Thanks man! I'm glad you cashed it as well. Too bad about Sijsling though. I definitely expected better effort from him, despite Tursunov's good form.
Tursunov 2-0 @2.11 Pinnacle - 2 units
I don't see Nieminen upseting Dimitry here. His serve is too inconsistant and especially his second one, begs to be hammered back for a winner. He needs really high 1st serve percentage to keep up with Turs here, but I don't think he can do it, because Tursunov will create a lot of pressure with good serving of his own.
Flipkens ML @2.01 Pinnacle - 2 units
Giorgi is very good and could be dangeorus on grass, but I see a matchup problem for her in this spot. She feeds of her return. She stands aggresive in the court, when returning and hitting a lot of winners from that position. Here, that can backfire on her. Flipkens has a good serve + quickness of the surface, will give very little time to Giorgi to react to the serve. She will struggle to time her returnes well and I believe that she will commit many errors there. Not to mention that Flipkens feels very good on grass.
Roger Vaselin +2,5 @2.01 Pinnacle - 3 units
I am struggling to find out, what isgoing on here. It seems to me that Mahut is riding on his reputation of grass court specialist. Yes, he is a specialist, but that is mostly because, he can't do sh** on other surfaces. Grass is a pretty much the only surface he can play on, but Roger Vaselin is a good grass courter as well. And at least a class better player overall, then Mahut, in terms of quality.
Wawrinka -2 @1.88 Pinnacle - 2 units
Hm. It seems to me like Baggy is a wannabe sharp play here.As much as I want to bet him in this spot as well, I just cannot do it at these odds. Yes, he can be a threat on grass, but it seems to me that people overreacted heavily, on Stan's inconsistant play and now everybody is fading him for that reason. It caused value to shift on his side.
Mega Vizura +5,5 Pinnacle @2.00 - 4 units
Second game of the semifinal series, of Serbian basketball league. First game, Crvena zvezda won by 11 at home. But, for this game, two very important starters - Micic and Dangubic are returning to Mega Vizura. They were in Treviso at Adidas camp, so they missed the first game. Micic is probably the best player of that team, while Dangubic is also important, because they lack depth at that position.
Zvezda matches up porly against Mega. Home side have frontcourt which can shoot threes and Zvezda struggle to defend that with their big men.
[QUOTE][Flipkens ML @2.01 Pinnacle - 2 units/QUOTE]
Flipkens just got out from hospital a week ago, you can check on her twitter.BOL!
Tailing this, crazy h2h 6-0.Wawrinka -2 @1.88 Pinnacle - 2 units
Didn't knew that. It is, what it is, now. I am sticking with my play. Thanks for the info!
Hey there HB, thanks as always for your insight with everything here! Would you consider it almost safe, or at least inherent value, in taking Mega Vizura on the ML? Feeling kinda risky today! Lol
Yeah, there definitely value there, as well. I kinda took the spread, only because I am actually huge fan of Crvena zvezda and would like to see them in the finals as soon as possibleOriginally Posted by Semper Fidelis
Hey there HB, thanks as always for your insight with everything here! Would you consider it almost safe, or at least inherent value, in taking Mega Vizura on the ML? Feeling kinda risky today! Lol. So I am hoping for ideal scenario and Zvezda winning by 1-5 point margin. But as I said, value is definitely on Mega's side. Spread and ML. Good luck!
HB, do you expect any player to have above or below avg scoring game? I am looking to bet the points over/under. They are set at around their averages I believe, Nelson 12.5, Jenkins 10.5, Marjanovic 10.5, Katic 9.5 etc. They have mega players as well. Thanks!
Mega is going to play zone, throughout entire game, like they did in game 1. That defense of course doesn't allow that many drives to the basket and leaves more space for outside shoots. Zvezda made quite a lot of threes last game and Jenkins being most consistant from the perimeter + Zvezda's go to guy, in cruch time, I would look at him for over. Also, this is bit high line for Nelson imho. He is far from a good shooter, but then again, he gets most of his points out of transition. Under might be worth of a look for him, but I am not that sure.HB, do you expect any player to have above or below avg scoring game? I am looking to bet the points over/under. They are set at around their averages I believe, Nelson 12.5, Jenkins 10.5, Marjanovic 10.5, Katic 9.5 etc. thanks!
Also Marjanovic is huge weapon potentialy, but coach Radonjic doesn't now how to use him. He is very conservative and usualy gives him very little playing time, when opponent uses centers, which can shoot from the outside. Also, Mega with their zone defense, will double team him, every time he gets the ball... Also possible under.
