Login Search

John Morrison 2013-14 NBA Thread

Last Post
#334

Default

1-7-5 system

*Not traditional John Morrison System*

Bet Sizing
A) Risk 1.1u to win 1u
B) Risk 8.91u to win 8.1u
C) Risk 16.51u to win 15.01u


Profit: +3.69
Record:
A) 3-6
B) 2-1
C) 0-0

*Two series pending*
# of series who dont meet A-bet criteria 2

RULES:Reference Post #184

SCHEDULE: post #78

RECAP
11/7/2013 V2 LAC +6 (B) VS MIA

11/7/2013 V3 LAL +13.5 (B) VS HOU


UPCOMING PLAYS
11/8/2013 V1 UTA +13 (C) VS CHI
11/8/2013 V3 DAL +4 (B) VS MIN


+16.2 units on the day for the system. Great Job! Utah is 1-3-1 at the spread. Its hard to imagine them not covering +13 tomorrow though. Rose struggling shooting averaging just 14pts a game. I could see another double digit team actually win this SU tomorrow. Utah has had one of the tougher schedules to start the season, so we are getting a great spread at 13. Enjoy it while it last. Not going to analyze dal/min. Just expect a high scoring expedition there and hope for a win.


Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
Last edited by J.M. Disciple; 11-08-13 at 10:16 AM.
Give Points

Points Awarded:

Boyne gave J.M. Disciple 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

dlunc3 gave J.M. Disciple 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

analyzer gave J.M. Disciple 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

adidas-b 88 gave J.M. Disciple 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

#335

Default

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 0-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss:+0.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 0

v1 Plays
(A) 0-0
(B) 0-0

(C) 0-0
(D) 0-0
Losses: None


Games for (11/8/13):
#1 Utah (+12½) @ Chicago (A) (8:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play.There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #44 & #45.

Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
Give Points

Points Awarded:

dlunc3 gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

adidas-b 88 gave Wallco99 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Kev the Brit gave Wallco99 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

#337

Default

JMD good work on the play posts! As a suggestion, I think it could help for record keeping purposes if we included somewhere how many A bet games were stopped from moving to B and C due to the filter. I am already keeping this stat on my own sheet, but for anyone else it could be useful. Just a suggestion!

Also very happy to see Utah is also a pick in Wallco's system.
#342

Default

When I am finished with the JM 1-7-5 backtest, I will try to retest some new criteria for chase 110 that may add a few plays and eliminate those high M/L plays. But for now, the system has only been tested one way and if the large M/L games arise and you are uncomfortable with them, then either skip those series or take your chances ATS. M/L on favorites is still the system rule for now.
#343

Default

The Limit-- completely off topic, and out of season... but was curious if you ever got around to running the numbers for this? If not, no big deal, I was thinking about running some tests with it myself.. thanks again.

""PS I am starting work on a version of the 7/5 method for On3's MLB homestand system. I ran a quick test through last years results and the initial impressions look good. More info on this as the MLB season approaches.