THREADS! MOOOOOOAR THREEEEEEADS! My Fourth Pickin'-Thread <3

I never post airbets. Please refer to my record.

I am highly confident in Lama being a massive favorite today. He may lose, but I don't find it likely, and am willing to take the risk. This is the final, after all.

why do you think the books are mis-judging his value so much?

Lack of knowledge to be honest (especially on the part of most people moving the line by, you know... betting).

I'm basing my opinion mainly on watching the Llama with a very convincing run of form this week while Trungelliti was anything but convincing, barely surviving a pathetic performance from Bagnis in the semis. Still factor of error and coincidence needs to be taken into account – just the same as always.

Edit: Another theory I have is that people (including the bookmakers) are reading too much into the ""big name" upsets" of Lorenzi and Bagnis, who both really were quite terrible.

Originally Posted by Hardcoar

Smith/Muller O 23 @ 2.5 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Originally Posted by Hardcoar

Berlocq @ 5.85 – 2 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Originally Posted by Hardcoar

Pennetta 1:st @ evens – 10 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Originally Posted by Hardcoar

Klizan 1:st @ 3.05 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Originally Posted by Hardcoar

Hantuchova @ 2.94 – 5 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Originally Posted by Hardcoar

Nara 1:st @ 2.11 – 5 units (Pinnacle)

FUXX

Originally Posted by Hardcoar

Lama +1.5 @ 1.952 – 20 units (Pinnacle)

KEXX

Total hits: 228
Total mishits: 294
Total stake: 2518u
Net yield: +284.467u
ROI: +11.3% (rounded)

Granollers-Pujol -4.5 @ 1.917 – 4 units (Pinnacle)

Nieminen @ 2.66 – 3 units (Pinnacle)

Pavlyuchenkova @ 2.38 – 10 units (Pinnacle)

Originally Posted by Hardcoar

I never post airbets. Please refer to my record.

I am highly confident in Lama being a massive favorite today. He may lose, but I don't find it likely, and am willing to take the risk. This is the final, after all.

Bravo
hey mate do you have a oddsportal account by any chance ?

Thanks... It was a big win for me. I could stand with better bank-roll management at times but if I like something a lot I like going big on it.

I do but I only "use" it to track odds and movements. The only place I display my standard bets is here.

Pliskova 1:st @ 2.3 – 5 units (Pinnacle)

Garbage-Willie 1:st @ 2.03 – 3 units (Pinnacle)

Originally Posted by Hardcoar

I could stand with better bank-roll management at times but if I like something a lot I like going big on it.

we all do this once in a while

Lopez @ 2.37 – 5 units (Pinnacle)

lopez? due theory i guess

Svitolina @ 5.42 – 5 units (Pinnacle)