What is the record when betting 1st 60 mins only?
Lord have mercy.
This has got to stop. I'm sticking with a4's pick. There is no way that 50/50 shootouts that have gone entirely against us the last month don't turn around. With the game last night Nas/La going so crazy I can't help but expect that we are due some standard straight forward wins.
At least the total went our way last minute though it sunk a dagger in our nyi
Teams
52-43, -2.06u
Shootouts (3-14)
Totals
12-6-2, +5.5u
Personal Plays
3-0, +3.00u
Any one interested in helping me backtest a system? Seems pretty good from my numbers but it's just too much work by myself and lots of hours.
Don't know what to say, +143 and +193 give up game tying goals with less than two mins left, and both lose, of course one of them in a shootout taking us to 3-14, litterally unbelievable.
Totals are great, and my spot betting, is good so far. These team plays, are driving me crazy. Each team SO loss under 500 is nearly a 2 point swing, give us 50% or a little under and teams could be hanging around +10 units.
I will help, but don't have time until weekends. Plus, I'm weary of it so far, just picking the biggest fav of the day. A few months may be +, but I have to believe it's - in the long run.Originally Posted by Slanina
Any one interested in helping me backtest a system? Seems pretty good from my numbers but it's just too much work by myself and lots of hours.
one play today
WPG -120
I'm sure it will be another barn burner for us.
I can't DM you. Says its full for you. It's a "let it ride" system. Best description I can come up with. I'll send you details in a DM if you can clear some space. I'm not in a rush. Rather just backtest it and work out kinks before I bet even a dollar. Probably start next year if it actually shows success.I will help, but don't have time until weekends. Plus, I'm weary of it so far, just picking the biggest fav of the day. A few months may be +, but I have to believe it's - in the long run.
so obviously it would be more profitable this year betting regulation time only, what would this look like with your results?
not necessarily, but at least a higher pct than 3/17 = 18% in shootoutsso obviously it would be more profitable this year betting regulation time only, what would this look like with your results?
slanina, i deleted some, says 230/250 total, try again
so 50% in shootouts is what you'd expect normally? or do the favs have an advantage?
My perspective is that unless there is a highly ranked team with major star power (Peg with Crosby, Malkin; Caps with Ovie; Tampa with Stamkos etc) shootouts are a 50/50 proposition. I think the live betting lines reflect that (1.85 per team). With a4's picks, his O/U is treading solidly, however, the shootouts are nowhere close to even 3-17. While there is likely some variation in 50/50 (i.e., some weeks trend better, some slightly worse), the fact that we aren't even close to even steven has to be almost exclusively attributed to bad luck. Obviously, with sports betting, there are no guarantees, however, the 2-3 unit swings on these shootout loses has been devastating but I've got to think, they can't last. We could go 17-3 and even it out (although unlikely). There is still a ton of hockey to go, and I think the results will start to not only equalize but improve.so 50% in shootouts is what you'd expect normally? or do the favs have an advantage?