Tough loss but that's why those small lines are dangerous when you are fouling the opposition and they are making free throws in the end. I'm guessing that's what happened based on the score line. I didn't watch the game but I thought Marjanovic went over for sure with Zvezda scoring 101 but he scored only 6. But wait for this, I misread your comments, I always get confused with Jenkins and Nelson, can't remember which is which so I played Nelson over and he went way over Bc I thought you were saying that he would go over but now I see you were saying over for Jenkins. Anyways got lucky on Nelson and hit Marjanovic. Good to be lucky when I miss spread by a point on a different ticket..
nice hits on tennis mate, waiting for your next picks, awesome insight on grass.
Yeah, It hurts when you lose like this. Mega was down by 4, when they started to foul. I knew immidietly then, that I will most likely lose the bet, so that is not the main reason, why I was upset. I think that I actually had a strong bet here. Mega was right there with Zvezda, throughout entire game. At one point, they were even up by 9.Tough loss but that's why those small lines are dangerous when you are fouling the opposition and they are making free throws in the end. I'm guessing that's what happened based on the score line. I didn't watch the game but I thought Marjanovic went over for sure with Zvezda scoring 101 but he scored only 6. But wait for this, I misread your comments, I always get confused with Jenkins and Nelson, can't remember which is which so I played Nelson over and he went way over Bc I thought you were saying that he would go over but now I see you were saying over for Jenkins. Anyways got lucky on Nelson and hit Marjanovic. Good to be lucky when I miss spread by a point on a different ticket..
I am glad to hear that you had a nice success with player props. Jenkins was hot from outside, and covered the line in the first half already. Marjanovic had limited playing time, as I predicted and stayed under. Nelson was the one, which I was not sure about. He went over, but that was mostly in 4th quarter, when he hit a three and most of the fouls in the last minute, were on him... I am glad that you won with him!
Thanks man!nice hits on tennis mate, waiting for your next picks, awesome insight on grass.
Zahlavova Strycova ML @1.79 Pinnacle - 2 units
Babos somehow smuggled through to the third round, as a lucky looser. She caught Erakovic little bit off guard, because Marina didn't knew that she is going to play her, while Keys probably had one of her meltdowns, judging from looking at the scoreline. It will be very difficult to beat Zahlavova-Strycova, which is a tricky player to play against on grass. She serves well, uses the slices and attacks the net often. Her tactical approach is very good and I think Babos will struggle to find anwsers.
Riske +2,5 @1.85 Pinnacle - 2 units
Stephens did "murder" Schiavone yesterday, but Francesca also made it easy for her, in many ways. For example, playing to Sloane's forehand, with so much air under the ball, is not the way you should play against Stephens, because she is going to hammer those forehand winners, all day long. Riske for me, is better player on grass. She does not have that much power, but doesn't make many mistakes, with any of her shots. He place them well and keep the bounce low. It will be more difficult to hit winners for Stephens, today. But I am sure, she is going to try anyway. And probably make quite some unforced errors.
De Schepper +3 @1.80 Pinnacle - 3 units
De Schepper ML @3.21 Pinnacle - 1 unit
Not sure about Feliciano. Saw both of his matches so far, on this tournament. He took out easily Hewitt yesterday, but 1st serve was bailing him out, every time he found himself in trouble. His volleying was not spot on, so far, while his passing shots are inconstistant. That part of the game will be extremly important against the French, who shortens the point as much as he can, crashing to the net at every opportunity.
Kimiko Date-Krumm @3.39 Pinnacle - 1 unit
I was on Daniela, against Bencic, because of her grass court experiance. But which active player on the tour can say that it has more experiance then Date Krumm? Nobody. 43- year old super granny is still keeping up with the girls, which are half her age, especially on faster courts. She is very good on grass and if she can expose Hantuchova's poor movement, she can win. Taking the ball on the rise, hitting it flat, using the slice, etc. could do the trick.
Lu ML @3.64 Pinnacle - 2 units
Admit it, you think I am crazy. Going against Ivo, on grass, in current form. It seems like a mission impossible. Still, I think Karlovic is overvalued here. Lu has proven so many times that he can play some great tennis on grass. Ivo is usually only 1 break away, from loosing focus completely and going down in flames. If Lu steals one early, he can win.
Flipkens -2,5 @1.88 Pinnacle - 3 units
Not going to overthing this one. Flipkens looks very comfortable on grass. Serving well, using backhand slices properly and being very consistant at the net. Wozniak got thourgh to 3rd round with some good ball striking, but I think she will not be allowed to play her own game here.
I wonder how Babylon creamed Keys yesterday... lol.
I think that match was not televised, so I didn't see it. But as I wrote above, it is almost impossible that her talent had to do something with it. Most likely it was Keys' meltdown.I wonder how Babylon creamed Keys yesterday... lol.
