Originally Posted by
Jayvegas420
OK so another crazy random question.
I got into a conversation in Vegas with a guy who told me that at a table where BJ pays 6-5, its silly to double down on BJ if allowed.
We actually argued about it & I tried to use an analogy along the same lines you just spoke of, at the end of your post.
I said to the guy" when you get your 1st card there's already a slight variance in the odds."
Now the dealer reveals his hole card & there's is a huge variance. (Depending on what he pulls)
Then you get your 2nd card & there's fixed odds on how this hand should result.
If I thought my odds were 49%-51% before the hand started, when I was dealt that 1st ace I liked my odds better already. Then when the dealer pulls a 6 I put myself as a big favourite. Now there's, say a Jack.
This is the same result as being dealt a 5 & 6, if I chose to use the ace as one value.
So if doubling on 11 vs a 6 is always a +ev proposition, why not double?
I tried to use the anology of the fixed line we get pre kick off.....and how our perception of +ev increases as 1/2 time approaches & we can bet again, (at the adjusted odds the book will set)
In this case at the BJ table we can see it's half time & we are huge favourites & can press iyr bet it split it at twice the value at the same line as when the game started.
And we're winning.
With idds in our favour that we will actually win thus more often than not.
I know that sounds crazy but the simple question is:
If the house will allow it, should you double BJ at a 6-5 table?