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Stock Market Discussion -- started 03/06/2018 -- updated daily !!!

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#766

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These are what the screener calls strong stocks with a 20% retracement from their 52 week high...

Symbol Last Trade High High 20 Day High 52 Wk
EGAN 13.30 13.45 19.05 19.05
NEWA 21.37 24.05 24.98 28.20
CGC 26.80 27.35 36.54 36.55


Not saying they are buys, or that they'll rebound, there could be a reason they are off, but it's still a couple of stocks to check out.
#767

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Chico I made a short term move on HIMX in an effort to chip away at my cost basis...


Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
Sold 10 Calls to Open HIMX 7/27/18 8.00 @ .17.

This generated, after fees, $158.39 for the account.

A dividend date is coming on 7/19 and I expect a little pressure following the date. The account holds 1000 shares of HIMX at an average cost of 8.05 per share....
#768

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MSFT seems to be quietly rocking right now, hitting highs.

They are expected to announce earnings at the close on Thursday.

Any thoughts on trading into those earnings or are we going to see a small pullback? It seems like any excuse to come of the high could come out.
#769

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Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
MSFT seems to be quietly rocking right now, hitting highs.

They are expected to announce earnings at the close on Thursday.

Any thoughts on trading into those earnings or are we going to see a small pullback? It seems like any excuse to come of the high could come out.
guidance killing some stocks, look at UNH today. very scary trading into the earnings at this time, just my opinion. i defer to you - what is your hunch here?
#770

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Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
guidance killing some stocks, look at UNH today. very scary trading into the earnings at this time, just my opinion. i defer to you - what is your hunch here?
I have shares at 98.65 so I'm up a bit with a little wiggle room for a pullback. I'm just not sure so I'm sitting where I am, no options, no shorts.

Here are the top 20 decliners with last trades over 5 and avg 5 day volume over 250,000, including the after hours trading today.

Symbol Last Trade Change % Change Prev Close Description
NFLX 381.91 -18.57 -4.64 400.48 NETFLIX INC
OMC 70.69 -7.40 -9.48 78.09 OMNICOM GROUP
UNH 250.81 -6.17 -2.40 256.98 UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INC
PSA 219.72 -5.82 -2.58 225.54 PUBLIC STORAGE
TREE 231.15 -5.07 -2.15 236.22 LENDINGTREE INC
SERV 56.96 -4.88 -7.89 61.84 SERVICEMASTER GLOBAL HLDG
HUM 311.00 -4.68 -1.48 315.68 HUMANA INC
SNA 159.57 -4.30 -2.62 163.87 SNAP-ON INC
ESS 232.74 -3.40 -1.44 236.14 ESSEX PROPERTY TRUST
HCSG 40.00 -2.72 -6.37 42.72 HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP
WHR 150.76 -2.68 -1.75 153.44 WHIRLPOOL CORP
SAFM 99.50 -2.42 -2.37 101.92 SANDERSON FARMS INC
CBRL 147.31 -2.41 -1.61 149.72 CRACKER BARREL OLD CTRY S
SAH 17.75 -2.39 -11.87 20.14 SONIC AUTOMOTIVE INC -CL
ULTA 253.11 -2.39 -0.94 255.50 ULTA BEAUTY INC
TRHC 65.43 -2.38 -3.51 67.81 TABULA RASA HEALTHCARE IN
SEP 33.07 -2.37 -6.69 35.44 SPECTRA ENERGY PARTNERS L
SMG 81.31 -2.28 -2.73 83.59 SCOTTS MIRACLE-GRO CO
ANTM 246.03 -2.25 -0.91 248.28 ANTHEM INC
EOLS 22.90 -2.23 -8.87 25.13 EVOLUS INC
#771

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Top 20 decliners today with last trade over 5 and Avg 5 day volume is over 250,000.

Symbol Last Trade Change % Change Description
BKNG 2,024.06 -6.46 -0.32 BOOKING HOLDINGS INC
CLX 129.63 -5.39 -3.99 CLOROX CO/DE
RH 133.16 -5.24 -3.79 RH
NTES 261.63 -4.79 -1.80 NETEASE INC
HCSG 38.25 -4.13 -9.75 HEALTHCARE SERVICES GROUP
ULTA 249.39 -3.69 -1.46 ULTA BEAUTY INC
AAOI 43.91 -3.49 -7.36 APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS I
SPB 75.70 -3.21 -4.07
BLUE 178.65 -2.75 -1.52 BLUEBIRD BIO INC
UNIT 19.18 -2.59 -11.90 UNITI GROUP INC
TAP 64.49 -2.51 -3.75 MOLSON COORS BREWING CO
NCS 18.25 -2.45 -11.84 NCI BUILDING SYSTEMS INC
ONCE 84.90 -2.44 -2.80 SPARK THERAPEUTICS INC
EQIX 436.03 -2.42 -0.55 EQUINIX INC
TDG 360.54 -2.34 -0.64 TRANSDIGM GROUP INC
SRPT 134.98 -2.32 -1.69 SAREPTA THERAPEUTICS INC
KMB 104.20 -2.27 -2.13 KIMBERLY-CLARK CORP
VMI 138.70 -2.24 -1.59 VALMONT INDUSTRIES INC
CASY 108.93 -2.15 -1.94 CASEYS GENERAL STORES INC
ACXM 41.91 -2.11 -4.79 ACXIOM CORP
#773

