my plays new rules

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  • JBEX
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-02-12
    • 23355

    #1
    my plays new rules
    with the lengthy slump I've been going through figured I'd start
    a new thread..going to limit the types of races I play to the ones I feel are my strengths

    types of races I won't be playing..

    allowance.. except state bred
    starter allowance
    allowance/optional claiming
    open claiming.. only conditioned, statebred and maiden
    stakes for older horses... only exception breeders cup day

    hopefully things will improve with these restrictions.. time will tell
    Last edited by JBEX; 09-15-15, 11:06 AM.
  • Easy-Rider 66
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-14-12
    • 36097

    #2
    Yeah, you have been cold lately. Maybe these changes will make a difference. Interested if you incorporate pace ratings in your capping? I usually rely on Brisnet and Timeform for my PP'S and they both have pace numbers. GL.
    Comment
    • JBEX
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-02-12
      • 23355

      #3
      Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
      Yeah, you have been cold lately. Maybe these changes will make a difference. Interested if you incorporate pace ratings in your capping? I usually rely on Brisnet and Timeform for my PP'S and they both have pace numbers. GL.
      no pace ratings but I do try to figure how the race might set up.. feel that's enough for me
      Comment
      • JBEX
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-02-12
        • 23355

        #4
        bel

        R1 #6 bluegrass prevails (3-1)
        R2 #2 silver ride (2-1)
        R5 #5 latigo trail (4-1)
        R6 #1 more stormyweather (4-1)
        R7 #2 c d'cat(7-2)
        R8 #3 chanewilldoyagood (10-1)
        R9 #7 not now joanie (4-1)
        Comment
        • JBEX
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-02-12
          • 23355

          #5
          Originally posted by JBEX
          bel

          R1 #6 bluegrass prevails (3-1)
          R2 #2 silver ride (2-1)
          R5 #5 latigo trail (4-1)
          R6 #1 more stormyweather (4-1)
          R7 #2 c d'cat(7-2)
          R8 #3 chanewilldoyagood (10-1)
          R9 #7 not now joanie (4-1)
          KD

          R3 #8 belomor (10-1)
          R4 #1 reality (12-1)
          R5 #10 lemon grove (8-1)
          R7 #10 afternoon (8-1)
          R9 #6 ready for chianti (12-1)
          R13 #12 flowing (15-1)
          Comment
          • JBEX
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-02-12
            • 23355

            #6
            CD

            R5 #6 marsh creek (6-1)

            bel

            R6 #10 lana's fortune (4-1)
            Comment
            • cutchemist42
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 04-08-12
              • 737

              #7
              Good luck, those classes of races are ones I ignore too a lot, especially the allowance/optional claimers.
              Comment
              • JBEX
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-02-12
                • 23355

                #8
                Originally posted by cutchemist42
                Good luck, those classes of races are ones I ignore too a lot, especially the allowance/optional claimers.
                like the maneuvering around they do in the conditional claimers
                running a horse for 8k open as a tightener than he's eligible for 16kn1y at some point.. stuff like that.. the open 8k usually tougher race
                Comment
                • JBEX
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 01-02-12
                  • 23355

                  #9
                  bel

                  R1 #8 beaukati (15-1)

                  nice pedigree,trainer stats and solid work pattern.. he'll probably offer value with all the mega expensive debuters going in here

                  R2 #7 mack miller (5-1)

                  nice foundation and think he's set for a good effort here
                  Comment
                  • JBEX
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-02-12
                    • 23355

                    #10
                    Originally posted by JBEX
                    bel

                    R1 #8 beaukati (15-1)

                    nice pedigree,trainer stats and solid work pattern.. he'll probably offer value with all the mega expensive debuters going in here

                    R2 #7 mack miller (5-1)

                    nice foundation and think he's set for a good effort here
                    prx R2 #8 special treat (8-1)

                    have a hunch mcgaughey has this gal cranked up for this.. nice bloodlines, quick fair hill works.. she didn't show much in her first two efforts so might offer some value here
                    Comment
                    • JBEX
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-02-12
                      • 23355

                      #11
                      prx R10 pennsylvania derby

                      #10 mr. z (10-1)

                      love last running line in the kings bishop as a primer for the 9f today.. slow fade, good beyer exiting big figure race
                      Comment
                      • JBEX
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-02-12
                        • 23355

                        #12
                        bel R3 #3 jax heritage (5-1)

