how do you guys find out which teams are dropping so much
oddsportal.com
Limon won this game 4-2, after leading 4-0 just after half time.Originally Posted by AussiePunter123
Dropping odds for Limon against Alajuelense. Odds from 2.65 down to 2.19.
Perhaps a filter we could use is to only back teams that are playing at home with dropping odds?
Scratch one tango.
Almirante Brown (home team) coming in from $2.99 to $2.61 against Crucero del Norte. This movement makes team 1 slight favourite. This match is in Argentina in the Primera B Nacional league.
bunch of south american teams eh
You got any better tips mate?
Some strong money coming in for Semen Padang against Sriwijaya in the Indonesia Superliga.
Bet 365 has removed the market for this game, which may indicate that they have suspicions about this match. Odds have dropped from 2.40 to 1.92 for the home team (Semen Padang)
Some good money also coming in for Al Wehda against Hajer. Al Wehda have come into $2.18 from $2.49 to make them favourites in this fixture. (Saudi Arabia Division 1)
Pending selections
Semen Padang $1.95 (Indonesia Superliga)
Al Wehda $2.18 (Saudi Arabian Division 1)
Almirante Brown $2.61 (Primeria B Nacional League) [Saturday fixture]
Record today Thursday 13/3 (Australian time) (3 bets pending as above)
1-0-0 + 1.19
Points Awarded:
justkyle88 gave AussiePunter123 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.
I'll try these:
Draw No Bet - Patronato (0) @ 2.96
Draw No Bet - Olympic El Qanah (0) @ 2.68
KV Reykjavík (+1) @ 2.10
I gotta say, yesterday was an ''interesting'' one. Huge line movements, big money coming in etc. and somehow it backfired. I guess it's all about reading the bets the right way. How can you explain that Drancy game, I mean...they drop from clear underdogs to clear favorites in couple of hours, in FOOTBALL. That doesn't happen unless you find out Messi or Ronaldo and three other teammates have gotten sick from food poisoning or whatnot.
Then during halftime the underdog (originally put out as the favorite) becomes the favorite and 3 minutes before the full time a red card comes out and a last minute goal after that. Bit of a mindfukk, eh.
Then the volleyball game. The (away team) CLEAR underdog becomes the favourite. So far, clear. THEN the game starts and the away team who became the favourite is all of a sudden playing at HOME, not away. Aftermath?
Loses 0-3. No chance.
It was like ABC. Odds dropped immensely, money coming in etc. and what happens is: the not-favored underdogs get the sneaky/interesting wins.
Anyway, already some decent line movements for today's games. Let's see how that works out in a longer run. Probably just a bad day.
P.S.
AussiePunter123
Mate, check out that South African game you posted earlier. Also a 2nd half win for the not-favored team and a red card for Polokwane.
P.P.S.
Now I'm not saying the bets need to be read the other way around, but it will be interesting to see how this unfolds in a longer period of time and more number of bets.
Last edited by OGUCCI-SBR; 03-13-14 at 06:28 AM.
My summary of this pages' recent history..for edit or amendments if I have it wrong..
My Summary (quite possibly wrong)
- Sigma U21 X
- Slovacko U21 X
- Trakai X
- Veria X
- Michon (tennis) X
- Gombos (tennis) X
- Angers *
- Bologomolov (tennis) X
- Parndorf X
- Pachuca X
- The Strongest X
- Polkwane *
- Popayan X
- Quindio X
- Guiseley *
- Posojilnica VOLLEYBALL *
- Smyczek (tennis) X
- Botev *
- AEK *
- Lens II X (I went with Lens!)
- Lekhwiya X
- Limon X
X = correct
*= incorrect
Bold signifies strong confidence pick from forum members
Semen Padang PENDING
Al Wehda PENDING
Almirante Brown PENDING
Tulima PENDING
Overall
16 Correct ?
6 Incorrect ?
4 Pending
From strong confidence picks: 9 from 12 ? Or an 75% strike rate...
Yes, a new member, but previously a stalker.
Edited thanks to OGUCCI-SBR
Last edited by markoid72; 03-13-14 at 07:00 AM.
Gave a quick glance and 18.Smyczek* and 16.Golubev* are both one match Golubev vs Smyczek which Smyczek won, as favored.My Summary (quite possibly wrong)
I see that Golubev actually retired at 3-6 0-3 in the second set so most of us probably got the money back or won. Definitely not a Loss. A Push in most of cases I think.
21. LensX Now that one's a loser. Drancy should've drawn or won for it to be anything other than ''*''
One thing I know for sure is they like to fukk with us.
Take a look at this.
This is currently ongoing...
A clear example of today's Egyptian match: EL ISMAILY vs EL QANAH
10bet started off the home team at 2.00 odds
After nine minutes they drop it by -0,29 to 1,71
Five minutes later they add +0,12 which makes it 1,83
Three minutes later they add + 0,17 which makes it (the original) 2,00
Seven minutes later they reduce it by -0,05 which makes it 1,95
Three minutes later they reduce it even more by -0,04 which makes it 1,91
Then an hour and three minutes later they add +0,09 which puts it back to 2,00
I'm sure they are not jumping up and down whenever anyone puts hundred bucks on a team and then put back the exact odds whenever 50 bucks go to the other team. Now I know bettors often move the lines and odds but this one's ridiculous and this movement is indicating something.
Gave a quick glance and 18.Smyczek* and 16.Golubev* are both one match Golubev vs Smyczek which Smyczek won, as favored.
I see that Golubev actually retired at 3-6 0-3 in the second set so most of us probably got the money back or won. Definitely not a Loss. A Push in most of cases I think.
21. LensX Now that one's a loser. Drancy should've drawn or won for it to be anything other than ''*''
Actually the case with the tennis match is basically depending on the sportsbook, some will count the wager if 1st set is completed. Nevertheless you've got an interesting thread going on here, I've been looking into this approach for a while, will be interesting to see how the thread develops
Ok so this is what I have so far today.
SOCCER - Tunisia
JS Kairouan vs Esperance Tunis
Pick: OVER 2,5 GOALS
Odds: You can get it around 1,80
----------------------------------------
SOCCER - England - Conference South
Maidenhead vs Gosport
Pick: UNDER 2,5 GOALS
Odds: Might be available around 1,60
----------------------------------------
BASKETBALL - Eurochallenge
Tsmoki Minsk vs Gaziantep BB
Pick: Gazientep BB to win
Odds: Around 1,67 - 1,70
----------------------------------------
SOCCER - England - Conference Premier
Forest Green vs Braintree
Pick: Forest Green to win (1x2) or (-0,5) whatever
Odds: Around 1,80
Odds are changing, rising and dropping so I can't guarantee a precise number.
the funny thing is, right before the semen match, the odds rose again quickly, and semen was a home dog again.
