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Why is this Romney guy even trying

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#23

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Germany's population is around 80 million and it is estimated that one-third of its population will be seniors in 2050.

The United States' population is around 300 million and it is estimated that 20% of our population with be seniors in 2050.

Germany's expected population in 2050 will be just under 71 million , while the U.S.'s population is expected to be 475 million.

Do you see the unique circumstances that prevent European models and understanding, applying to our country's unique set of issues? Ryan is a realist and anyone not willing to address our issues head-on is only delaying and worsening our country's future. Though, you're not addressing it, think about how much more expensive public health care will be in our country, compared to any European country.
#25

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Obviously you think he ~30% chance if you believe in -200/+200 or better, converted to implied probability. Now you think a 30% chance to win the presidency of the United States is to slim a chance to even give it a go? You must never take any worthwhile risks in your life if you only try things with 31%+ implied probability.Sheesh.
#26

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Well, then it probably would have been better to keep this guy in congress where he could affect the budget like he works so hard to, then trying to bring him to a VP position and put him in the spotlight for which he has little experience. I just feel like the Obama/Biden vs. Romney/Ryan debates will be like a 1 on 1 basketball between Jordan vs Danny de Vito.

I am not saying it's a good thing Obama will win. All I was saying was, for good or for bad, politics is a game and you have to play it properly if you want to win.
#27

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Quote Originally Posted by Boner_18 View Post
Obviously you think he ~30% chance if you believe in -200/+200 or better, converted to implied probability. Now you think a 30% chance to win the presidency of the United States is to slim a chance to even give it a go? You must never take any worthwhile risks in your life if you only try things with 31%+ implied probability.Sheesh.
Obviously if the election was tomorrow I would bet it, but it is in 3 months and I think I can find something better to do with the money with football (both kinds) season coming up.
#28

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Quote Originally Posted by eleuropeano View Post
Just caught up to some political news after the Olympics. So apparently Romney picked a running mate who wanted to cut benefits for seniors. They represent 30% of the population of the largest swing state. Sharp.

Too bad the line dropped to -200. Too much juice to park money until November.
You're sharp. It is a sure thing in your book but -200 is too much juice? It is a guaranteed 50% return on your investment in your eyes and you say no?
#29

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[QUOTE=eleuropeano;15655766I just feel like the Obama/Biden vs. Romney/Ryan debates will be like a 1 on 1 basketball between Jordan vs Danny de Vito..[/QUOTE]

great analogy. Those debates will really give Romney the presidency. Obama can't run on his record and all Romney needs to do point out the 16 trillion, Obama lies and how electing a inexperienced community organizer blew up in everyone's face. As far a Biden and Ryan go, that debate will be so embarrassing for the Democrats. I wouldn't be surprised in Biden called in sick that day
#30

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Quote Originally Posted by Boner_18 View Post
Obviously you think he ~30% chance if you believe in -200/+200 or better, converted to implied probability. Now you think a 30% chance to win the presidency of the United States is to slim a chance to even give it a go? You must never take any worthwhile risks in your life if you only try things with 31%+ implied probability.Sheesh.
I think I misread your post before. You were talking about Romney. I guess what I was trying to say is that I think with Obama's record and the state of the economy, the republican chances should be better than 30%. Obv Romney is not doing something properly.