                        lightly raced 3yo ny home bred with kentucky sire..shown some talent and now gets better post and jockey
                        Comment
                        • JBEX
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 23355

                          #13
                          AP R9


                          #6 shadrach bond (15-1)
                          Comment
                          • JBEX
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-02-12
                            • 23355

                            #14
                            keeneland

                            R3 #2 attraction (6-1)

                            like the way he ran in debut sprint to set him up for route today.. works prior and post are excellent.. nice claiborne pedigree

                            R5 #12 clear the mine (12-1)

                            similar to last pick like the debut race as one to stretch out off.. also displays solid works prior and post.. bred to run all day top and bottom

                            R6 #2 stars of the nile (15-1)

                            her efforts on the turf far from bad and hasn't had the best posts to work with.. trainer has popped some big ones on the green

                            R9 #8 lookout sister (6-1)

                            think she'll stretch well with giant's causeway being her pop.. gritty win in restricted stakes last out

                            R10 #8 execute (9-2)

                            spotted well for this.. gets off the rail
                            Comment
                            • JBEX
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-02-12
                              • 23355

                              #15
                              GP

                              R1 #6 empire road (5-1)

                              post a few throughout the day.. only doing GP
                              Comment
                              • JBEX
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-02-12
                                • 23355

                                #16
                                GP

                                R5 #6 overseer (4-1)

                                he hit some nice numbers on the lawn as a 2yo and I'll excuse
                                the 12 post effort last out

                                R6 #2 asterisk (8-1)

                                I'll be a little forgiving of the first out wide trip in his recent debut at KD..trainer big roi's in many applicable categories here
                                ..big time bloodlines and could see a nice improvement here
                                Comment
                                • JBEX
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-02-12
                                  • 23355

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by JBEX
                                  GP

                                  R5 #6 overseer (4-1)

                                  he hit some nice numbers on the lawn as a 2yo and I'll excuse
                                  the 12 post effort last out

                                  R6 #2 asterisk (8-1)

                                  I'll be a little forgiving of the first out wide trip in his recent debut at KD..trainer big roi's in many applicable categories here
                                  ..big time bloodlines and could see a nice improvement here
                                  R7 #4 flora dora (15-1)

                                  I know the trainer's bad but 15-1 in this field is ridiculous

                                  R11 #8 swagger jagger (12-1)

                                  slow break from wide post on sloppy track last race.. nothing wrong with previous two..cost a lot factoring in 2k stallion fee
                                  ..bullet 5f breeze 6 days ago and doesn't hurt that maker is the trainer
                                  Comment
                                  • Justin_sane
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 03-07-12
                                    • 160

                                    #18
                                    nice calls on race 6/7 at gulf.
                                    Comment
                                    • JBEX
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 23355

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Justin_sane
                                      nice calls on race 6/7 at gulf.
                                      thanks... probably take a peak today
                                      Comment
                                      • JBEX
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-02-12
                                        • 23355

                                        #20
                                        kee

                                        R2 #3 magic five (3--1)

                                        no big reward but placed right distance and level..fresh and ready 2nd off 4+ month layoff

                                        R4 ex 6,11/6,7,11

                                        probably 2-1 on your money if it hits
                                        Comment
                                        • JBEX
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 23355

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by JBEX
                                          kee

                                          R2 #3 magic five (3--1)

                                          no big reward but placed right distance and level..fresh and ready 2nd off 4+ month layoff

                                          R4 ex 6,11/6,7,11

                                          probably 2-1 on your money if it hits
                                          R7 #6 malibu stacy (8-1)

                                          nice pedigree and swift works.. trainer can get it done first out

                                          R8 #2 sallisaw (8-1)

                                          shown lots of talent 1st 2 starts and bred to like the turf..working well

                                          R10

                                          #4 edeline (30-1)
                                          #5 forever plus (12-1)
                                          Comment
                                          • Easy-Rider 66
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-14-12
                                            • 36097

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by JBEX
                                            R7 #6 malibu stacy (8-1)

                                            nice pedigree and swift works.. trainer can get it done first out

                                            R8 #2 sallisaw (8-1)

                                            shown lots of talent 1st 2 starts and bred to like the turf..working well

                                            R10

                                            #4 edeline (30-1)
                                            #5 forever plus (12-1)
                                            Good score. Paid $65 to win.
                                            Comment
                                            • JBEX
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-02-12
                                              • 23355

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                              Good score. Paid $65 to win.
                                              Thanks.. was a nice weekend.. gonna post some parx today.. looks chalky early on
                                              Comment
                                              • JBEX
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-02-12
                                                • 23355