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Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
anything related to Real Estate taking huge haircuts today
Public Storage leading the group lower. They have all had a pretty good run. The tax law is good for them and not a terrible idea to nibble. Not on Public Storage though. Guys like STWD paying 8.7% will be fine.
#774

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Quote Originally Posted by homie1975 View Post
anything related to Real Estate taking huge haircuts today
I'm not sure as of now what's going on but the Real Estate sector is down broadly, but it doesn't seem like too much.

PSA off quite a bit yesterday but it shouldn't bleed over too much for any lasting effect.

Some parts of the sector turning positive as I made the screen. No stock listed here, but I can breakdown any category into it's components.

Name % Chg (Open) % Change 5-Day Close Perf (%) 20-Day Close Perf (%) 1-Mo Close Perf (%)
Real Estate -0.38 -0.59 -1.64 +0.86 +0.69
Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) -0.31 -0.53 -1.94 +1.90 +1.80
Diversified REITs -0.46 -0.58 -2.61 +0.79 +0.40
Health Care REITs -0.79 -0.96 -2.33 +4.21 +4.29
Hotel & Resort REITs +0.04 +0.04 -0.07 +0.65 +0.31
Industrial REITs -0.06 -0.65 -2.96 -0.60 -1.46
Office REITs -0.54 -0.61 -2.34 +0.61 +0.36
Residential REITs -0.34 -0.42 -1.75 +2.05 +1.71
Retail REITs -0.06 -0.31 -1.31 +1.16 +0.89
Specialized REITs -0.32 -0.59 -2.17 +2.94 +3.28
Real Estate Management & Development +0.02 -0.04 0.00 -3.08 -3.70
Diversified Real Estate Activities -0.14 +0.08 -0.18 -2.69 -3.60
Real Estate Development -0.52 -0.96 -1.03 -10.46 -10.76
Real Estate Operating Companies +0.17 +0.09 -0.72 +0.16 -0.06
Real Estate Services +0.50 +0.26 +2.25 +2.18 +2.43
#776

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Quote Originally Posted by RoyBacon View Post
Public Storage leading the group lower. They have all had a pretty good run. The tax law is good for them and not a terrible idea to nibble. Not on Public Storage though. Guys like STWD paying 8.7% will be fine.
STWD looks solid.

Interesting chart as well, what happens to them in a rising rate environment?

Clearly there was nibbling. In my opinion there were plenty of buyers into the selling, plenty. It's trying to knock upward to it's next support/resistance.
#777

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Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
KVB you ever make earnings trades?

Good for strangles
Sometimes, I'll keep getting creative in that Total Return Fund.

Straddles and strangles coming in the Total Return fund, and yeah, maybe we some some more balls with naked trades in there too, when the time is right.

#778

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Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
STWD looks solid.

Interesting chart as well, what happens to them in a rising rate environment?

Clearly there was nibbling. In my opinion there were plenty of buyers into the selling, plenty. It's trying to knock upward to it's next support/resistance.
if you are into dividends i have nrz for 3 years. pays 50 cent dividend every quarter. i got it at around 13 and now over 18. roy says it is a dog but i like it so far.
#779

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Quote Originally Posted by chico2663 View Post
if you are into dividends i have nrz for 3 years. pays 50 cent dividend every quarter. i got it at around 13 and now over 18. roy says it is a dog but i like it so far.
I'm not the master, but technically this looks like a decent time to buy and if it were to fall back about 10% from here, the safety of the dividend at this point, you'd be at a really strong, in my opinion, point of support.

Been climbing to a 52 week high, just off, and recovered well from the dividend ex date hangover. Not sure why investors bailed right before that, with volume. Maybe they were selling into what they thought would be dividend buyers but overwhelmed those buyers.
Last edited by KVB; 07-18-18 at 07:06 PM.
#780

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Quote Originally Posted by chico2663 View Post
if you are into dividends i have nrz for 3 years. pays 50 cent dividend every quarter. i got it at around 13 and now over 18. roy says it is a dog but i like it so far.
I said NRZ is a dog? I might of said it is a little over leveraged but I've owned it before. I'm a long time holder of AGNC who pays .185 a month. Hedged out with calls it's a 20% guy.

STWD is a much more diversified and conservative play. You can put that one in the drawer.