Ck's 2024 mlb thread

Originally Posted by Maizey

Of course I’m counting wins again losses. How does 7 losses equate to -7.3 when you lost 3.54 units on the Rays game by itself? And there were other losses that were more than 1 unit.

Ok I will give you that-mere oversight on that one however

Rot.#905 Cubs-115 Imanga#3 2 UNITS WIN +2.0
Rot.#925 Blunts-1.5 -113 RL Wheeler#1 LOSS -1.0
Rot.#914 Orioles-1.5 +135 RL Burnes#2 LOSS -1.0
Rot.#923 Braves-1.5 +100 RL Sale#6 WIN+1.0
Rot.#917 Rays-118 Eflin#7 3 UNITS LOSS -3.54
Rot.#907 Dodgers/Snakes UNDER 4.5 -110 FF Yamamoto#4/Gallen#8 LOSS-1.0
Rot.#919 Cardinals/Tigers OVER 4.5 -115 FF Mikolas#20/Maeda#19 LOSS -1.0
Rot.#930 Wanderers-1.5 +128 RL Heaney#14 LOSS -1.0
Rot.#928 Red Sox-110 Crawford#9 2 UNITS WIN +2.0
Rot.#925 Alec Bohm (Blunts) OVER 1.5 BASES -105 LOSS -1.0

3-7-0 -4.54 UNITS

So where are the other losses of more than one unit you are speaking about? I don't see any. That's a -2.24 UNIT difference which I will take off. No prob. I am keeping records here and in my league

Ok so the -2.24 units have been deducted. I just checked up and down the threads-I don't see any threads for maizey anywhere so that I also drop by and see how you're doing as well. You're more than welcome to put yourself out there for scrutiny and praise.

Nothing between you and starting a thread but space and opportunity. It's wide open.

So we're about 30 games into the season and now it's time to look at the offenses for landmines and puddles. The list that I have compiled is one that i will be using going forward. I'm sure it will change through the year and there are differences to be made about teams vs left or right handed pitching; but it works as a general table that y'all should keep in mind. I am going to start exchanging arms for bats as a result of my findings and little less reliance on just the arms now to stay ahead of the game in my fantasy league

Top Offenses (I will more than likely change for a bat when these teams are up against my arms and elect not make a move against these)

Braves
Orioles
@Red Sox (meaning Fenway Park factor)
Astronauts
Dodgers
Bombers
Wanderers

Solid Offenses

Snakes
Cubs
@Red Leggins (Park Factor)
Guardians
Royals
Blunts
Fathers

Average Offenses

@Rox (My how things have changed-Park factor)
Brews
Twins
Metropolitans
Jays

Weak Offenses

Red Sox (on road)
Red Leggins (On road)
Halos
Buccos
Sailors
Cardinals
Nats (However very good vs left ANYWHERE)

Poor Offenses

Pale Hose
Rox (on road)
Tigers
Fish ( I will be using Arraez as a bat tho)
Athletics
Giants
Rays (this one makes no sense with their lineup)

So with this being my rankings going forward there will be less moves each day on sides to be sure. Not many 10 bet days

104-103-4 +40.67 UNITS

George Kirby#3 and Ronel Blanco will be in play on my roster but not in this format facing one another tomorrow. Aces are gonna ace-and they have been brilliant-but those offenses are decent as hell-so live with the results and don't pull them from your lineups.

I have made 2 moves already for Friday with the Red Sox and one that needs explanation. The Metropolitans and Quintana are underdogs to the Rays who do not have hot bats whatsoever. So although I have Civale ranked slightly higher than Quintana I see the Metropolitan bats squeaking this one out late in the game when the relievers come in.

The rest of my arms are priced out of my comfort range so I am going to go RL when those are available
Corbin is giving up a average of .388 over 80 at bats vs Jays hitters. Yep sounds good to me




Rot.#906 Nola (Blunts) OVER 6.5 K's +106 vs POOR OFFENSE
Rot.#928 Gray (Cardinals) OVER 6 K'S +100 vs POOR OFFENSE
Rot.#923 Jays-1.5 RL Kikuchi#7 vs Corbin DNS+ WEAK OFFENSE
Rot.#923 Jays Team Total OVER 5.5 +106 vs CORBIN (.388 AVG OVER 80 AT BATS)
Rot.#919 Red Sox+110 Houck#8 vs Paddack DNS+ AVERAGE OFFENSE
Rot.#925 Metropolitans+118 Quintana#12 + AVERAGE OFFENSE vs Civale#10 + WEAK OFFENSE CRUMBS POD
Rot.#922 Red Leggins Team Total OVER 4.5 +102 2 UNITS
Rot.#922 Red Leggins-1.5 +175 RL Greene

Hoping the Cardinals RL is plus money. The problem is the Cardinals aren't very productive either and I need Gray to be sharp and give me a good WHIP and some K's

Originally Posted by atthehalf

Ok so the -2.24 units have been deducted. I just checked up and down the threads-I don't see any threads for maizey anywhere so that I also drop by and see how you're doing as well. You're more than welcome to put yourself out there for scrutiny and praise.

Nothing between you and starting a thread but space and opportunity. It's wide open.