                                                #24
                                                prx

                                                R1 #6 spirit in the nile (9/2)
                                                R2 #9 free rose (6-1)
                                                R3 #2 able baker charlie (7-2)
                                                R4 #2 hummed (4-1)
                                                Comment
                                                • JBEX
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                  • 23355

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by JBEX
                                                  prx

                                                  R1 #6 spirit in the nile (9/2)
                                                  R2 #9 free rose (6-1)
                                                  R3 #2 able baker charlie (7-2)
                                                  R4 #2 hummed (4-1)
                                                  R6 #2 gabby (10-1) #12 resolute babe (4-1)
                                                  R7 #6 super light (2-1)
                                                  R8 #4 sweet henrietta (8-1)
                                                  R9 #6 mr romance (12-1)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JBEX
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                    • 23355

                                                    #26
                                                    kee 10/7

                                                    R1 #11 entertainer (4-1)

                                                    except for the post it's all good

                                                    R2 #3 maizette (6-1)

                                                    good spot distance and class.. form hidden enough that they'll be value

                                                    R3 #2 bluegrass beat (2-1)

                                                    wow.. favorite going for winners share of 60k last out now shooting for 12k here.. still feel placed right and nicely legged up off last race.. possible lone front runner

                                                    R6 #8 banree (5-2)

                                                    crush this field at even money

                                                    R7 #10 delicate lady (10-1)

                                                    really like last as a race to stretch out off.. way horse won on synthetic at AP in debut makes me think turf might not be a problem. shot to get a decent price on her in this field.. distance shouldn't be an issue with her pedigree

                                                    R8 #6 my majestic flight (12-1)

                                                    he ran just the type of primer I like for a firster.. lots of long works prior and a 7f breeze 11 days ago.. two turns shouldn't be a problem with the bloodlines and low profile connections will insure a price.. outside of the horse who finished ahead of him last race (probable favorite today #4) think he has a real shot to make it in the money
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JBEX
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 23355

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by JBEX
                                                      with the lengthy slump I've been going through figured I'd start
                                                      a new thread..going to limit the types of races I play to the ones I feel are my strengths

                                                      types of races I won't be playing..

                                                      allowance.. except state bred
                                                      starter allowance
                                                      allowance/optional claiming
                                                      open claiming.. only conditioned, statebred and maiden
                                                      stakes for older horses... only exception breeders cup day

                                                      hopefully things will improve with these restrictions.. time will tell
                                                      want to make two slight amendments to above rules... there aren't many but allowance races
                                                      for 2yo and 3yo only are playable..also claiming races restricted to 2yo and 3yo also playable
                                                      ..played kee R6 above post which is a 2yo allowance
                                                      Last edited by JBEX; 10-06-15, 06:57 PM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Easy-Rider 66
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 02-14-12
                                                        • 36097

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by JBEX
                                                        kee 10/7

                                                        R1 #11 entertainer (4-1)

                                                        except for the post it's all good

                                                        R2 #3 maizette (6-1)

                                                        good spot distance and class.. form hidden enough that they'll be value

                                                        R3 #2 bluegrass beat (2-1)

                                                        wow.. favorite going for winners share of 60k last out now shooting for 12k here.. still feel placed right and nicely legged up off last race.. possible lone front runner

                                                        R6 #8 banree (5-2)

                                                        crush this field at even money

                                                        R7 #10 delicate lady (10-1)

                                                        really like last as a race to stretch out off.. way horse won on synthetic at AP in debut makes me think turf might not be a problem. shot to get a decent price on her in this field.. distance shouldn't be an issue with her pedigree

                                                        R8 #6 my majestic flight (12-1)

                                                        he ran just the type of primer I like for a firster.. lots of long works prior and a 7f breeze 11 days ago.. two turns shouldn't be a problem with the bloodlines and low profile connections will insure a price.. outside of the horse who finished ahead of him last race (probable favorite today #4) think he has a real shot to make it in the money
                                                        Good call. Almost used the #6 in a contest which would have be for $300. MikeMca also mentioned him, but I forgot to check both of your threads. That is 2 recent long shot scores at Keeneland for you, so keep up the good work.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JBEX
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-02-12
                                                          • 23355

