You original post is unclear and it is difficult to understand what you are actually advocating. Based on the back and forth, it looks like you are advocating a martingale strategy, starting with a 2$ bet., ending the chase at 7 losses. Is this correct?
I am going to assume you are laying 2.20 to win 2 to start with.
|
Win |
To win |
Profit |
|
Loss |
Bet |
Losses |
Net |
1st Series |
5000 |
2 |
10000 |
|
5000 |
2.2 |
-11000 |
-1000 |
2 Series |
2500 |
4.2 |
10500 |
|
2500 |
4.62 |
-11550 |
-1050 |
3rd Series |
1250 |
6.62 |
8275 |
|
1250 |
7.282 |
-9102.5 |
-827.5 |
4th Series |
625 |
9.282 |
5801.25 |
|
625 |
10.2102 |
-6381.375 |
-580.125 |
5th series |
313 |
12.2102 |
3821.7926 |
|
313 |
13.431 |
4203.903 |
-382.1104 |
6th series |
156 |
15.431 |
2407.236 |
|
156 |
16.9741 |
-2647.9596 |
-240.7236 |
7th series |
78 |
18.9741 |
1479.9798 |
|
78 |
20.87151 |
-1627.9778 |
-147.99798 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
-4228.457 |
$ |
Exact losses in a row. |
Odds of losing in a row. Independant
of the bet(s) above it |
times it will occur
out of 5000
losses (10,000 bets) |
amount of losses in a row * frequency=total losses |
Amount loss = Amount of times it will occur*$ value |
|
|
|
2 |
1 |
25% |
1250 |
1250 |
~ |
|
|
|
4 |
2 |
12.5% |
625 |
1250 |
~ |
|
|
|
8 |
3 |
6.25% |
312.5 |
937.5 |
~ |
|
|
|
16 |
4 |
3.125% |
156 |
624 |
$-16*156=
-$2496 |
|
|
|
16 |
5 |
1.56% |
78 |
390 |
$-16*78=
-1248 |
|
|
|
32 |
6 |
.78% |
39 |
234 |
$-16*39=
$-624 |
|
|
|
32 |
7 |
.39% |
19.5 |
136.5 |
$-110*19.5=
$-2145 |
|
|
|
|
8+ |
.39% |
19.5 |
178 |
$-110*19.5=
$-2145 |
|
|
|
Total |
50% lose rate |
~ |
5000 |
10,000 - 8658 = $1342 |
Start at $2 profit= $1342 per 10,000
bets |
13.42 percent return on investment. |
|
So, you start with 10,000 bets. 5000 are wins and 5000 are losses. Break the losses to the next row, half are wins and half are losses, and so on.
Again, I am not really clear what you are particular advocating.
People have been trying to use martingale systems for like 500 years. Hasn't worked so far.