El Niņo's NHL Thread

hey Nino

when you're liking a fave, i notice that you weigh the relative merits of
*ML,
*-0.5 reg, and
*-1.5 (aka. PL)
when deciding how to play it

But for a dog you like...seems to always be a ML play...

so was wondering if you'd ever consider the other two ways to play a dog=
* +0.5 reg
*+1.5 (aka. reverse PL)

...the +0.5 reg seems especially tantalizing to me, as it is a relatively low-cost way to get a "two-way" bet (ie. both reg win or draw will cash)...a nice way to win if your dog plays well (knocks that heartbreaking OT/SO crap out of the equation)...the +1.5 never has the same lure to me, but thot' i'd roll it into the same "ask the capper?" item

Originally Posted by fitguy67

hey Nino

when you're liking a fave, i notice that you weigh the relative merits of
*ML,
*-0.5 reg, and
*-1.5 (aka. PL)
when deciding how to play it

But for a dog you like...seems to always be a ML play...

so was wondering if you'd ever consider the other two ways to play a dog=
* +0.5 reg
*+1.5 (aka. reverse PL)

...the +0.5 reg seems especially tantalizing to me, as it effectively gives you a two-way winner (ie. both reg win or draw will cash)

Reverse PL are garbage most of the time due to the -225ish juice you will normally lay. Not a fan of them due to the unpredictability of the empty netter. I thought about playing one on the Bluejackets against the Blackhawks. +1.5 was (-115). I was going to hit it if it got to evens but it stayed (-115 - -130ish). BookMaker doesn't have the +0.5 option. I did use the +1.5 as parlay fodder in the Coyotes/Blackhawks series and the Rangers/Capitals series in last years playoffs.

thanks...about what I expected re: the reverse puckline...

the -0.5 option for dogs=yet another reason (among many as you know as a MMA fan) to post up at Dimey...

but when u do, keep funds in BM...cuz apparently, it's the best (certainly the best open to US'rs) for MMA live-bets...in fact, I'm going to post up about 300 bucks to BM, just for this purpose (I'll cash in a ton of SBR-pts to credit the ac, so i can avoid that whole p2p hassle)

Originally Posted by fitguy67

thanks...about what I expected re: the reverse puckline...

the -0.5 option for dogs=yet another reason (among many as you know as a MMA fan) to post up at Dimey...

but when u do, keep funds in BM...cuz apparently, it's the best (certainly the best open to US'rs) for MMA live-bets...in fact, I'm going to post up about 300 bucks to BM, just for this purpose (I'll cash in a ton of SBR-pts to credit the ac, so i can avoid that whole p2p hassle)

Yeah, 5dimes is looking more and more like something I have to do.

Cash Penguins

I disagree with the claim that reverse PL bets are garbage, taking the +1.5. If you know how to pick them you can do well, and they can also serve as a great hedge to cover a ML bet on the same game. It's true, open nets can be painful when laying a +1.5, however you will also win open nets when you play -1.5 just as often in the long run. The thing i love about +1.5 is when you have those really close games, it goes into OT and you know you've already locked your win in, and can't lose. Rather than sweating the OT and shootout with your ML bet hoping for the miracle, you already won. So there's good and bad to all bets, i'm simply pointing out the good that i think a lot of people miss.

I'm not saying you have to agree. That's the great things about sports betting, is everyone has their own things that they are good at.

Originally Posted by El Nino

3/21

New York Rangers Regulation (-130) 2u
Winnipeg Jets Regulation (+110) 2u
Los Angeles Kings Regulation (-125)

YTD
70-48-1 +38.21u

went opposite of you... took the Caps.. they are on fire against the jets...

did a 2 team parlay with the pens and caps won some easy money

Originally Posted by El Nino

Rangers and Jets getting blown out of their rinks. Rangers couldn't come back from a 2 goal lead if the franchise depended on it.

Jets cant beat the caps... .caps are on fire right now... been playing good hockey the past 5 games

3/23
Minnesota Wild Regulation (+125) 2u

Adding: Dallas Stars Regulation (+115)

It's been a minute since the brooms came out. 2-0

Where are you looking for today? I have been leaning Flyers in regulation.....such a great rivalry between the two teams, Philly will come to play AND the are +266 right now....


D2D

I like the islanders in regulation. They are at home and are a due for a win against a bad Florida team.

3/24
Pitt Pens/ Philly Flyers Over 6 Goals (-125) 2u

Originally Posted by Dollars2Donuts

Where are you looking for today? I have been leaning Flyers in regulation.....such a great rivalry between the two teams, Philly will come to play AND the are +266 right now....


D2D

Yeah, value in that. Like the Pens a little better. Malkin and Letang are game time decisions.