Bitcoin: Analysis & Speculation

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  • 3runhomer
    SBR Sharp
    • 08-23-10
    • 422

    #71
    I see Bitfinex is the clear leader in daily Bitcoin trading volume...so in my mind at least, I would think that would make them a solid choice...

    Comment
    • 3runhomer
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-23-10
      • 422

      #72
      Thoughts on this massive run-up over the weekend? Will it hold?
      Comment
      • raiders72001
        Senior Member
        • 08-10-05
        • 11116

        #73
        http://www.wsj.com/articles/china-bu...rge-1464608221
        <header class="article_header module" style="margin: 0px 10px 6px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px; font-size: 10px; vertical-align: baseline; box-sizing: border-box; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; background: 0px 0px;">China Buying Sparks Bitcoin Surge

        Crypto-currency adds $1 billion in market capitalization amid supply concerns

        </header>
        ENLARGE
        Expectations that new supply of bitcoin will drop next month could help explain the latest price surge. A Shenzhen coffee shop. PHOTO: SIPA/ZUMA PRESS



        By GREGOR STUART HUNTER and
        CHAO DENG

        <time class="timestamp" style="margin: 0px 0px 4px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px; font-size: 13px; vertical-align: baseline; font-family: 'Whitney SSm', sans-serif; display: block; line-height: 2.2rem; color: rgb(102, 102, 102); background: 0px 0px;">Updated May 30, 2016 8:09 p.m. ET</time>10 COMMENTS

        Chinese investors are pumping up bitcoin again, sending prices up nearly 16% in the past four days, just two years after the country was at the center of a boom and bust in the crypto-currency.
        The four-day surge in bitcoin since Friday has added $1.2 billion in market capitalization for all bitcoin in circulation, according to data from blockchain.info. On Monday, prices moved up as high as $525.49 per bitcoin, though that’s still well below the all-time high of about $1,151 in November 2013.
        ENLARGE



        Chinese bitcoin exchanges have been operating despite past efforts by Beijing to curb trading in the currency, which is not subject to any central authority and which can be traded almost instantly across borders.
        Huobi and OKCoin, two Chinese exchanges, now collectively account for some 92% of global trading in bitcoin.
        The surge in bitcoin buying this weekend could be the latest sign of how Chinese investors are moving money between asset classes quickly in search of high returns. In the past year, equities, bond and commodities markets in China have in turn seen massive surges of new investing, often followed by a collapse in prices as funds have moved elsewhere.
        ENLARGE
        Stacks of bitcoins in front of a U.S. $1 bill.PHOTO: BLOOMBERG NEWS


        “There’s a lot of hot money in China that has to go somewhere,” says Du Jin,chief marketing officer at Huobi. Huobi has seen a surge of new registrants in the past one month, he said.
        Expectations that new supply of the virtual currency will decrease next month could also be behind the latest price surge. The creation of bitcoin via a complicated computing process called “mining” gets more challenging over time, thanks to a mechanism that cuts the number of bitcoin that can be created in half every four years in order to limit supply.
        ENLARGE



        But industry participants also say a number of China-specific factors are also in play.
        Stories of scams in peer-to-peer financing have sent Chinese investors familiar with the most innovative forms of investing to bitcoin specifically, says Huobi’s Mr. Du.
        The bitcoin network, composed of traders around the globe accessing virtual platforms via their computers and the Internet, also allows a discreet way for a Chinese to move money beyond the country’s tightly-controlled borders.
        Bitcoin currently trades at a 7.2% premium when priced in Chinese yuan on mainland bitcoin exchanges compared with counterparts pricing the currency in U.S. dollars, according to industry tracker Bitcoinity.org.
        ENLARGE



        This premium in Chinese prices has persisted throughout the year, suggesting that demand from the country has accounted for much of bitcoin’s recent gains, says Zennon Kapron, founder of financial technology consultancy Kapronasia and author of a book on bitcoin.
        Investors are worried about the decreasing value of the yuan and “it seems that China is leading a lot of the movement,” he adds. “People are protecting their investments [by converting yuan into bitcoin].”




        Write to Gregor Stuart Hunter at gregor.hunter@wsj.com and Chao Deng at Chao.Deng@wsj.com
        Comment
        • 3runhomer
          SBR Sharp
          • 08-23-10
          • 422

          #74
          Great article Raiders...
          Comment
          • 3runhomer
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-23-10
            • 422

            #75
            High of 576 today!

            It is still skyrocketing!
            Comment
            • 3runhomer
              SBR Sharp
              • 08-23-10
              • 422

              #76
              Holding steady in the 570-580's...maybe generating some momentum for a break of 600 this week
              Comment
              • jeffjam_
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-02-14
                • 107

                #77
                Ether didnt sink with DAO lock up, quite the contrary, 19$ for a piece atm. What is the take? With all the issues and concerns DAO is facing one would expect Eth to sink.
                Comment
                • raiders72001
                  Senior Member
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 11116

                  #78
                  Originally posted by jeffjam_
                  Ether didnt sink with DAO lock up, quite the contrary, 19$ for a piece atm. What is the take? With all the issues and concerns DAO is facing one would expect Eth to sink.
                  I still like ETH since it's not dependent on DAO.
                  Comment
                  • raiders72001
                    Senior Member
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 11116

                    #79
                    China's control of the bitcoin market. 82% OKCoin CNY

                    Comment
                    • 3runhomer
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 08-23-10
                      • 422

                      #80
                      Originally posted by raiders72001
                      China's control of the bitcoin market. 82% OKCoin CNY

                      http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/volumepie/
                      Can US residents have an account at OKCoin? I'm guessing it is based in China....?
                      Comment
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