First, as I mentioned in your thread earlier when I commended your baseball knowledge and wished you luck, I can no longer beat baseball. I don't cap it anymore, so you won't see me originate any picks. I spot play a few weather related overnights, but that's it.

Second, this isn't about you having a losing spell. I never bash anybody for losing, never ever.

I call people out for one or more of the following (moderators at some forums do this, but most forums don't):

1. Unattainable lines -- yours look fine, so no issue there
2. Posting after games start -- you post way in advance, so no issue there
3. Inaccurate record keeping

So it's the record keeping that I'm taking issue with, not winning or losing. Honest mistakes are made. Everybody makes them. Maybe that's all it is. It just struck me as odd how little your total units went down when it looked like there were a couple of bad days. That's why I looked a little more carefully. So back to that

Rot.#925 Blunts-1.5 -113 RL Wheeler#1 LOSS -1.0

Why is that not a loss of 1.13 (same with the two losing FF)? That's where I see more than 1 unit losses.

Also, you were right about the previous day losing 6+ units, but you went from +37.39 to +33.57, which is only 3.82 units.

Originally Posted by Maizey

First, as I mentioned in your thread earlier when I commended your baseball knowledge and wished you luck, I can no longer beat baseball. I don't cap it anymore, so you won't see me originate any picks. I spot play a few weather related overnights, but that's it.

Second, this isn't about you having a losing spell. I never bash anybody for losing, never ever.

I call people out for one or more of the following (moderators at some forums do this, but most forums don't):

1. Unattainable lines -- yours look fine, so no issue there
2. Posting after games start -- you post way in advance, so no issue there
3. Inaccurate record keeping

So it's the record keeping that I'm taking issue with, not winning or losing. Honest mistakes are made. Everybody makes them. Maybe that's all it is. It just struck me as odd how little your total units went down when it looked like there were a couple of bad days. That's why I looked a little more carefully. So back to that

Rot.#925 Blunts-1.5 -113 RL Wheeler#1 LOSS -1.0

Why is that not a loss of 1.13 (same with the two losing FF)? That's where I see more than 1 unit losses.

Also, you were right about the previous day losing 6+ units, but you went from +37.39 to +33.57, which is only 3.82 units.

And to my point-you are more than welcome to start a year long thread so that it can be followed, admired or scorned

Fine, I'll drop it. I thought you would want to correct things so your record was accurate. I was wrong. My apologies. I will stay out of your thread.

Originally Posted by Maizey

Fine, I'll drop it. I thought you would want to correct things so your record was accurate. I was wrong. My apologies. I will stay out of your thread.

I will be sure to deduct 0.13 units for you from today's tally to appease you going into tomorrow. Now get to work on your thread

As stated with my rankings for bats the margins will get shorter and the moves will be fewer.


Priced at -120 for a runline I am gracefully gonna pass on Sonny Gray and use him strictly in my fantasy league. the Cards don't have enough offense to support this investment in this platform. Hicks is sick against the Blunts with a sterling .100 bat vs pitch so no go there as well. the Guardians Bibbee is fine where he is and keep him on roster no matter what. However there is a pitch change under way for the Halos and I don't think that Soriano will see the bump as a result.

With the Buccos Martinez is also a good look in the fantasy platform even if the Rox hit .400 off of him-this is not the platform for him however and keep him on roster for K's as he has 10-1 ratio for that vs the Rox. El Paso.

That narrows things down to about 3 moves so far for tomorrow. As stated with the inclusion of my bat rankings things will be shortening from here on in

With a 10-0 K's to walks ratio I will definitely be on top of Houck K's tomorrow as well. Stay tuned

Ok so now it's time to zero in on how the arms are against the weak poor and average offenses that they are facing today

Houck 12 K's 0 walks vs Twins over 42 at bats
Perez 10 K's 1 walk vs Rox over 40 at bats
Gray 33 K's 6 walks vs Pale Hose over 112 at bats
Nola 32 K's 7 walks vs Giants over 104 at bats
Bibbee 6 K's 0 walks vs Halos over 23 at bats
Kikuchi doesn't have enough history vs Nats bats to mention

The K's numbers haven't been offered yet. Of those I like Gray, and Nola so I will make my moves with them and then post those up

Ok Corbin is allowing .388 average over 80 at bats vs Jays hitters. Yep. Sounds good to me I added on the Jays TT to go OVER 5.5 runs which is that high for a reason.

Anyway the big board is fully updated with the K's information and this move as well. And yes I deducted the concert ATM fees that maizey is wining and bitching about

I have too much time on my hands today-I think that I may have found some GOLD boys.

The Red Leggins hit .375 vs Cole Irvin (Orioles). I also have the Red Leggins as a SOLID offense at home, their bullpen sucks a bit. This is tailor made for an addition to the big board. Only a whopping 14% of bettors are taking the Red Leggins on the RL and only 36% on the ML yet the line is staying the same and the Red Leggins are now a favorite....

Rot.#922 Red Leggins Team Total OVER 4.5 +102 2 UNITS
Rot.#922 Red Leggins-1.5 +175 RL Greene

Also the orioles are unfamiliar with Greene as he hasn't faced any of their batters. I like this thing!