Was 925 whitesox a push? 1-1 after 5 innings
Last edited by matt711; 05-06-24 at 09:19 AM.
Wait a minute- I have Yu Darvish#10 ranked ahead of Steele (DNS) and I totally missed it. I have Steele as a DNS following his rehab start where he gave up 3 runs and six hits over 3 1/3 innings. In 72 at bats Yu is holding the Cubs lineup to a .208 average...and he has a solid offense backing him as well
Rot.#953 Fathers+100 Darvish#10 2 UNITS
Correct. I made the adjustment
Points Awarded:
matt711 gave atthehalf 5 Betpoint(s) for this post.
114-123-5 +25.5 UNITS
I may be going through a bit of a rough patch-but I know that when the best arms are continually pounded the results will come. As I often say-we are all going to be around .500 at the end of the season betting sides and totals for this stuff each and every day.
Just gotta get fortunate enough to hit the decided advantage ones as hard as you can.
Relievers, errors, scorned umpires and coaching decisions will cost you wins. It's the nature of the beast.
Any whoooo....looking ahead to Tuesday I have a nice amount of my studs going.
Fantasy wise streamers-don't even think about these. If you have them on your rosters-start them. Any arm below a top 10 are probables-meaning that there's more risk than I'd like them to be. Either they are facing a tough matchup for a good-not elite pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm. these pitchers have a slightly more than 50% chance of performing well in my view and I would pick and choose them in a majority of situations.
DNS means DO NOT START. The reward is not worth the risk. Seriously these pitchers have a very slim chance at success or sometimes none at all
Burnes (Aces gonna ace)
Imanaga (Aces gonna ace)
Yamamoto (Aces gonna ace)
Gallen (Aces gonna ace-he does have the toughest lineup to face-it won't matter-I will live with the results)
Bailey Ober is gonna give 1-3 ER across 5-7 innings and average about a K per inning against the Sailors
Zack Eflin should be able to take care of the pale Hose lineup-and the rays are at this point in a good position to make a move bat wise
Seth Lugo has been cooking lately-give him the start in any platform that you partake in
Reynaldo Lopez has been fantastic and a steal of a deal-hopefully the Braves bats wake up to go along with his skill set
Verlander is a ratio darling-and the Bombers aren't exactly getting the best timely hitting-I won't use him in this platform thoI must have been having a brain fart-of course you roll with Verlander vs Gil!
Jose Butto-I am taking a flyer on this one against a middling lineup. He may earn a spot on your roster just for some stability, but he's super boring-the type of guy that works in your office and don't speak to him like ever-you don't even want to acknowledge that he works for the same company that you do. he just gets the job done.
Okay so here are the positions that I had to get before sunup because of the real possibility of the juice getting out of my comfort zone. If you see a line then I already made a move on it
Rot.#925 Orioles-1.5 -125 RL Burnes#1 + TOP OFFENSE vs Williams (DEAD LAST DNS)+ WEAK OFFENSE 2 UNITS
Rot.#904 Cubs -1.5 +130 RL Imanaga#3+ SOLID OFFENSE vs UNDECIDED+ SOLID OFFENSE
Rot.#901 Snakes-121 Gallen#4 + SOLID OFFENSE VS Montas#22+SOLID OFFENSE
Rot.#920 Twins-1.5 +145 RL Ober#5 + AVERAGE OFFENSE vs Hancock#24 (DNS)+WEAK OFFENSE
Rot.#916 Rays-1.5 -112 RL Eflin#6+POOR OFFENSE vs Soroka#27 (DNS)+ POOR OFFENSE
Rot.#930 Royals-130 Lugo#7+SOLID OFFENSE vs Rea#21 (DNS)+AVERAGE OFFENSE
Rot.#905 Metropolitans+115 Butto#12+ AVERAGE OFFENSE vs Mikolas#25 (DNS)+WEAK OFFENSE
Rot.#928 Braves-1.5 +113 Lopez#8 vs Crawford#14 + WEAK OFFENSE
Rot.#907 Astronauts+102 Verlander#9 + TOP OFFENSE vs Gil#17+ TOP OFFENSE
Rot.#921 Halos+107 Sandoval#18 + WEAK OFFENSE vs Priester#23 +WEAK OFFENSE CRUMBS POD 2 UNITS
Last edited by atthehalf; 05-07-24 at 06:20 AM.
Tomorrow's Rays-112 RL and Twins+145 RL are available on Draftkings for those who make moves online
Arraez went 4-6 for me in his first game with the Fathers last night! Those who listened are already getting dividends. So while I am at it I am going with him in this platform too. He may vary well win a batting title with that type of protection in the Fathers lineup. Pitchers really have to pitch to him now instead of pitching around him
Rot.#953 Arraez OVER 1.5 BASES +117
Only waiting on the Cubs line for tomorrow. Randy Vazquez#29 DNS is on the bump for the Fathers. It won't end good
109-120-5 +22.35 UNITS
Rot.#952 Zach Wheeler (Blunts) OVER 7.5 K's +100 vs POOR OFFENSE WIN +1.0
Rot.#970 Royals-134 Ragans#2 vs Wilson#18+AVERAGE OFFENSE WIN +1.0
Rot.#963 Sailors-123 Castillo#3 vs Simeon Woods-Richardson#16+AVERAGE OFFENSE LOSS -1.23
Rot.#965 Wanderers-1.5 +130 RL Heaney#6 vs Wood#17 +POOR OFFENSE WIN +1.0
Rot.#967 Halos+135 Anderson#7 vs Keller#11+WEAK OFFENSE LOSS -1.0
Rot.#955 Metropolitans+108 Manaea#9 vs Gibson#13+WEAK OFFENSE WIN +1.0
Rot.#953 Fathers+100 Darvish#10 2 UNITS WIN +2.0
Rot.#953 Arraez (Fathers) OVER 1.5 BASES +117 LOSS -1.0
114-123-5 +25.5 UNITS
Also I was just thinking-why in the hell would I not start Verlander vs ANY TEAM if I have him on my roster at #9 facing a #17 arm?
