BTW superb call on Goffin. Hope you played it for a good chunk of $!Originally Posted by beefcake
LOL...yeah this gives him just enough points to stay around long enough to piss us off even more..
8.2.14
DC: Gasquet-Pospisil Tie Break [YES] @ +100
Simple Simon.
2014 Season Overall Profit: +1.82
http://southpark.cc.com/clips/209729...ate-good-obamaWell if Groth-Paes can finish yesterday's parlay, I'll be feeling pretty good about the end of the week. Pretty ho-hum for the week, but that's kinda how I felt about this tournament. Hopefully Gascan & Raonic move through for at least a passable Final.
Donald Young must have gotten an Obama boost in DC.
8.3.14
ATP Toronto Q: F.Martin @ +145
Martin is 12 for 13 on BP's saved, I hope he can finish strong. Nice recovery that service game.
Make that 13 of 14 BP's saved with a 4-3 hold, wow.
Damn, tough beat.
Worth the try.
Hope the Rogers Cup is getting a write up? If no time a quick futures summary would be cool. Got bet points ready for ya.
2014 Season Overall Profit: +1.32
ATP Rogers Cup Mini-View
Top seed Djokovic is 25-4 all-time at this event and won it two of the last three years. Federer is 27-8 win two titles, the last coming in 2006. Andy Murray is also a dual Champ in 2009 & 2010, but has done little here since then and is seeded 8th this week. Milos Raonic was a finalist in 2013 and Gasquet has made two Finals. Watch both of them this week. This event plays similar to a Grand Slam with Djokovic, Nadal, Murray & Federer winning titles here in ten straight years.. The last time one of those four did not win the title at the Rogers Cup was 2003 when Andy Roddick won.
Seeded Upset Alert
Seeds have lost at least three times in their 1st matches of the Rogers Cup since 2010 with five seeds dropping each of the last two years. Three seeds who seem prone to a potential early loss are David Ferrer, Andy Murray & Fabio Fognini. Ferrer could have the easiest draw with Mahut or Russell, but he's been bad at this tournament. Murray may have the toughest task as Giraldo or Kyrgios will be in his way. The young Aussie would be very tough on this surface. Fognini faces Youzhny. Neither puts a lot of trust out there right now, but the surface should suit the Russian slightly better.
More Upsets (1st Round)
Kyrgios over Giraldo
Thiem over Simon
Schnur over Seppi
All have their drawbacks, but all also have something to like. Kyrgios has to show he can handle the transition from grass to hard courts + the success that has come his way. Thiem has a quick turnaround from losing in Kitzbuhel and the surface switch, but goes against Simon who has lost his 1st-up at the Rogers Cup four straight years. Schnur is a Canadian qualifer who had never made a main draw before this tournament. Seppi has been in below average form most of the year and this is a poor surface mostly for him. If Schnur can keep his head, he might pull off his 1st main draw win.
1st Round Qualifiers to Watch
Qualifiers don't have a great track record in the last three years here at just 5-11 in the 1st round against non-qualifiers. Still, some match-ups to watch in the 1st round that could yield some profit.
Tomic vs. Karlovic
The Aussie is 3-0 vs. Karlovic, including a three set win in the Bogota Final to capture that tournament's title. If the price is right, I'd look to Tomic (gulp)
Paire vs. Falla
Never one to be trusted, Paire has shown some signs of life in recent weeks. His serve looks better and he pumped 17 aces in one of his qualifying matches. Falla generally is a not a PTP-er this time of the year on this surface, so if you can stomach it - Paire should be a solid shot in round one although it might be pricier than you want to take. **Double gulp
Futures
Dimitrov +1500
Raonic +1200
Federer +350
Dimitrov is one I would probably invest small on and perhaps wait to see his fitness level in his 1st match coming off the flu. Still, if he's fit - he is in Wawrinka's quarter and has an easier path to the quarters. He simply needs to prove health and the ability to play top tennis during this swing. Raonic looked solid in DC and has a draw that could lend him to another deep run at the Rogers Cup in front of the home fans. Federer will have to work through some rust potentially, but his draw looks very nice with John Isner maybe being his toughest out in getting to the semis. Djokovic is too short for me @ +120even if he looks a pretty good bet to be in the Final.
Points Awarded:
plankton43 gave EaglesPhan36 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
sluggy1616 gave EaglesPhan36 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
I'm liking Grigor's draw myself, but I'm just concerned about what kind of condition he will be in. I'm liking Lopez +150 over Bautista, Stepanek +110 over Monfils, and Istomin +245 over Cilic for tomorrow. I do like Kyrgios +115 over Giraldo as well. This really is a great time for tennis.
Yeah I definitely would not invest on a Dimitrov future until after you see him play a match. Honestly, you could do that with all three guys and not lose a ton on price. Sometimes it's well worth it to watch a match and maybe lose +200+300 off a +1500 future
