Yes correct!
Like if Sampdoria has
0-4
1-1 Filter of 3 games
3-3
2-4
I check previous records of 0-4 and if the can manage a win with in 6-7 games from the big loss. I let the team play 3 games it works as a filter. So If a team gets zero resultat I wait three games before I bet. I'm thinking of adding Genoa they have 2-0 and have not won in 5 games. Only problem is that if the lo
Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-20-14 at 10:24 AM.
Thanks!Originally Posted by AussiePunter123
Very interesting system.
I think I understand, basically - you are trying to predict whether a team is going to win, lose or draw depending on their recent results and how this corresponds to that team's historical win loss record.
For example, if one team losses in embarrassing fashion, then perhaps they are more likely to win the next week as they will, in theory, be more up for the game. Especially if historically, that team seems to bounce back after an unexpected or humiliating loss.
Alternatively, some people argue that when a team changes coach, they are more likely to win the first game with their new coach.
Am I on the right track?
Seems a very interesting system.
System + 42.4 since 04.12.2013
- 3.65 u Frieburg
- 3.49 u Levadiakos
whats the system + since 09.12.2013System + 42.4 since 04.12.2013
?
I started in September with this system but didn't start posting in this forum until Dec. So I have more then + 42.4 units.whats the system + since 09.12.2013
?
whats the system + since posting on the forum since 09.12.2013I started in September with this system but didn't start posting in this forum until Dec. So I have more then + 42.4 units.
?
I'm at +132 unit since Aug
Yeah got it 28.58
But I'm going to play - 3.65 u Frieburg - 3.49 u Levadiakos a bit more.
Last edited by Valand; 01-02-14 at 04:14 PM.
thanksI'm at +132 unit since Aug
Yeah got it 28.58
When are those fixtures mate?
- 3.65 u Frieburg
- 3.49 u Levadiakos
As I said earlier, very interested in this system.
How much time does it take you to get all the statistics together and to choose your picks?
Would be interested in translating a similar system to use in Australian Rules Football.
Well it doesn't take that long time I use soccerpunter.com for Us, Brazil, russia, arg and aus. My aussie picks took 15 min. But I have all picks for Australia didn't post them all because I'm always a bit careful trying a new country out. But it's alot of Draws so low juice (+249) all the time, this is all of the Aussie picks!
A Sydney, D, 2.55 units W (del peiro's new team)
A Melbourne heart, W, 1.17 u 5.1
A Brisbane roar, 1.8, D, 4.1
B Wellington phoenix, D, 2.0 u (new profit 1.75) 1.12
D Man C, L. 2.06 u 04.1 (FA-Cup)
C West Ham.W. 2.78 u 05.1 (FA-Cup)
B Blackpool, W, 3.75 u 04.1 (FA-Cup)
A Charlton Athletic, W. 1.3 u 04.1 (FA-Cup)
A Olympiakos.D . 1.25 u 04.1
C Athletic Bilbao, L , 2.6 u 05.1
C Betis, W , 5.31 u 04.1
C Real sociedad, D , 2.17 u 05.1
D Sevilla, L , 5.84 u 05.1
A Osasuna, W , 1.3 u 05.1
A Valencia, W , 1.1 u 04.1
A Parma,L, 1.4 u 06.1
A Parma,W, 1.4 u 06.1
A A.C Milan(H).W. 2.6 u 06.1
E Roma,L, 6.45 u 05.1
A Genoa, W, 1.2 u 06.1
System + 44.95 since 04.12.2013
- 3.65 u Frieburg25.1
- 3.49 u Levadiakos 05.1
Last edited by Valand; 01-03-14 at 06:56 AM.
Do you mean Rugby? Ok just find a site were you can look back 5-10 years on each team and search for trends. I made first a lexicon were I had every soccer team and what happened when it was 1-0 2-0 3-0 4-0 00 0-1 0-2 0-3 but that was just time consuming and became old really fast. No the best is to look at all the teams this season and find gems and go looking threw the earlier years.Would be interested in translating a similar system to use in Australian Rules Football.
Australian rules is different to rugby. It is a lot more higher scoring than soccer or rugby. Scores like 100 plays 80 is not uncommon in AFL, and draws are relatively rare, with a perhaps 1 or 2 a season, if that.
I think the system could be modified on a HOME and AWAY basis. As well as, other factors such as how a team responds to a humiliating or unexpected loss. However, as you say, this would be very time consuming. Im just bouncing around ideas in my head, you have clearly found a decent system here.
How long have you been using it again?
Just to confirm, your posting format is as follows:
C Inter, L, 2,02 u -104
This means that you are betting 'Inter" to lose (odds -104). You are betting 2.02 units on this result. Is this correct?
To win 2.02 units so if they bet lost it's: D Inter, L, 4.12 u. I'v been using it since start of season 2012-2013.
Yep. Think I have got you. Read up a bit about chase betting.
So if your C bet loses (ie, Inter win instead of lose), then you double your stake for your D bet (Inter to lose).
Is that right?
You put in how much you have lost + what you want to win. A bet to win 1.2 u odds are so you have to put in 0.5 u. B bet becomes 1.7 you have to put in 1.4 on that bet. C becomes 3.1.... goes on until you have around 7-8 units your on a E-F bet you say it's a loss. take what your on say 7.5-1.2 what you were aiming for to win you lost -6.3. Because the odds are so different +1050 to -202 I tend to stop at around 7-8 units.
So yes in that case -104 you double your stake for your D bet
Last edited by Valand; 01-03-14 at 08:59 AM.