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Easy-Rider 66
                                                          Good call. Almost used the #6 in a contest which would have be for $300. MikeMca also mentioned him, but I forgot to check both of your threads. That is 2 recent long shot scores at Keeneland for you, so keep up the good work.
                                                          thanks.. yeah nice couple of days there.. hopefully have a few more in me and will be looking at it tomorrow
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JBEX
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-02-12
                                                            • 23355

                                                            #30
                                                            bel

                                                            R1 #5 zealous wildcat (5-2)
                                                            R3 #4 patrick's day (3-1)
                                                            R4 #4 she's gifted (9-2)
                                                            R5 #1entry (7-2) either one good
                                                            R6 #4 fourstar crook (4-1) #8 saifana (20-1) half that
                                                            R9 #4 brockolini (12-1)

                                                            kee

                                                            R3 #5 d shifflett (5-1)
                                                            R4 #2 instant replay (4-1)
                                                            R5 #9 alotta skirt (20-1) #10 hollywood unit (5-1)
                                                            R9 #4 future express (8-1) #5 hall of glory (15-1)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JBEX
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-02-12
                                                              • 23355

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by JBEX
                                                              bel

                                                              R1 #5 zealous wildcat (5-2)
                                                              R3 #4 patrick's day (3-1)
                                                              R4 #4 she's gifted (9-2)
                                                              R5 #1entry (7-2) either one good
                                                              R6 #4 fourstar crook (4-1) #8 saifana (20-1) half that
                                                              R9 #4 brockolini (12-1)

                                                              kee

                                                              R3 #5 d shifflett (5-1)
                                                              R4 #2 instant replay (4-1)
                                                              R5 #9 alotta skirt (20-1) #10 hollywood unit (5-1)
                                                              R9 #4 future express (8-1) #5 hall of glory (15-1)
                                                              GPW

                                                              R1 #5 mi emocion (3-1)
                                                              R2 #7 my aunt lilly (5-2)
                                                              R3 #5 flash jak (5-2)
                                                              R4 #7 tryer (7-2)
                                                              R6 #7 alcaldesa (6-1)
                                                              R7 xbox 167
                                                              R10 #7 tell me a joke (8-1)

                                                              probably regret posting this chalkfest (GPW)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • JBEX
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-02-12
                                                                • 23355

                                                                #32
                                                                meadowlands

                                                                R1 #6 break your heart (10-1)
                                                                R2 #4 olga payne (5-1)
                                                                R3 #5 breezy my way (12-1)
                                                                R5 #7 school yard (10-1)
                                                                R6 #9 sunbio (4-1)

                                                                think lots of these will be lower

                                                                2nd post today
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JBEX
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-02-12
                                                                  • 23355

                                                                  #33
                                                                  have stuff up by noon tomorrow
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JBEX
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-02-12
                                                                    • 23355

                                                                    #34
                                                                    bel

                                                                    R2 #4 counter culture

                                                                    another big pedigree my bred from the broman's.. love work pattern.. gradually slower, farther then drill down last two.. wouldn't take much to beat these

                                                                    R4 #5 fortunate sky (6-1)

                                                                    better post and capable at this level.. gullo having nice meet

                                                                    R7 #7 special section (15-1)

                                                                    last two wins 25 days off and 28 days off...today back in 27 days and last running line similar to his last win in june.. luzzi does well for bruce brown and with big roi

                                                                    R9 #6 preying mantis (4-1)

                                                                    sound like a broken record.. big pedigree ny bred for the broman's ..finally gets a middle post on the dirt.. shown flashes of talented first 3 starts and gets first lasix.. long 7f breeze 5 days ago for james jerkens.. remember when his dad used to do that with a horse he meant business
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JBEX
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                                      • 23355

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by JBEX
                                                                      bel

                                                                      R2 #4 counter culture

                                                                      another big pedigree my bred from the broman's.. love work pattern.. gradually slower, farther then drill down last two.. wouldn't take much to beat these

                                                                      R4 #5 fortunate sky (6-1)

                                                                      better post and capable at this level.. gullo having nice meet

                                                                      R7 #7 special section (15-1)

                                                                      last two wins 25 days off and 28 days off...today back in 27 days and last running line similar to his last win in june.. luzzi does well for bruce brown and with big roi

                                                                      R9 #6 preying mantis (4-1)

                                                                      sound like a broken record.. big pedigree ny bred for the broman's ..finally gets a middle post on the dirt.. shown flashes of talented first 3 starts and gets first lasix.. long 7f breeze 5 days ago for james jerkens.. remember when his dad used to do that with a horse he meant business
                                                                      kee by noon
                                                                      Comment
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