go real in-depth on the picks, unless asked, because it is all opinions.
penn/gsp fight
not sure if I am going to bet straight up or include this fight on my parlay because of too many variables and I think the fight is 60/40. with gsp the obvious advantage.
Penn- if odds get better ill make a play on penn with a possible ko/ref stoppage in the early rounds.
vs
Gsp- as of now gsp by ref stoppage or decision
Lyoto - possible KO or GnP
vs
Thiago silva
Bonnar - hasnt fought in a year but still training good. submission/punches
vs
Jon Jones
Karo-TKO
vs
Dong
Diaz- submission or decision
vs
Guida
Jake o' brien - TKO or GnP
vs
Wellisch
Manny - ref stoppage of lil GnP
vs
Thiao Tavares
Arroyo- no clue but other guy has never fought in a professional mma fight.
vs
Cramer
Just waiting for those odds to release...Last edited by brooks85; 01-26-09, 11:45 PM.Comment -
ahah I just got done reading over these and had the gut instinct to go check for odds and there they are...
and i got some Fight nights odds and UFc 95 and 96
Seems like the only disagreement the odds have with me is Manny and Thiago. I see thiago being on his back this whole fight by a much stronger competitor.Last edited by brooks85; 01-27-09, 07:03 PM.Comment -
Like your picks for the most part but can't say I'm as confident as you in actually betting them. This is just my initial reaction but outside of the Machida fight, I think the lines are lines are too sharp for so many non-elite fighters.
Bonnar should win but not worth the odds because Jon Jones is no slouch. Same can be said about Karo and Jake O'Brien. Nate Diaz is in for an absolute war and the lines are set about right (him being a slight favorite). I see this fight's outcome being left in the hand of the judges (unless Nate pull out a submission) and who really knows how they'll score it. Do they like Nate's submission attempts and striking from the outside or Guida's takedowns and non-stop assault?
The same line of thought can be put to the Gamburyan Tavares fight. Manny will eventually score the takedown but he's gonna eat some punches for it and Tavares is going to be looking for sweeps and submissions from his back.
I'll give the card another look the next couple days and who knows, maybe I'll see things differently. But right now all I have is one bet: five units on Machida.Comment -
If bonnar was fighting jones a year ago Id take him straight up absolutely. Jones wouldn't even be near bonnars level, solely based on experience. From what I saw of jones in his previous fight, bonnar, if he is the same bonnar.., will control this fight. This is the bonnar that had Wars with forrest and rashad and some very impressive wins. One tough Sob, no doubt about it. But, he also the same guy who got kicked out of ufc.Comment -
ha ok so i just talked myself into now. Small play straight up on bonnar. I hope he hasn't missed a beat.Comment -
So far im on Diaz, manny and Bonnar straight up.Comment -
I swear to God if I lose money betting against Diaz again I'm going to snap. And not in the good way. I mean like, really snap.
God Bless.Comment -
i hope guida pounds the lisp outta this fukkin wigger kokk boiComment -
I saw an interview where Diaz said he wouldn't even do an interview with Guida from the seats like they always do for upcoming fights because they're not friends. What a punkass. I swear to God it will ruin my year if I lose this fight.Comment -
Ya he is a punk, there is no doubt about it. Goes for his brother too.Comment -
K, so first two parlays.
Gonzaga ML
Davidson ML
UNC ML
Lyoto
Fitch
Wilson
O' Brien
Manny
Arroyo
GSP 15/1 odds.
Next parlay is all of the above except for Penn. 23/1 odds.Comment -
BEFORE YOU READ ANY FURTHER!!!!!!
SPOILER ALERT!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Well,. shit i knew i should have left arroyo out, to risky to include but i did anyways.
o well, still got a few other parlays still kicking. He lost by decision.Comment -
only two parlays left. Fitch and machida better not let me downComment -
Im surprised by the Guida fight. Not how the fight played out but how it was scored. With the current mma system that fight was clearly 3-0 rounds for guida. Diaz did great the first half of the first round but the rest guida had him wrapped up. But, that also is why I hate the current system. It is a shame that fight did not have a different ref. Their was multiple times the fighters should have been separated.Comment -
What happened to the heaT!! Karo the bunsen burner nowComment -
Ya when I heard that decision I took my money and ran.Comment
