I am talking about unbiased calculation based on futuresOriginally Posted by k13
5dimes had -3.5/-4 but it is 3 now.
If Packers beat Niners that automatically gives them at least an extra point.
There's no way they'll be posting -2.5's if the game actually happens.
So -3 +100 or -3 +105 then.
And that's not true either, the line right now obviously already assumes the two teams already won.If Packers beat Niners that automatically gives them at least an extra point.
But it is not assuming how they won. Line will be adjusted on perception.And that's not true either, the line right now obviously already assumes the two teams already won.
The game won't happen anyway...
Perception should already be built in. Tony's not dumb. The one that baffles me is SF/Atl Pick SF should be the same price over Atl as GB.But it is not assuming how they won. Line will be adjusted on perception.
The game won't happen anyway...
From another thread:By extracting from futures I get:
Denver -2 New England
Denver -7 -120 Houston
New England -7.5 Baltimore
Houston -2.5 -120 Baltimore
San Francisco -2 Atlanta
Green Bay -2 Atlanta
San Francisco -3 Seattle
Green Bay -2.5 Seattle
Not sure what 5 Dimes is up to with that SF/Atl line.
Very odd.Perception should already be built in. Tony's not dumb. The one that baffles me is SF/Atl Pick SF should be the same price over Atl as GB.
I'm sure limits are low on these pre-game spreads.
Wow, I can't believe people out there still don't understand the rule. It was dual possession, it goes to the offense.for it to happen again it would need to happen a first time.
Here's the official NFL explanation: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap100...awks-touchdown
I can only guess if someone is still confused about this play, they watch way too much ESPN (jock sniffer) TV.
It wasn't dual possession, the defender had possession first and THEN the received wrapped his hands around the ball. Simultaneous possession has to be just that for the tie to go to the receiver.Wow, I can't believe people out there still don't understand the rule. It was dual possession, it goes to the offense.
Here's the official NFL explanation: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap100...awks-touchdown
I can only guess if someone is still confused about this play, they watch way too much ESPN (jock sniffer) TV.
If you look at 1:04, it is fairly obvious that defender has ball secured with two hands against his chest and Tate has ONE hand on the ball, quickly bringing the other one in and then holding on for dear life. But it should have been too late at that point.Wow, I can't believe people out there still don't understand the rule. It was dual possession, it goes to the offense.
Here's the official NFL explanation: http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap100...awks-touchdown
I can only guess if someone is still confused about this play, they watch way too much ESPN (jock sniffer) TV.
There is going to be a bunch of people losing futures and ML bets on Sunday afternoon on Seahawks. I can't name one good team Seahawks beat on the road. Can you?
Even if one of Tate's hands slips off for a microsecond, he still maintains adequate control for dual possession.If you look at 1:04, it is fairly obvious that defender has ball secured with two hands against his chest and Tate has ONE hand on the ball, quickly bringing the other one in and then holding on for dear life. But it should have been too late at that point.
They just won a road playoff game. In my book, 10-6 teams are good. Wins in Chi and Wash are quality road wins.There is going to be a bunch of people losing futures and ML bets on Sunday afternoon on Seahawks. I can't name one good team Seahawks beat on the road. Can you?
How many good teams have Seattle lost to on the road? SF 13-6, as a 7 1/2 point underdog, that's it. That was back in October, SEA has really come together since then and in a rematch, I wonder how close to EV that line would be.
How many good teams the Falcons lost to at home?They just won a road playoff game. In my book, 10-6 teams are good. Wins in Chi and Wash are quality road wins.
How many good teams have Seattle lost to on the road? SF 13-6, as a 7 1/2 point underdog, that's it. That was back in October, SEA has really come together since then and in a rematch, I wonder how close to EV that line would be.
Seattle wins
