Login Search

EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

Last Post
#162

Default

1.10.14/AUSTRALIAN OPEN QUALIS

Play #33: Kosakowski +165
The young American has his shot at qualifying for his first Grand Slam. Wang is no pushover, but he doesn't have a big game that should bother Kosakowski. Wang is not too dissimilar to Ito whom Kosakowski beat in the opening round. I think Wang's price got a boost because of the name he beat last round in Mathieu, but the Frenchman was pathetic. If he can hold his nerve in big moments, Kosakowski's got a bit better pop and can take this.

Play #34: Menendez-Maceiras -110
Up against Odesnik, it's a Spaniard with some hard court game. M-squared has good memories here too after quakifying last year and making Chardy work hard in a four set opening round loss. That loss looking much the better as Chardy progressed to the QFs. Odesnik shook off a bum ankle from a week ago and has looked good in qualis. Still, he's had some real clunkers on this surface in the past year when he loses. Let's hope that's today.

Play #35: Klizan -120
Read a good article about the Slovak. He's basically admitted he got a bloated head and got lazy after his breakout campaign of 2012. That led to a disasterous 2013 and changes in his regimen. A new coach. New diet. New mindset. It's a chance to reap some immediate rewards from that against Thiem. Thiem has been living dangerously in qualis, almost falling to De Voest in the opener before rallying for a 10-8 win in the 3rd. Against Bachinger, he got bageled in between two 6-3 sets for the win. Although he's shown some skill on this surface to start 2014, he's still a greenhorn on it. Klizan has the experience edge, albeit that he has some shitty memories from last year's turbulent season as well. Thiem has never been in the main draw at a Slam, while Klizan has that experience edge. If the re-dedication has done him right, look for him to squeeze into another.

Play #36: Guez +235
It's Sugita as the opposition. While he has shown a competent game on this surface, he's certainly not immune from laying an egg. I despise the usual term here, but this looks like a good bit of Uncle Wally (Value).

*All Quali bets continue to be either to win 0.5 unit or risking 0.5 unit.
Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 01-10-14 at 07:24 PM.