The Cubs were priced at -150 when I woke up this morning which is above what i would like to pay in vig so RL it is-even if I lose with a one run win by the Cubbies it's ok. It's along season. I have had plenty of losses like that already. No sweat. I am all about money management...
Any time that I see a higher ranked arm as an underdog in this format I blast away. He just had his best outing of the year and he gets a gift in the Buccos
Rot.#921 Halos+107 Sandoval#18 + WEAK OFFENSE vs Priester#23 +WEAK OFFENSE CRUMBS POD 2 UNITS
119-128-5 +25.1 UNITS
I have actually already thrown down on a few tomorrow EARLY since I am going with the FAVORITES. Aces gonna ace
Rot.#971 Sailors-115 Kirby#1 + SOLID OFFENSE vs Paddack#21 +SOLID OFFENSE 2 UNITS
Rot.#953 Fathers-118 Cease#6 + SOLID OFFENSE vs Wesneski#27 (DNS)+ SOLID OFFENSE 5 UNITS
Rot.#975 Jays/Blunts UNDER 4.5 -110 FF Nola#2+SOLID OFFENSE vs Bassitt#12 + SOLID OFFENSE 1 UNIT
Rot.#982 Braves-1.5 +100 RL Sale#3 +TOP OFFENSE vs Pivetta#28 (DNS)+WEAK OFFENSE 2 UNITS
Rot.#979 Orioles-1.5 -106 RL Bradish#5+TOP OFFENSE vs Parker#26 (DNS)+WEAK OFFENSE 2 UNITS
Rot.#961 Tigers/Guardians UNDER 4.5 -130 FF Bibee#7 +SOLID OFFENSE vs Olson#10+ POOR OFFENSE 1 UNIT
Rot.#924 Buccos-125 Perez#9 +WEAK OFFENSE vs Soriano#15+WEAK OFFENSE 1 UNIT
Rot.#952 Cardinals-1.5 +130 RL Gray#4 + WEAK OFFENSE vs Quintana#23 (DNS)+AVERAGE OFFENSE 1 UNIT
Rot.#953 Luis Arraez OVER 1.5 BASES +100 vs Wesneski#27(DNS) 1 UNIT
Rot.#965 Wanderers-125 ML Leiter#16+ TOP OFFENSE vs Bido#32 (DNS DEAD LAST) +POOR OFFENSE (CONDITIONAL MOVE)
Last edited by atthehalf; 05-08-24 at 04:15 PM.
I performed a temporary drop on (The Bear )Jordan Montgomery (Snakes) for tomorrow as Cin City is a explosive park. This isn't to say he won't go the 6 frames-just don't want to chance it. Good thing there's always Arraez to pluck. I already have Colton Cowser ready to go at a moment's notice vs a righty if need be
Wow! Blown saves tonight on Royals and Twins! Egads! Relief pitching makes it nearly impossible to hit at a 60% clip in MLB LOL! Should have been 7-3 instead of 5-5
It's painful, but I love the pain obviously. The Cubs won-just not by 2 so it was a close shave. This platform is tough that way. Money management is the key, it's better to sacrifice a clean unit in a 1 run loss than to frequently lose a -160, -180 lines
I think to date this season I have had more than 5-6 instances where I had the RL and lost by one run. It's ok.
The ML in those games had to average more than -140 at least because my juice cut off is -135.
Anything over that I am taking the RL. The average margin of victory for a winning side in MLB is 0.3 runs; which is not even a run.
May as well go with the RL in that case because a loss is almost more likely than not; and that juice lost chasing wins will kill your pockets much faster than taking a chance on a 2 run win with + money odds.
On a brighter note fantasy wise my starters overall did swell and my roster was rockin today
114-123-5 +25.5 UNITS
Rot.#925 Orioles-1.5 -125 RL Burnes#1 + TOP OFFENSE vs Williams (DEAD LAST DNS)+ WEAK OFFENSE 2 UNITS LOSS -2.5 UNITS
Rot.#904 Cubs -1.5 +130 RL Imanaga#3+ SOLID OFFENSE vs UNDECIDED+ SOLID OFFENSE LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#901 Snakes-121 Gallen#4 + SOLID OFFENSE VS Montas#22+SOLID OFFENSE WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#920 Twins-1.5 +145 RL Ober#5 + AVERAGE OFFENSE vs Hancock#24 (DNS)+WEAK OFFENSE LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#916 Rays-1.5 -112 RL Eflin#6+POOR OFFENSE vs Soroka#27 (DNS)+ POOR OFFENSE WIN +1.0 UNITS
Rot.#930 Royals-130 Lugo#7+SOLID OFFENSE vs Rea#21 (DNS)+AVERAGE OFFENSE LOSS -1.3 UNITS
Rot.#905 Metropolitans+115 Butto#12+ AVERAGE OFFENSE vs Mikolas#25 (DNS)+WEAK OFFENSE WIN +1.15 UNITS
Rot.#928 Braves-1.5 +113 Lopez#8 vs Crawford#14 + WEAK OFFENSE WIN +1.13 UNITS
Rot.#907 Astronauts+102 Verlander#9 + TOP OFFENSE vs Gil#17+ TOP OFFENSE LOSS -1.0 UNITS
Rot.#921 Halos+107 Sandoval#18 + WEAK OFFENSE vs Priester#23 +WEAK OFFENSE CRUMBS POD 2 UNITS WIN +2.14 UNITS
119-128-5 +25.1 UNITS
