(Plays 4/29 - 5/5)

Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat

1* Miami Heat (gm5) +14 (1.92). 1 to win .92.
...This # doesn't make sense to me. Should be shorter with Porzingis out.
...Spoelstra putting Wright into the starting lineup?
...If BOS shoots lights-out, they'll win going away. But they should be going inside more against an inferior foe.
...Tatum/Brown can go into shooting slumps?

Boy, this one was bad.

Day: 0-1
Week = 4-5

Would love to be on the Cavs. But the Allen absence is too much.

Ya looks like magic win this

maybe take clippers tonight

spread that is

Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13

Ya looks like magic win this

maybe take clippers tonight

spread that is

If we only knew, John. I can't believe the Cavs don't have a better backup Center.

All comes down to Allen playing in Game 7 (IMHO). How could BOSTON possibly not win the East?

One early play for 5/7:

2* Dallas Mavs (gm1) +3.5 (1.93). 2 to win 1.86.

...Short-travel as playoff games go. 200-mile bus ride, Mavs should be ready to go.
...Feel like OKC got off easy against New Orl. No Zion, and Ingram was a mess.
...Truth is that OKC lucked into the 1-seed. Den/Min mangled it with late-season losses.
...Based on late-season form, Mavericks match up perfectly well with this team.
...With acquisition of Gafford and injury return of Lively, lineup is now best DALL version.

HORSE: 2 units of KY Derby Action

Backing 17 Fierceness on the Tote Board:
0.40* To WIN
0.60* To PLACE
1.00* To SHOW

Have studied this. Most accomplished horse in the field.
...Tote pay should be +EV in the junked-up pools.
...Got the right jock. Velazquez has won three Derbies. Would have been four, but Medina Spirit scratched in 2021.

Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat

HORSE: 2 units of KY Derby Action

Backing 17 Fierceness on the Tote Board:
0.40* To WIN
0.60* To PLACE
1.00* To SHOW

Have studied this. Most accomplished horse in the field.
...Tote pay should be +EV in the junked-up pools.
...Got the right jock. Velazquez has won three Derbies. Would have been four, but Medina Spirit scratched in 2021.

1* 3-way Matchup: Fierceness 2.35 (versus SierreLeone/CatchingFreedom). 1 to win 1.35.

One more unit of Derby action. Taking some flyers:

0.3* 1 Dornoch - to Show
0.3* 18 Stronghold - to Show

0.2* Exacta Box: 1/17
0.2* Exacta Box: 17/18

Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Boy, this one was bad.

Day: 0-1
Week = 4-5

SAT = 0-4
Week = 4-9

...All the Derby action bricks.
...Bucks were a great pick. Everything else bricks.

Week = -4.78
Ending BAL = 6.47