^
I got Drinker, Sink and that motley crew, enough said.
i guess i dont understand math either then b/c i would not want to risk $180 to win $100 on Angels with CJ Wilson tonight even though i do think the Angels will win.Originally Posted by KawadaKicks17
Somebody doesn't understand math. Putting a -180 in a parlay is not any different than taking the bet in a straight wager. A parlay is multiple straight wagers.
If you have a -180 team you either A) think there's value in the line or B) don't think there's value in the line. If you think A, you should bet them in a straight wager among other things. If you think B, you shouldn't bet them at all...straight wager or parlay. If you add a bet you think doesn't have value to a parlay there is simply no way you can justify it.
This won't change, no matter how you try to justify it....so don't try. You're wrong.
however if i was going to do a parlay i would consider them.
That would be with be with Cobb at -152 for a return of 32.50 on a 20 dollar bet, and there is your best m/l parlay on the board.i guess i dont understand math either then b/c i would not want to risk $180 to win $100 on Angels with CJ Wilson tonight even though i do think the Angels will win.
however if i was going to do a parlay i would consider them.
i agreeThat would be with be with Cobb at -152 for a return of 32.50 on a 20 dollar bet, and there is your best m/l parlay on the board.
This is my play of the day
I got -107 on the overnight (placed it 2:27 am) Rockies over Miami,
Just checked the numbers it's now -120, I was going to write it up this morning, before this thread got interrupted, and tell you guys to grab it now, that -107 is a gross error, that the game could go off at -115.
This is what happens when the information flow gets disturbed.
Anyway, at -120 it's still worth a play.
YTD 2-1 +3.21*
Rockies (Anderson) -107 over Marlins (Eovaldi)
Rockies are what they are, one of the best mashing offense driven teams in the majors that can't pitch a lick.
As demonstrated last night, Rockies are going to lose the Jose Fernandez, the Kershaw's, the Stasberg's of the world, pretty much on a regular basis. Good pitching almost always beats good hitting.
Conversely, good hitting almost always beats crappy pitching.
Rockies are a top three or four hitting wise, their bats are stacked.
Tulo, Cargo, Rosario, Cuddyer, the list is endless, that line up can murder crappy pitching.
Fish start Eovaldi, calling a spade of spade, he's trash.
On paper, this Rockie lineup should bludgeon this hamburger, I don't see him getting out of the fourth inning.
That's on paper, there have been cheeseburgers in the past that have stepped up in the past and beaten good hitting teams before, could happen here, but I really doub it, becuase..........
For the Fish to beat the Rox tonight, they have to beat a pretty good lefty in Anderson.
Know what can't the Marling do?
Hit.
Oh sure they have some pieces, and will be relevnat by 2016, but they can't hit.
Dead last in MLB last season in just about everything hitting.
Look for yourself, 30th here, 30th threre, everywhere 30th.
The Fish have a hard time hitting LHP too.
There is really no need to get reallty long here.
Ansderson is almost two levels better than Eovaldi.
Rockie lineup is four levels better than the Fish lineup
There is no need for deep analysis here, this game handicaps itself.
I got -107, see if you can get -115
Rockies 3*
236419484-1 4/1/14 2:23am $321.00 $300.00 Pending 4/1/14 7:10pm MLB Baseball 953 Colorado Rockies -107* vs Miami Marlins (B Anderson - L must Start N Eovaldi - R must Start)
gl nash agree the rockies should win
KawadaKicks17
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Don't waste your time on these scumbags Nasher.
0 posts, mostly ghosts, and broke haters who can't stand ppl win money while their only action will be betting 6 points a day while being a non-pro and not being able to spend them anyways.
I am contemplating doing Pros-only threads this year since SBR won use some common sense and let thread-makers ban names from posting.
But there are still a lot of non-pros who post.
Tough call.
This forum is littered with dirt and all they want is traffic.
I know what he is, I/we even think we know who he is, talk baseball, don't talk ghost/trolls.KawadaKicks17
Posts: 2
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Message Me
Posts: 38
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Don't waste your time on these scumbags Nasher.
0 posts, mostly ghosts, and broke haters who can't stand ppl win money while their only action will be betting 6 points a day while being a non-pro and not being able to spend them anyways.
I am contemplating doing Pros-only threads this year since SBR won use some common sense and let thread-makers ban names from posting.
But there are still a lot of non-pros who post.
Tough call.
This forum is littered with dirt and all they want is traffic.
Im really not trolling. Tell me one thing from my post that is incorrect?
Oh, just saw you posted a response. Did not see it or read it yet, will read when I'm home from work.
Betting two money line favorites in a parlay reduces the house advantage.Im really not trolling. Tell me one thing from my post that is incorrect?
Baseball isn't football or basketball where a standard bet you lay 11 to win 10.
Baseball is a game bet with money lines, there is no point spread, the money line is a tool sportsbooks use for house advantage.
A good method to overcome this house advantage is to parlay two favorites.
A good baseball 'capper that wins 62 percent, and there are plenty, can show a 40 pecent ROI using the parlay.
You won't win as many parlay wagers, but you get better value than betting each one s/u
I am not going to argue with you, math proves out you get better value betting two heavy favorites you like on a 2 team parlay then you would s/u each
Do the math on -200 faves, get back to me, care to borrow anyone of my databases, I'll share, my thread, respect it or leave it.
I have no need for trollers.
stevenash,
This may be my favorite thread on SBR. Love the insight. Why do you have such a low opinion of Eovaldi? I will probably tail tonight with the Rockies, but just curious....
Yeah, I kind of agree. Not great but "trash".stevenash,
This may be my favorite thread on SBR. Love the insight. Why do you have such a low opinion of Eovaldi? I will probably tail tonight with the Rockies, but just curious....
I still have yet to read your first post but this one is not true.Betting two money line favorites in a parlay reduces the house advantage.
Baseball isn't football or basketball where a standard bet you lay 11 to win 10.
Baseball is a game bet with money lines, there is no point spread, the money line is a tool sportsbooks use for house advantage.
A good method to overcome this house advantage is to parlay two favorites.
A good baseball 'capper that wins 62 percent, and there are plenty, can show a 40 pecent ROI using the parlay.
You won't win as many parlay wagers, but you get better value than betting each one s/u
I am not going to argue with you, math proves out you get better value betting two heavy favorites you like on a 2 team parlay then you would s/u each
Do the math on -200 faves, get back to me, care to borrow anyone of my databases, I'll share, my thread, respect it or leave it.
I have no need for trollers.
If you put $200 on a parlay with Bucs -200 and Rays -200, you will get back $450 if they both win.
If you put $200 on the Bucs -200 and win, you get back $300. Put all $300 on Rays -200 and you get back $450.
Not sure where you see a difference unless you're getting some special sort of 2 team parlay odds, which no book I'm familiar with has.
