Today I think it's about betting value that's out there, My plays/Quick write-ups:
I was on Weidman big last time because I thought his skill set allowed him a decent shot at an upset; thus the value of getting him at +250 when I bet him was the worth the risk of taking the dog. The same thinking is at play for my plays today.
Moraga +375 (2 Units) Mighty Mouse is crazy fast & been tremendous; but the opportunity to get a genuine fight finisher both via KOs & submission who has a significant size advantage I think is too good to pass up. I think the true odds should be closer to +175 to +225 but due to the public knowing/betting mighty mouse it's inflated imo.
Mac Danzig +100 (2 Units) If Danzig gets out of the first round I think he rolls Melvin who has had cardio issues his entire career. He's great in round 1 but if he survive his barrage as I believe Danzig can; he is very beatable.
Means +175 (1 Unit) Strictly a value bet here, I think this fight is a coin-flip so I'll take almost getting double my money for a 50/50 bet.
Good luck everyone.
I was on Weidman big last time because I thought his skill set allowed him a decent shot at an upset; thus the value of getting him at +250 when I bet him was the worth the risk of taking the dog. The same thinking is at play for my plays today.
Moraga +375 (2 Units) Mighty Mouse is crazy fast & been tremendous; but the opportunity to get a genuine fight finisher both via KOs & submission who has a significant size advantage I think is too good to pass up. I think the true odds should be closer to +175 to +225 but due to the public knowing/betting mighty mouse it's inflated imo.
Mac Danzig +100 (2 Units) If Danzig gets out of the first round I think he rolls Melvin who has had cardio issues his entire career. He's great in round 1 but if he survive his barrage as I believe Danzig can; he is very beatable.
Means +175 (1 Unit) Strictly a value bet here, I think this fight is a coin-flip so I'll take almost getting double my money for a 50/50 bet.
Good luck everyone.
