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Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

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#155419

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Quote Originally Posted by JayLA View Post
Cash Chinese cuntball over

This thread is good luck for me.
I don't trust anything that bleeds for three days straight and lives.

And yes, this thread radiates good karma, I think KVB's green buds are mainly responsible for that
#155420

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Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
Here are this week's games, Total lines, expected temps and expected winds, including tonight's game with NY and Jax, where there were high winds and the game ended UNDER.

High winds and low temps give us some low totals, especially in Cleveland, that looks to lead in both extremes this week...

Hm Team Rd Team Odds Temp Wind
New York Jets Jacksonville Jaguars 36.5 48 17
San Francisco 49ers Washington Commanders 37.5 61 4
New England Patriots Cincinnati Bengals 41.5 20 13
Kansas City Chiefs Seattle Seahawks 49.5 13 13
Chicago Bears Buffalo Bills 39.5 9 22
Carolina Panthers Detroit Lions 43.5 27 11
Tennessee Titans Houston Texans 35.5 19 11
Cleveland Browns New Orleans Saints 32.5 9 26
Pittsburgh Steelers Las Vegas Raiders 38.5 12 15
Dallas Cowboys Philadelphia Eagles 46.5 34 2
Baltimore Ravens Atlanta Falcons 35.5 19 15
Arizona Cardinals Tampa Bay Buccaneers 40.5 59 2
Miami Dolphins Green Bay Packers 50.5 56 9
Indianapolis Colts Los Angeles Chargers 45.5 15 5
We did not get into what happens when we combine wind and cold and what happens when we regress these things, to seean effect on the line and results, with more historical data than just this season. That is for another time.

Thanks KVB for all the info good stuff.like the snow that Tony Montana
Gets!! Not sure on his last name
#155421

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I watched, not looked at, but watched and paid attention to Pacino's acting in Scarface at least a dozen times.

One of the greatest acting jobs in history.
So many scenes he sells with his eyes alone is amazing.
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#155422

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Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
So check this out, from my office.

This is what would happen if you bet the same unit on every UNDER or ever OVER this NFL Season.

The first game of the season went UNDER and they haven't looked back. This does not count tonight's UNDER...




closing pinnacle lines? looking at some of the openers might be a little skewed because they are released so early nowadays for NFL in advanced
#155423

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Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
Here's the breakdown of that Table above showing the 2022 Season so far. I already posted the Full Season and UNDER record.

Now we'll add all the Weather games (non roofed dome) and further break those down into Wind at 12+ mph, 15+mph, and games with an average temp of 40 degrees or less, the cold games, and the average home spreads.

Notice that, this season, when the wind is 15+ mph the Home Scores separate, as well as the home point spreads...


UND Record 2022 Season Hm Score Rd Score Total Lines Scores Hm Spread
123-100-1 All games
Avg 22.9 21.2 44.6 44.121 -1.5
Med 23.0 20.5 44.5 43.0 -2.5
116-92-1 All Weather
Avg 23.2 20.9 44.5 44.105 -1.5
Med 23.0 20.0 44.5 42.0 -2.5
23-13 Wind 12+ mph
Avg. 21.8 18.9 43.6 40.7 -2.3
Med 21.0 21.0 42.8 40.5 -3.0
6-5 Wind 15+
Avg 24.2 17.1 44.4 41.3 -3.8
Med 23.0 17.0 44.5 43.0 -3.5
14-11 40 Deg or Less
Avg 21.0 21.0 43.8 42.0 -2.4
Med 20.0 23.0 43.5 44.0 -3.0


what is the purpose of sharing this information? what insights are we supposed to gleam from looking at single season statistics like that? how are you using this information? you reference historical data in the next post, maybe that is where the real insights are gleamed from. Maybe to get us thinking about variables like wind and temps and how that impacts the line setting and how we can use that in our forecasting/betting strategies

saw in the later post you said we need to "dive deeper". I guess you are commenting on the need for further analysis beyond what was originally posted, I guess that answers my question kind of
#155425

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Anybody looking for a quick & easy ‘Bang Bang’ sauce recipe? Mix these 4 things together however you like, honey for sweet, Sriracha for spicy, & Dijon for tangy/savory.

Use on anything from chicken to pork or squirt it on top of sushi rolls. Impress your friends!



6419-E534-AD44-4804-820-C-3-AE6-F254-EDAC 395-A04-AB-2-DF1-4-C70-B96-F-ADDD14-E08-E8-C
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