Well I lied. I looked at the main level ATP tourneys too and I like one more. Godspeed.
1.9.14/Play #32: [ATP AUCKLAND] Ferrer-Lu Over 21 [-116]
Well I lied. I looked at the main level ATP tourneys too and I like one more. Godspeed.
1.9.14/Play #32: [ATP AUCKLAND] Ferrer-Lu Over 21 [-116]
Not surprising that Simon is losing ... have to begin to look at the old T.I. fade too. Should know better, but always have to puke out some garbage to find the diamond ring. Plus side, Duan won easily in straights, so the qualis evened out today.
Waiting for Simon to quit now. LoL.
looks bad
And there we go. Too bad I played this one at a book where on set = action. Always learning lessons when you bet tennis.
Overall Profit Margin: +5.21
1.10.14/AUSTRALIAN OPEN QUALIS
Play #33: Kosakowski +165
The young American has his shot at qualifying for his first Grand Slam. Wang is no pushover, but he doesn't have a big game that should bother Kosakowski. Wang is not too dissimilar to Ito whom Kosakowski beat in the opening round. I think Wang's price got a boost because of the name he beat last round in Mathieu, but the Frenchman was pathetic. If he can hold his nerve in big moments, Kosakowski's got a bit better pop and can take this.
Play #34: Menendez-Maceiras -110
Up against Odesnik, it's a Spaniard with some hard court game. M-squared has good memories here too after quakifying last year and making Chardy work hard in a four set opening round loss. That loss looking much the better as Chardy progressed to the QFs. Odesnik shook off a bum ankle from a week ago and has looked good in qualis. Still, he's had some real clunkers on this surface in the past year when he loses. Let's hope that's today.
Play #35: Klizan -120
Read a good article about the Slovak. He's basically admitted he got a bloated head and got lazy after his breakout campaign of 2012. That led to a disasterous 2013 and changes in his regimen. A new coach. New diet. New mindset. It's a chance to reap some immediate rewards from that against Thiem. Thiem has been living dangerously in qualis, almost falling to De Voest in the opener before rallying for a 10-8 win in the 3rd. Against Bachinger, he got bageled in between two 6-3 sets for the win. Although he's shown some skill on this surface to start 2014, he's still a greenhorn on it. Klizan has the experience edge, albeit that he has some shitty memories from last year's turbulent season as well. Thiem has never been in the main draw at a Slam, while Klizan has that experience edge. If the re-dedication has done him right, look for him to squeeze into another.
Play #36: Guez +235
It's Sugita as the opposition. While he has shown a competent game on this surface, he's certainly not immune from laying an egg. I despise the usual term here, but this looks like a good bit of Uncle Wally (Value).
*All Quali bets continue to be either to win 0.5 unit or risking 0.5 unit.
Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 01-10-14 at 07:24 PM.
Kosakowski is gonna kick himself for this. Got a couple early breaks, blew them both and got blown out in the 1st set TB. Be pretty surprised to see him keep it together for the 2nd set after that - big test of nerves. Gonna have to steady the ship kid
Well he showed some heart in the TB after all. Went from 5-2 down to even it up, but still lost it 9-7. Maybe that will give him a little confidence back though with the rally.
Kid is done. Kind of thought he would have trouble keeping his composure to start the set and he did. Break to Wang. He might get raped in this 2nd set.