Good day today Money! Didnt tell just took a day off. Nice picks
Good day today Money! Didnt tell just took a day off. Nice picks
8/23
Play #1
Berdych -450
Tigers ML -305
Isner -440
Total = apprx -101
1.0u / 0.99u
8/23
Play #2
Berdych -450
Cardinals -310
Isner -440
Total = apprx -102
1.0u / 0.98u
8/23
Play #3
Querrey -110
Isner -440
Total = apprx +134
1.0u / 1.34u
hey guys, good analysis as always.Havent been keeping up much with sports with busy family life.US open should be good as usual.Going with Tenny Sandgrean today at +125..UT Vols power!
dmoney if u r around how comfortable are u with isner? will u hedge now? goffin's gotta be tired and really isnt that good but will isner bring it with open so close?
Hey Brian. Sorry, but I JUST got back to my computer at home. I worked all day teaching & my son came in from vacation this evening. This is the first time I have been back on the thread since early this morning. It was a very busy day. And the stress of looking at my phone for those two baseball games was crazy! I HOPE you know that I was ALL over Isner tonight!! He was in every play today & I SHOULD of done a write up on my play of the day! I was just so tired this morning, when I posted those plays I was JUST going to bed!! LOL!!
Goffin had saved 20 of 25 break points coming into this match!! AND he has hit like 17 double faults coming into this match!! HOW the hell is he in the quarterfinals??! So I was ALL over Isner tonight, which is why I put him in every play today. But talking to Demonata all day thru texting (we had an insane day stressing out together, hahahaha) I decided to just hedge with 50 to pay 200 on Goffin JUST in case his 5% chance of winning happened! But I was about 95-97% sure Isner would win. I am sure you saw him in all of my plays and knew I loved him tonight. If you took him, CONGRATS!!!
That is how I set up my thread when I first started. It is how I wanted to do it, so I don't see how that is hurting anybody. I like to see what percentage of ALL my plays I hit. I think this is no big deal. If you tailed today, CONGRATS!! If you did not, I hope you had a good day with your wagers. Feel free to stop by anytime & ask questions or give tips or anything. I have some good people who come into my thread & would be glad to help as much as I would
What's up Beef???!! Hope the family is doing great!! My 15 year old son just got back from Cali vacation! My daughter came back few days ago & the little man never left me And the family always comes first, I am happy to hear what I read on your post here, good man you are The US Open should be AWESOME!! I LOVE late night tennis!!! I can't wait. Cant wait to fade some players!!! And take Djokovic and Fed minus the 11 games in the first few rounds and watch them DESTROY the crappy players, HAHAHA!!! UT??? You a Tennesse fan I guess or alumni or student??? And I prob spelled Tenn wrong, sorry!! Old school SAT's, math - 720, verbal - 400. LOL!!! BOL to you sir if you made any plays!!
I understand your motive. But I also think that putting in that number is simply misleading.
If you would bet coin flips then your number would actually mean a lot.
But you are betting heavy favorites and that's the reason your Win%% looks kinda nice.
In actuality, your Win%% should be way higher than you have given the odds you take.
If you would bet only -900 and up your Win %% would be in the 90% neighborhood.
So what? Does it mean your are the best thing since sliced bread? Does it mean your are actually making money?
Absolutely not.
You can do whatever is that you are doing, it is a public forum after all, but I think you should be fair to people who read your stuff and not mislead them with bogus numbers that mean absolutely nothing and their only purpose is to make you look a bit better than you really are.
GL
Last edited by hutennis; 08-23-12 at 09:37 PM.