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Masters "makes the cut" parlay

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#16

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sucker or not, mine is:

donald, woods, rory, mickelson, westwood, mahan, schwartzel. pays only a little over 2.1x. schwartzel worries me.

if you want to go the other route and parlay guys to MISS, I think Harrington +120 to miss, Poulter @ +155 and Stenson @ +125 would pay about 11.6x.

one thing that makes this tourney much different in this play is that you start with 96 players instead of 144. you also have amateurs and some old former champions who have virtually no shot to make the cut. by my projections it looks like 73-75 guys vying for 46 spots. going back to 2001 (and throwing out the 2007 tourney as that was some of the worst weather to ever visit the masters) we're looking at the cut being around 147 (+3) with 48-49 guys making the cut. also if you don't have someone jump out LOW for the first two rounds you've got the 10 shot rule. (though I do think someone defintely gets to at least -7 which would cover the projected 147 regardless.
#18

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Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post

i think that would be a terrible parlay. one of those guys is almost certainly going to miss the 45 person cut.

Then don't bet it Mike.


Quote Originally Posted by mugsey15 View Post
Sergio won't make the cut.
Straight bet up to 500 points... i say yes you say no.... send me the amount of points you wish to bet.


Quote Originally Posted by dfberger23 View Post

Terrible parlay. I expect Furyk to miss the cut and I wouldn't be surprised if Sergio does.
I like Furyk to do well this weekend and Sergio to hang in there,

Give me 7 to 5 and i'll take Furyk to make the cut any amount to 500 points.

Send points to make it a play.
Last edited by Al Masters; 04-05-12 at 01:22 AM.
#21

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Quote Originally Posted by blackbeSSt View Post
call me a HUGE sucker:

A.Scott makes the cut -330
B.Watson makes the cut -295
C.Schwartzel makes the cut -400
H.Mahan makes the cut -350
J.Day makes the cut -300
J.Rose makes the cut -350
S.Stricker makes the cut -335

pays about +500ish
Adam Scott has some work to do but can make it....Hopefully Mahan comes through for you...I think your real trouble is with Jason Day - i see him missing. Yes, I realize 1 round it through, but i wasn't confident with him going in and i think he is your biggest weakness here.
#25

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someone help me out here. i seem to be missing the rule that states if a player withdrawals regardless of his score its considered a loss

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#27

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Quote Originally Posted by Al Masters View Post
Nice thread title.


SergioGarcia,Nick Watney andJim Furyk
Congrats on the winner Mr. Masters.



And to the losers.....

Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post

i think that would be a terrible parlay. one of those guys is almost certainly going to miss the 45 person cut.
Quote Originally Posted by mugsey15 View Post
Sergio won't make the cut.
Quote Originally Posted by dfberger23 View Post

Terrible parlay. I expect Furyk to miss the cut and I wouldn't be surprised if Sergio does.
Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
This guy here lays it out there for all of you. Great advice.

So what do the degens do with it? Add more golfers to the parlay of course.

I think you lost them with the big words Mike. "Negatively correlated" may be a bit much for the posting community.

This site ******* cracks me up.


Last edited by Optional; 04-06-12 at 05:50 PM.
#28

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Quote Originally Posted by blackbeSSt View Post
well it looks like stricker is gonna fukk me over here. but even if he doesn't, according to live chat at 5dimes, a WD is considered missing the cut. so jason day seems to have fukked this up for me by WD'ing
Hmmm... pretty certain that they have graded a withdrawal as a loss for a friend last year, when betting in a player to Miss The Cut.
#29

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Quote Originally Posted by aggieshawn View Post
You lose if the guy WD. Doesn't happen often with guys above the cut line.

PS. I got Phil at 1.8 odds to make the cut after the first round. Scored big time.
Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post

Hmmm... pretty certain that they have graded a withdrawal as a loss for a friend last year, when betting in a player to Miss The Cut.
well fukk me then. not to say that he wouldn't have stayed above, but this fukkin stings to have a 7 player +510 parlay go to shit cause of a WD